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To deter bioterrorism, U.S. imposes new rules on ordering synthetic DNA

science.org

96 points by Metacelsus · 64 comments

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14 threads
whatever1

Why is everyone spooked by ai driven bioterrorism ? Like all of our water supplies are much easier to mess with compared to developing a virus or whatever that may or may not work

  • Spacemolte

    That seems a bit silly thinking they are not doing anything to protect the water supplies, and even more silly to not compare the impact of the things you are comparing. Poison a water supply and you hit how many, a city, a small part of a city? Now compare it to the impact of a virus like corona - we literally just went through that..

  • pjc50

    Your status as a "defender" is measured by the fanciness of the threats you defend against, not their actual magnitude. That's why Space Force is so popular, and everyone working on vaccines is miserable.

    Also, see the "lab leak" discourse. To me the question seemed irrelevant because the countermeasures would be exactly the same, but that's not how other people think; they're not interested in a mask mandate against a naturally occuring virus, but if they can tie the exact same genetically identical virus to a human enemy? The social status of the threat goes up!

    Regular old measles? Not sexy. But a convenient vector for the internal threat. https://www.politico.com/news/2026/11/08/americas-measles-ep...

    Made-up AI-assisted super-measles? Doesn't exist yet. But it's a great super sexy threat to defend against. You just have to ignore the kids dying of boring old regular naturally occuring measles in the meantime.

  • ygouzerh

    Coronavirus++ is not something that I would want on my calendar

  • protocolture

    Its hard to imagine a mustache twirling terrorist bent on putting PFAS and lead in the american water supply, putting mad cow in the beef supply and making everything cost more because he would have been outcompeted by the US government.

    • jyounker

      The US Government doesn't do any of these things. Businesses do these things to make a profit.

    • boxed

      And yet the Russian foreign policy is almost this: they know they can't compete on competence/science/tech so they try to tear everything down to their level.

      • okeuro49

        Russia has always been famous for science and technology, if not political competence.

        • boxed

          The jewish exodus from Russia due to the disaster of the Soviet era put a dent in that I'm sure.

        • mejutoco

          The name of that entity was the soviet union

      • kennywinker

        I think this is a bad take. The Russian government wants to tear things down because they are a kleptocracy, and functional nations act as a check on corrupt governments. The more corrupt the US is the more theft russia can get away with and collude with pals inside the US gov on.

        The framing of nations as inherently in competition with each other doesn’t track for me. Sometimes, in specific instances, nations will be in competition, but finland having a good or bad education system does not impact me even slightly.

        • carlmr

          >finland having a good or bad education system does not impact me even slightly.

          Yet you do depend on Linux.

        • boxed

          > The framing of nations as inherently in competition with each other doesn’t track for me.

          Where it tracks for you or not isn't relevant. It tracks for Putin and he's been extremely clear about that for hours and hours of extremely boring monologues :P

      • shevy-java

        They have placed agent Krasnov though, so they influence US politics anyway. What is even more surprising is that Krasnov is now doubling down, despite the clear loss in the latest election.

    • rexpop

      The regulatory state didn’t fail out of bureaucratic clumsiness; it was systematically bought and gutted so private balance sheets wouldn’t have to carry the cost of your cancer.

      Blaming "the government" for toxic tap water and runaway prices is like blaming the getaway car instead of the bank robbers.

      • protocolture

        >Blaming "the government" for toxic tap water and runaway prices is like blaming the getaway car instead of the bank robbers.

        Blaming the government for toxic tap water is like blaming an organised private/public coalition of bank robbers for a bank robbery.

        >it was systematically bought and gutted so private balance sheets wouldn’t have to carry the cost of your cancer.

        The US Government, day 1, was bought and sold to defend the right to own slaves, even from the predation of states that had made it illegal. It's not some recent malformation that it just started defending the interests of rich people over poor people lmao. The explicit purpose of the US government is to do the shit it does. The machine has been designed well, not poorly.

AnotherGoodName

I'm curious if this is related to some things the top AI models are uncovering.

We know we don't get to see the bio side of the top models. They're out there solving hard maths problems etc but a query with the word 'microbes' in it often kicks you back to a smaller model automatically.

Are the bleeding edge models finding something scary enough that can be done with synthetic DNA that it needs to be restricted asap?

  • epihelix

    It doesn't seem to be? From what I can tell, this is just formalising what we've had to self-declare with companies like IDT for years (not encoding a known toxin, pathogen, etc). Somebody correct my if I'm wrong, but it looks like there's now a requirement for companies to actually check the sequence, rather than take the researcher's word for it.

