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Tesla and SpaceX lose over $420B in combined market cap in the two days

techlaws.pages.dev

84 points by Pepitobombito · 69 comments

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jml7c5

This analysis would be more convincing if other major tech companies hadn't fallen a similar amount today. It's a broad tech selloff.

Also, what's with this site? It only has a single article.

EDIT: Judging from the URL/title, it's some (AI-generated?) thing that reuses the title from https://www.reddit.com/r/technology/comments/1xow42o/tesla_a...

  • j16sdiz

    Similar amount?

    GOOG -2% in 5 days

    META -4% in 5 day

    INTC -6% in 5 day

    NVDA -9% in 5 day

    TLSA -10% in 5 days

    • zamadatix

      AMD -17% in 1 day

      ASML -9% in 1 day

      AVGO -10% in 1 day

      MU -17% in 1 day

      NVDA -9% in 1 day

      SKHY -13% in 1 day

      TSMC -10% in 1 day

      As much as I think TSLA/SPCX are overvalued there is nothing unique about their drop compared to many other companies in the last day or two. I wouldn't even hazard a guess on whether the floor has fallen out on anything yet, it could just as well be a temporary reaction to the election results and volatility following the uncertainty of that for these types of companies.

      Of course one can always pick a set of tickers and day ranges that make it seem like any trend if you filter the view enough.

    • jml7c5

      I think you mixed up 1 day and 5 day on a few of those. I think these are correct (they're just the Google search tickers):

        GOOG  -2% (1 day)  +1% (5 day)
        META  -4% (1 day)  -2% (5 day)
        INTC -10% (1 day) -24% (5 day)
        NVDA  -9% (1 day) -13% (5 day)
        TSLA -11% (1 day) -13% (5 day)
        SPCX  -9% (1 day) -10% (5 day)
thelastgallon

Tsla has a PE of 380 with YoY degrowth over multiple years and no prospects of growth.

  • gumby

    Last year Tesla sold 1MM cars in us+China and another 150K in Europe. In the same period BYD sold about 3 million EVs.

    Last MONTH (October) BYD sold 500K EVs. The US is propping up Tesla by keeping BYD out. I’ve driven several and they are great cars, much nicer than the aging Tesla line.

    • apexalpha

      The US has had protectionist measures for its car market since forever.

      That's why the US car market is so 'unique' and American brands struggle in foreign markets.

      • gumby

        Japanese cars came in in the 70s and almost killed the US market. The Big Five became the Big Three (GM, Ford, Chrysler) and learned how to make cars again.

        They then squandered that and are back where they were in the 70s, or worse.

    • dzhiurgis

      > BYD sold about 3 million EVs.

      Why is their stock price flat tho?

      • gumby

        Lots of competition from other good car companies. I just used BYD because they are the biggest single EV company; they aren't a majority of EV production though.

    • rsynnott

      > Last year Tesla sold 1MM cars in us+China and another 150K in Europe.

      ... Wait, really, it was that low?! VW AG sold about a million BEVs last year; at this point Tesla may actually be in third place (or even fourth, depending on what Geely's up to these days).

  • sejje

    What do you think about cybercab & the incoming ability for private owners to participate?

    • glenpierce

      We already have uber and Lyft and taxis and our own cars and some other self driving things and bikes… and isn’t Apple supposedly coming out with a car sometime? This isn’t special and a lot of city dwellers aren’t interested in supporting musk anymore.

      • Dig1t

        If you book a cybercab the price is significantly cheaper than an Uber or Lyft. You can book one to get across Austin for literally half the price of the competition.

        I took screenshots of the prices I have paid because I was so happy with only having to pay $7 to get across my city.

        Apple killed their car program years ago. I know because I work there.

        >aren’t interested in supporting musk anymore.

        That may be your personal political take, but there is no evidence that politics are slowing their growth in a meaningful way. There is still strong interest in Tesla products, products like Starlink are growing at an incredible rate, Starship launches command huge livestream viewership, there's an entire industry of Youtubers which break down and discuss the engineering and logistics of SpaceX rockets.

        • 1659447091

          > but there is no evidence that politics are slowing their growth in a meaningful way.

          Musk got a lot of favors and basically his way with the out going power holders, its why he spent so much so the party wouldn't end.

          One I was just reading about (while looking for Hinojosa's first plans, cleaning up the education department); was there was a quiet deal being worked on for spaceX to buy a beachfront state park [0] and that she remarked about Texas no longer being for sale.

          I wouldnt be surprised if all the investigations into his companies deals happen. The attorney general got ousted for a democrat too who already said there will be a massive overhaul to how the office is used -- no more being maga's private law firm. Lets hope Musk and his companies did everything above board when working the massively corrupt outgoing gang.

          [0] https://www.texasmonthly.com/news-politics/boca-chica-spacex...

        • thelastgallon

          > There is still strong interest in Tesla products, products like Starlink

          Starlink is a Tesla product? Both SpaceX and Tesla are counting it as their sale, wow!

          • sejje

            He's responding to a claim that people "aren’t interested in supporting musk anymore"

            Starlink is a Musk product.

            There you go, now you understand.

      • canucker2016

        I thought Apple canceled their car project - see https://carcody.com/apple-car-what-happened-to-project-titan...

    • Dig1t

      I have ridden in a cybercab several times and they are omnipresent in my city. They work extremely well and are scaling quickly. "No prospects for growth" is a pretty wild take given the obvious new things they are building.

    • UltraSane

      Just hype and lies from Musk. He has been lying about self-driving cars for 10 years now.

