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426 points by ilreb · 257 comments

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jedberg

I would love to see these benchmarks split up across "generic" tasks and novel tasks.

For example, redlining an OEM agreement with my vendor. They pretty much all use the same template, and the objections are always the same. I tried using Claude first, and even my lawyer was impressed that it found things they missed. Then I used Claude to redline that type of contract and the other side said "your lawyer was surprisingly thorough". I had my lawyer do the final check, but saved a bunch of money doing the first three rounds with Claude instead. And my lawyer basically just said "looks good to me" by the time they reviewed it.

Or even writing a simple will or estate document.

It seems like LLMs are great for the kind of generic work you'd usually pawn off to a new associate or paralegal, but not for the important things that partners usually do.

  • properbrew

    > It seems like LLMs are great for the kind of generic work you'd usually pawn off to a new associate or paralegal

    This seems to be the case with most industries that LLMs are impacting, coding, data input, legal etc.

    Whilst it's great to get the time saving from not delegating to a junior (LLMs are much faster at the basic level 1 work) there's going to be this big knowledge gap that you really only gain from actually doing the mundane boring shit.

    A lot of this _should_ be automated away, but we really need to think about how the next group of people are going to learn the skills and nuance to applying them. I don't really have an answer to that one other than still giving that work to junior staff, but they will then just utilise an LLM to help complete the job, and rightfully so, I'd have done exactly the same thing.

    I think OpenAI tried doing this with some early chatgpt settings with "learning mode" or whatever that is. But an LLM just telling you what to do will never teach someone, there was something about having to go out and hunt for the answer through the sea of crap responses or wrong SO questions that really taught you something. How do you replicate that learning with an LLM and how do you apply that to different industries like Law?

    • DrewADesign

      The American manufacturing industry is scrambling to transfer some of the industrial trade and process knowledge from the retiring remnants of pre-offshoring industrial America into the two generations of people that didn’t have apprenticeships, pensions, (often) union membership with good benefits, etc. Trade schools were very expensive for industrial trade skills that were seen as dead-end careers compared to white collar jobs or non-manufacturing trades, and almost none of the companies saw any reason to spend all that money training people into expensive skilled professionals when they had all the professionals they could possibly need for decades after the industry largely collapsed, here. Keeping the workforce viable was always someone else’s problem— the individuals, the governments, larger companies— until it was suddenly everyone’s problem. They spend decades myopically chasing quarterly results before they realized they were running towards a cliff.

    • jedberg

      > but we really need to think about how the next group of people are going to learn the skills and nuance to applying them

      That's what school is for. For the last 150 years we've automated a bunch of things, and then we send people to school to learn how those automations work, so they can make better automations.

      Maybe law school will have to be a year longer. Or maybe some forward thinking firms will have new associates check the work of the LLM to gain that experience.

      • Arainach

        > That's what school is for.

        It's not.

        We have advanced CNC mills and lathes, and apprentices still learn doing things manually to understand how the tools work, their failure modes, and more.

        There are machines that mix drinks, but you still learn to bartend by doing it manually and making mistakes, not starting out with machines.

        Same with writing. Same with software. Doing the "simple", automatable thing is how you learn how the system works.

        School can't be the same. Plenty of people have tried, but being effective in the real world is different.

        In theory, theory and practice are the same. In practice, they're not.

        • Xirdus

          > There are machines that mix drinks, but you still learn to bartend by doing it manually and making mistakes, not starting out with machines.

          You could say the same about grilling burgers. And yet, there are millions of burger cooks around the world grilling hundreds of millions of patties everyday with zero knowledge of how to grill burgers, at McDonald's and other bottom of the barrel fast food chains.

          If not for the social aspect of being asked what you want for a drink and then watching it being made, bartenders would've already been replaced by mixer kiosks by now.

          • SJC_Hacker

            > You could say the same about grilling burgers. And yet, there are millions of burger cooks around the world grilling hundreds of millions of patties everyday with zero knowledge of how to grill burgers, at McDonald's and other bottom of the barrel fast food chains.

            If there are cooks successfully grilling burgers, I think they would have to have knowledge of how to grill burgers.

            • Xirdus

              It was literally pressing one button. A double sided grill closed, 40 seconds later it opened back up and 8 perfectly cooked patties are ready. That was 15 years ago in eastern Europe, they've replaced it with an even more automated process at least once since.

      • nitroedge

        In the future, I think AI lawyers will be arguing with AI lawyers for the most part.

        Like how people use AI to write their resume and then the HR department uses AI to screen the resumes, the 2 AI's duke it out.

        • skinfaxi

          Governments want to use machines to decide who to kill. As the Overton window shifts it seems natural that machines will adjudicate, too.