    You don't need AI to generate known toxin or pathogen sequences (as these are already known).

    And if AI could design novel toxins, this screening wouldn't catch those anyway.

    • bonsai_spool

      IDT, Twist et al do check sequences and this has been trivial for a long time. I’ve had to assure account managers that my viral sequences are legitimate as far back as 2019, but I didn’t work with viruses before then so I can’t say how new that was at the time

    • IshKebab

      Unless you use AI for the screening? Surely that's the obvious move.

  • 233mhz

    Well look at what it's doing to the hacking scene. It doesn't have to do all the work for you but people knowledgeable and motivated enough are now 10-100x more of a nuisance.

    It's not like you can prompt it to create super AIDS in an afternoon but I'm sure an uncensored model could help you do real harm.

  • cowlevel

    It's more likely they're surfacing the contents of deeply technical biology papers to average people who may or may not be thinking about terrorism.

  • epistasis

    No not at all. The top models are not uncovering anything novel with DNA.

    This is old stuff, being implemented and getting lots of news.

    • siva7

      How you know? The top models have a tendency to not tell what they're conspiring for.

      • sysguest

        well math you can run Lean...

        but for bio... I don't think we have 99.999999% accuracy simulation, and experiments aren't "0.00001 cent"

        so we have to rely a lot on existing data or pay a lot

  • xbmcuser

    Alphafold or something like that is more likely than the LLM models. Though cant say what an LLM model that uses Alphafold as a tool can do.

gr-mk

This might impact me and a small handful of other people who have messing around with microbes in their apartment as a hobby. We'll see what happens.

  • dannyw

    Probably a good thing overall in my opinion, even though it obviously has impacts.

    I got into this hobby briefly (pre-LLMs) before realising how much of a loaded gun it is, and that I’m just not qualified to safely muck around with this stuff.

  • pjc50

    I suppose you might have to go back to bathtub explosives as a safer alternative.

  • p0w3n3d

    Yeah me too. Using Clorox on my toilet seat kills always 99.99% germs. The fun is with the 0.01% that's left

    • otherme123

      The 0.01% might survive, even develop some resistence. But when put again in the mix with wild non-resistent individuals in a non-clorox environment, the selection acts against them: having resistence might have costs, have no use, and if the mechanism is lost for whatever reason the new individuals survive anyway.

      Something like this is suspected to have happened to us humans: the black plague has been pressuring/selecting individuals with more active and strong immune systems. Today the plague isn't so active or deadly to humans, but stronger immune systems are probably behind auto-immune illnesses (https://aihep.org/post/the-bubonic-plague-and-autoimmune-dis...).

    • cowlevel

      You can actually do real biology at home if you set up a Petri dish tray with a concentration gradient of Clorox across it, then put some random germs at the low concentration and.

      • p0w3n3d

        Yeah, or antibiotics maybe. But still, I could just put bare wires in my bathtub, no need for such effort :wink:

__MatrixMan__

The device used to make oligonucleotides is pretty much an inkjet printer, from there it's cleverly applied enzymes to assemble the full strand. If you've got the skills and determination to get the synthetic DNA into a functioning cell, I don't think limiting access to synthetic DNA in the first place is going to stop you.

  • car

    The device used to make oligonucleotides is pretty much an inkjet printer, from there it's cleverly applied enzymes to assemble the full strand.

    Usually the synthesis of oligonuclotides is done with phosphoramidite chemistry [0]. So tell us more about those enzymes to make DNA molecules from scratch.

    [0] https://www.twistbioscience.com/blog/science/simple-guide-ph...

    • mbreese

      I’m pretty sure they were talking about how you can combine synthesized oligos into longer fragments when you are starting with smaller oligos. I’m guessing that they were referring to using different restriction enzymes from that point on.

      Unless we are talking about really long oligos (which is harder and $$$), you’ll need some post-synthesis enzymatic work to get your full strand.

      • fc417fc802

        Yes I also read the comment that way. The inkjet printer remark presumably refers to benchtop DNA synthesis machines which have been commercially available for a while now. (The linked article mentions the possibility of buy-back programs for old machines that don't enforce any restrictions.)

        I guess it's not a bad idea to put basic hurdles in place but it would be a serious mistake to see this as any sort of comprehensive preventative. DNA just isn't difficult to manipulate.

        • XorNot

          The thing is DNA just also isn't dangerous. It's fragile and everything in the environment destroys it - as noted it's literally a everything else which is the hard part.

          This reeks of the Longtermists getting their influence into government. They were doing an entire round on YouTube about a year ago.

          • mbreese

            DNA is pretty robust. You can send a dried spot of it on a piece of filter paper and send it in the mail.