      • Dig1t

        How is it a lie? You can literally book a self driving Tesla anywhere in the Bay Area or Austin. I see them driving around Austin every day.

        • UltraSane

          The hype and lies are about how profitable robotaxis will be and the claim that private people will be able to participate.

          • Dig1t

            Regardless of whether private people participate, the actual robotaxi network they are running is real and growing quickly. Are you saying that self driving taxis are not going to be popular? Or is it just that the private citizen program will not materialize?

            Regardless of whether private Tesla owners end up participating in the robotaxi market it does seem obvious that self driving taxis are going to be huge. Waymo and Cybercabs are growing quickly and will almost certainly completely dominate the market. Why would you ride in a Uber with a stinky driver (and pay more) when you could ride in a self driving taxi without a driver for cheaper?

            • archagon

              Why would I ride in a Musk Nazimobile when I can just take a Waymo?

              • UltraSane

                Self-driving cars should be required to use sensors that directly and accurately measure distances to objects. Just guessing the distance using parallax is stupid.

                • sejje

                  Self-driving cars should be required to be good at driving.

                  We should set a safety bar, and any method of achieving that bar should be fine. I'm fine with "N miles driven per injury."

                  It's not stupid if it works.

              • Dig1t

                I and many millions of other Americans will happily ride in them. Your particular political view does not even represent 50% of the country. Even if you say 50% of Americans will boycott the company purely for political reasons, that's still a market of 150M people.

                • UltraSane

                  I do not trust any self driving car that can't directly measure distances to objects and instead just guesses it from video cameras.

                  • Dig1t

                    Do you not trust any human drivers? They only have 2 eyeballs and cannot precisely measure the distance to any objects.

                    My guess is that you have ridden in an Uber or Lyft before and were comfortable enough to rely on their eyeball based system even though they weren't able to measure the distance to objects.

                    Regardless of whether you personally trust a camera-based system, the data do seem to show that it is possible to build a camera-based self driving system and have it be safer than human drivers.

                    • UltraSane

                      Current computer binocular vision are not at all comparable to human vision and humans really aren't that great of drivers anyway.

                      What data? I don't really trust Tesla to release accurate data.

                • archagon

                  The CEO of a company saying and doing batshit crazy things for no reason, leading to a 50% (or 25%, or even 10%) global boycott, does not instill confidence in the company as an investment opportunity.

                  • UltraSane

                    And if Musk were to suddenly die the value of his companies would instantly crater.

                    • sejje

                      Not sure if this is an indictment of the company, or an endorsement of Musk.

                      • UltraSane

                        It is an acknowledgement that gullible people fall for Musk's hype over and over.

    • jrflowers

      It is almost as exciting as the transmutation of base metals into gold, the panacea, and the elixir of longevity — all of which I’m told are just around the corner at Musk’s companies

    • 10111001

      > What do you think about cybercab & the incoming ability for private owners to participate?

      I think Elon Musk says a lot of things.

  • noduerme

    so you're saying it's the best meme stock ever?

ipsum2

What is this random website that has a single AI generated article

tehologist

Still wildly over valued, only time even remotely profitable is with government subsidies.

ungreased0675

Lawfare is coming, everyone knows it.

BenFranklin100

Tis’ a tragedy Musk can’t stay focused on building great companies instead of shooting his mouth off about politics.

  • rayiner

    Is this advocating for a return to the pre-2020 status quo for corporate behavior?

    • BenFranklin100

      Haven’t a clue what you’re talking about.

      • rayiner

        I assume you're pining for the early 2000s when companies steered clear of talking about political issues.

        • darkwi11ow

          I live in Europe and here companies stay silent about political issues.

        • happytoexplain

          Musk is easily the most overtly political/shitposty business leader. Second place is so far behind it's not even clear who that would be.

          I'm not speaking for the parent, but clearly it's easy to lament Musk's overtness without implying that everybody is doing it to a similar degree.

          • timschmidt

            There's plenty of business leaders who are just as overtly political. Few of them make the evening news. Probably because few of them are building the largest rocket, charger network, space constellation, global internet provider, etc. in the world.

    • noduerme

      Well, the proof is in the eating so we'll find out whether bluster is more valuable than performance.

  • archagon

    I'd say the bigger tragedy is the recklessness with which he acted to dismantle the federal government, illegally exfiltrate vast amounts of private data, and cause hundreds of thousands of people in the third world to die from starvation or lack of medicine.

    This imbecile should have stayed out of politics. There is no coming back from what he did.

for_i_in_range

Never bet against Elon.

  • noduerme

    "I never bet against (Kirby? Ohtani?)" is a common phrase in baseball betting; usually a minor input that I should think about going the other way.

  • pacomerh

    I lost all respect for him given his idiotic involvement with the government. And other obvious things.

vayup

$420B can't be coincidence. Musk engineered the fall perfectly.

ericd

Nvidia lost more than that by itself…

etchalon

Are we really shocked when their entire IPO was predicated on AI the companies primary future revenue and American voters just told the market they're not gonna make that easy?

keeda

Don't forget though: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/11/tesla-reaches-record-boosted...

> Tesla shares close at record high, boosted by 69% pop since Trump election victory

SPCX was not public back then, but I suspect it would have followed similar trends. In any case, Elon's still come out ahead. For now.

dmitrygr

so did everyone else. so?

  • bagacrap

    Not I

  • Eji1700

    Eh while you’re not wrong everyone else doesn’t have crazy P/E ratios and a personality cult as part of its price.

    Will be interesting to see how Musk and his companies weather this storm

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