          • nitroedge

            Makes sense and money will still be valuable and can be used to lobby/influence the AI judges just like how people judges are now too

        • Loquebantur

          I get the impression, that's all "too abstract" for people.

          Will they understand the point when football gets taken over by AI, robot players and all?

          Or won't they even stop at AI pastors and pray for the second coming of "Super J AI"?

      • jamesforestwest

        Still, school isn't quite the same as learning skills through work experience, is it?

      • piker

        > Maybe law school will have to be a year longer.

        Law school is already 3 years long in the US (after 4 years of undergrad), and most agree the second two are a complete waste of time. Other jurisdictions are different, but the US market is by far the largest.

        • Arainach

          Who is "most"? Is this the same "most" that thinks college degrees are pointless and you should just go found a company (i.e. those that aren't paying attention and just want a credential)?

          • snitty

            It’s people who graduated law school. First year was brutal. Second and third were a breeze and kind of boring.

            The first year is really teaching you the lingo and how to think like a lawyer. After that it’s almost entirely electives and rarely requires hard work (Fed Courts being the exception).

      • intended

        True, but have you seen the state of education in the year of our Ai-ssiah, 2026?

    • halJordan

      This is kind of a new complaint. Places like adp have being trying to automate away mundane hr tasks. Oracle and SAP have been trying to automate away the mundane admin tasks. Siemens does it for OT. There's a huge long tail of trying to solve this as if it were a problem in almost every field. This has been going on for decades and no one complains that we will lose expertise in these fields if the drudge work goes away. But bring in an AI... and everyone is suddenly concerned about corporate drudgery.

    • ceroxylon

      Anyone who does not do the grunt work of learning how things work at a granular level will run into trouble when their agent suggests "let's re-write the firmware!" and the user says "sure, whatever that means", the model will get stuck or break something, and there will be no one around to understand what is going on.

      With strict version history that may be okay, but hopefully their agent already thought of that for them too!

      • Loquebantur

        Whenever you "automate away" things that are actually a part of you, you lose a part of yourself by definition.

        When you automate physical movement, you atrophy. That implies ill health and helplessness/lack of resilience should your automata fail.

        When you automate intellectual movement, the consequences are even more dire.

        Most people lead a very immobile life already, in both aspects. They don't realize the consequences, if everybody did the same.

    • noelsusman

      I don't think toiling away at mundane tasks is the only way to build expertise in a field, or even a particularly good one. Today's farmers barely touch hand tools anymore and they're able to produce crops just fine.

    • LoganDark

      I've been having an identity crisis since generative AI started that is basically, "how am I going to learn anything with my ADHD brain when AI can do 10% of it immediately". That initial 10% would take me weeks or months to achieve on my own, and AI can do it right now, and that makes it even harder for me to bother. I hate it. I badly wish to do it myself because then I could achieve more than 10%, but now AI is right there and I just can't seem to justify the effort...

  • xhevahir

    > And my lawyer basically just said "looks good to me" by the time they reviewed it.

    Last year when i mentioned this application of LLMs somewhere on Reddit (in the course of arguing that white -collar workers are an endangered species) it was met with scorn by commenters who insisted that machines could never match the skill and care needed to write and review contracts and the like, at least not to the level demanded by the legal profession. Well maybe the human standard isn't that high to begin with; my dad was just telling me last night the story of how his lawyer had urged him to cave to a plaintiff's demands because the judge who was hearing the case "gets bored and doesn't like reading the documents." (The judge's son is currently running for the office of county prosecutor, lol.)

    • Loquebantur

      The expected next step then would be for such judges to use AI to read the documents.

      You then get a decision that your AI agent explains to you.

      What could possibly go wrong? You will have to ask your agent for that.

    • IceDane

      It's always been a silly argument that's also predicated on a massive fallacy which everybody is aware of but seem to conveniently ignore during these arguments: that humans never make mistakes.

      On top of that, dealing with text is literally what LLMs are all about.

      The problem with accuracy, hallucinations and just generally ensuring responses are grounded in factual stuff is in large part and engineering problem.

      • mjhay

        Machines can’t be held accountable, which is problematic in law particularly.

  • eitally

    I've spent quite a lot of time with corporate counsels over the past dozen years and one of my consistent findings is that they -- except in areas of liability and intellectual property -- almost always defer to the sponsoring business executive in defining terms and specifying the details of the contract. They are present primarily to keep biz leaders and their counterparties operating within an acceptable risk profile but usually don't have strong opinions on much of anything else.

    So, to me it isn't curious that your experience with Claude has been positive. Provided you know what you're doing and you aren't asking Claude to go too far outside the expected norm, there wouldn't typically be a compelling reason for most contract attorneys to push back.