    • amirhirsch

      Ansa Bio uses an engineered terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase (TdT) enzyme to synthesize the oligos themselves, rather than using phosphoramidite chemistry. Each enzyme is tethered to a single nucleotide, allowing it to extend the DNA strand by exactly one base. The tether is then cleaved and the cycle repeats.

      This works in aqueous solution under mild conditions and enables synthesis of much longer oligos (~1,000 bases), which can subsequently be assembled into 50 kbp constructs.

      Not sure about that inkjet printer analogy.

3eb7988a1663

  But Esvelt points out the policy only requires screening for DNA sequences 50 base pairs or longer. A would-be bioterrorist, he argues, could easily stitch together a dangerous sequence from much smaller fragments ordered from multiple different suppliers. Esvelt says he has built an algorithm capable of screening sequences as short as 30 base pairs for their risk potential and made it freely available. “That’s the main flaw in an otherwise pretty great policy,” he says. “Don’t bother building a fence if there’s going to be an obvious huge gap in it.”
So, a song and dance of doing something that will most likely just inconvenience people doing real work.

Also, DNA chemistry is very well established. Someone with the appropriate background could easily assemble oligos without too much difficulty. I guess this stops Little Johnny from printing ebola from the internet.

avadodin

Erm. Terrorists are generally full of DNA. How difficult is it to break that down, sort and purify on a scale from vinegar and soda to bioterrorist with access to a DNA printer?

King-Aaron

> U.S. government–funded scientists who make and manipulate DNA sequences will face tougher regulations

Seems like this has little to do with deterring terrorism then, considering the assumption that a terrorist may not be a US government funded scientist.

  • Glyptodon

    My guess is that the assumption is that US gov funded labs are enough of many suppliers revenue that it'll be effective, but I'm 100% speculating and it may be total garbage speculation given that I have no idea how much hobbyist level DNA projects are a thing or how much they're a thing for non-medicinal business purposes.

  • 0xDEAFBEAD

    If you read the next two sentences it makes it fairly obvious that this is a plan to indirectly target suppliers. Federally funded researchers will be required to

    "procure synthetic nucleic acids and benchtop synthesis equipment from U.S.-approved suppliers. Those vendors must verify their customers’ identities and screen orders for potentially dangerous sequences that, for example, could encode toxins or pathogens."

    If this was just about feds self-policing, they wouldn't have the customer identity requirement.

    Probably they're taking this route because AI is moving fast and Congress moves slowly.

  • CamperBob2

    Trouble is, that assumption hasn't always worked out in the past: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bruce_Edwards_Ivins

    But yes, this is stupid. No one who is inclined to build a biological WMD is going to be more than mildly inconvenienced by supply restrictions. DNA isn't plutonium.

    • 0xDEAFBEAD

      Sounds like a fully general argument against any sort of security measure. "A dedicated thief won't be deterred by a lock or burglar alarm." Sure. I'm still buying that stuff.

      • CamperBob2

        More like, Danny Ocean isn't going to be fazed by your ADT Security sign out front or the Ring camera on your door.

  • mapontosevenths

    When DNA is outlawed only outlaws will have DNA.

    • DANmode

      Considering what we know about crowding-out in human microbiomes, this is probably way more relevant than the meme you were likely swinging for!

janalsncm

> It’s great, because it does something instead of nothing

I am detecting a bit of frustration here.

andrewclunn

So continue to fund bioweapons programs under the guise of medical research while also stifling individual and independent research under the guise of protecting us from terrorism? Yeah, that sounds like the US government.

burnt-resistor

Let's ban knives too because they're sharp and might hurt someone.

throw938083839

Where is the disclaimer, that all labs are 100% safe, and it is not possible for something like virus to escape from lab?

drdrek

12 Monkeys here we come!

Cluade find how to time travel, Make no mistakes!

shevy-java

This is not unlike 3D printing: "What? You can print a gun? Into jail you go!".

When you then look at the mafia in charge of the USA right now, run by oligarchs and other shady criminals, you ultimately have an apartheid system at work now, because these top-down pseudo-kings can control what others can do. Everyone is monitored and a potential terrorist now. Now imagine that DNA can be patented (I don't refer to right now, but look how ESTs (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expressed_sequence_tag) in the 1990s could be patented) - and suddenly you will have a state-run mafia decide which monopolist can yield de-facto control, with a few minor companies roleplaying the "it's still capitalism!!!" when in reality it no longer is.

senor_digimon

This sounds unbelievable, but hey, we have AI. Let's just keep pretending this is the regular rate of tech advancement ...

Carry on, everything is apparently fine.

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