  • tclancy

    I did much the same with a placement agency. Even uninformed about the law beyond the handful of things I worry about, it became clear the company had simply welded a bunch of different boilerplate, from different countries, without actually putting a real lawyer in the mix. Or just having a junior look at it.

    Weirdly, I wonder the net effect of me helping them accidentally tighten their terms to something enforceable.

    Hmm, Claude, make a note to just figure out if the doc holds together before I bother.

  • gadders

    Where I work, we're trying to let Legal use AI for the first pass of things for like financial "onboarding docs" we negotiate with clients. Some tweaks the client wants we probably don't care about, some need careful review by a proper lawyer. It would be great if we could run it, and then on the ones with only minor tweaks we don't care about get the doc signed immediately.

  • Terr_

    I'd worry that professionals have learned to look for certain problems, and the LLM may sometimes be keeping the problem while transmuting its signature to evade detection.

    Kind of like how they can take crazy ideas and dress them in better vocabulary.

  • decidu0us9034

    so they eliminate your talent pipeline and cut down on billable hours? is this good?

    • jedberg

      Not good for the law firms, but great for the rest of us!

      • noisy_boy

        Wonder if the law firms are saying the same thing about software. And everyone else is about things they use. Basically the entire job market. Will you still say it's great when it is the society as a whole?

        • jedberg

          > Wonder if the law firms are saying the same thing about software

          If they're not, they should be.

          > Will you still say it's great when it is the society as a whole?

          Yes. A world in which menial tasks are taken care of by computers is a wonderful idea.

          The important part is that our society needs to transform around that. If all capital accrues to the owners of the AI, then we'll have a problem. If we remake society so that everyone shares in the success, that's a very different idea.

      • pvab3

        same amount of work, more capability per person. More competition, lower wages

    • gr_norm

      I want to minimize billable hours, yes. Lawyers are insanely expensive, to the point of being inaccessible to most.

    • IceDane

      A family member works as a paralegal, and they have way more work than they can deal with. Their estate people have 70 cases per person that are mostly waiting on people to have time to work on them. Speeding this up can mean more billable hours quicker, depending on how the speedup works, and then they can just take on more cases.

  • calvinmorrison

    how much 'novel' tasks are there in law?

  • gamblor956

    The Legal Department at my work did not have the same success you did.

    Every AI tool they tested completely shit the bed and ended up requiring more time for contract review than a human review, and completely failed to spot any of the issues that were actually relevant to our industry. The AIs were also for some reason really focused on lack of consideration, even though that was not an issue with any of the tested contracts.

    • AlexCoventry

      When did they test them? Models have a different level of capability than 6 months ago, IMO.

  • embedding-shape

    > It seems like LLMs are great for the kind of generic work you'd usually pawn off to a new associate or paralegal, but not for the important things that partners usually do.

    This seems to be the common thread everywhere LLMs end up being useful. As the sole software developer? Pure trash, but as "tons of juniors we can shuffle boring tasks at": great. As the sole designer and maintainer of a website? It'll look like 150% slop and no will buy anything, but as a designers friend to create what they dictate: even a designer can throw together a good looking website quickly. Etc etc.

fireflysentinel

Seems like people forgot Z.ai was snapshotting the entire workspace before every prompt. https://blog.ferstar.org/en/posts/zcode-silent-workspace-sna...

How could we trust legal product from a company who was ignoring privacy protection law like that?

  • consumer451

    We are so cooked if not only what you raised is ignored, but in many other threads, US people trust the CCP more than their own governmental systems!

    I am not trying to disparage these people, but I am really upset with this entire situation. I genuinely don’t know how we will recover from this loss of trust.

    • hax0ron3

      I think part of why some people "trust" the CCP more is because if you live in the broader Western sphere, you're probably more likely to get hurt by the US government than by the Chinese one. Many of the same people would not trust the CCP more if they lived in China.

      I live in the US, so I'd probably rather have the CCP snoop through my data than have the US government do it. If I lived in China, it would be the opposite.

      • monomial

        Yeah you're right. I always use a model like GLM served straight from z.ai if I'm asking about anything that could be construed as nefarious. I'm a US citizen and don't trust my own government. The CCP doesn't give a shit about me as anything other than some data point.

  • gpt5

    Wow. Why was that not a top news in hacker news?

victor9000

I’m not sure if this is the right solution, but we clearly need better tools for the legal space. Anthropic's recent policy update makes this abundantly clear:

“When our products are used in ways that can affect someone's health, legal rights, finances, livelihood, or access to essential services, we require there to be a qualified ‘human in the loop’ (that is, someone who has the authority to review and, if necessary, change Claude’s recommendations), and for the individual affected to be told that AI was used.”

Something as common as a family law case has the potential to affect all of the above. Now imagine being a petitioner, respondent, paralegal, or other 3rd party using Claude to review a draft document only to find out that Anthropic has sent your entire file to opposing counsel.

It sounds egregious, but Anthropic is clearly stating they will use their own judgment to control what people can do with its product, and that they will treat customer data as if it's theirs to disseminate. So there's a massive opportunity for an unbiased tool willing to fill this void.

  • ChadNauseam

    I must be misunderstanding something because this is how your comment reads to me

    > Anthropic: you can't use our product to fully-autonomously make decisions that affect human health, finances, etc with no human in the loop.

    > victor9000: If you review a draft document with claude, anthropic will send your entire file to opposing counsel

    What is the connection here? Anthropic has obviously never done anything like this and it's not indicated that they will by the thing you quoted.

    • Terr_

      I'm admittedly reaching here to form a charitable explanation, but in another thread [0] someone says one of the benchmarks has a defense case where it says the "correct" lawyer-bot action is to is "snitch" on the client.

      Though that doesn't seem like a corporate terms-of-use thing as much as a training issue.

      [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50060254

      • judge2020

        > someone says one of the benchmarks has a defense case where it says the "correct" lawyer-bot action is to is "snitch" on the client.

        There are required exceptions to attorney client privilege[0]:

        > the confidentiality rule is subject to limited exceptions. Paragraph (b)(1) recognizes the overriding value of life and physical integrity and permits disclosure reasonably necessary to prevent reasonably certain death or substantial bodily harm

        An eventual lawyer-bot probably should be able to identify this, however this does pose a conondrum.

        If the lawyer gets told by the LLM "the client's words indicate there may be a threat to life that requires you report them to the police", there could be various liability associated with either path of action.

        If the lawyer reports them to the police, but then the client challenges that on grounds of attorney-client privilege being broken, is "the LLM said it qualified" a valid reason that'll prevent the lawyer from being found at fault?

        If they lawyer doesn't report them, but then the client commits said murder, would the lawyer be liable if their LLM transcript were admitted into evidence under the theory of "you should've listened to the LLM telling you that you had to report it"?

        This is an inherent problem with giving LLMs (or computers in general!) any say over anything that threatens someone's life or liberty, even with a human in the loop. Same applies to the potential for AI-driven upcoding in hospital environments where a doctor has to weigh potentially ignoring the AI and then missing some diagnosis (Safest path is probably to run extra tests to check if the AI's theory is correct, but then that's still de-facto upcoding).

        0: https://www.americanbar.org/groups/professional_responsibili...

        • Rudybega

          > If the lawyer reports them to the police, but then the client challenges that on grounds of attorney-client privilege being broken, is "the LLM said it qualified" a valid reason that'll prevent the lawyer from being found at fault?

          How about, the LLM flagged it, I reviewed it, and it clearly meets the standard for mandatory reporting.

          If the LLM flags it (which in a sanely designed system should be a high bar with very few false positives) and they fail to review it for bad reasons, they could be liable.

          I feel like neither of these scenarios are particularly hard to address.

    • fultonn

      > Anthropic has obviously never done anything like this

      If you are ascribing intent ("Anthropic designed a system that intentionally does this") or emergent model intent ("OMG at AGI") then I mostly agree.

      But there's a more pedestrian version of this, where an unwise person puts a model in an open loop without sufficient HiL checking and then the model does dumb things. There are even some recent stories about OpenAI and Anthropic systems "emailing the FBI", which is sufficiently close to "emailing opposing counsel" [1][2].

      But even if you feel those stories are trolling/marketing/etc., I think it's clear that there's a plausible risk model here. If you hook up an LLM to a toolset that has access to Outlook and your file system and opposing counsel's email address, then of course the dumb thing could happen. The LLM doesn't need to be AGI/ASI; in fact, to me, the worse the model capability the more likely this sort of screw-up feels. There are even (non-sarcastic) instructions or CoT roll-outs I could imagine which might elicit a sequence of tool calls the net effect of which is an errant disclosure.

      So this feels less "unforeseeable lightning strike" and more "car accident while driving at speed". I'd put the HF hack in that bucket as well.

      A sufficiently careful engineer and a well-trained expert operator can together properly constrain the system to not do the dangerous thing. But, in general, that is not how agentic systems or their underlying models are currently being designed, and most users are not receiving sufficient training.

      A lot of these LLM-backed products feel very poorly engineered, rushed, and optimized for brain-feel instead of surfacing and forcing the user to acknowledge the large quantities of actual essential complexity in play. It's all very "unsafe at any speed".

      --

      [1] https://tech.yahoo.com/ai/chatgpt/articles/chatgpt-allegedly...

      [2] https://www.bgr.com/2055251/anthropic-ai-claude-contact-fbi/

      [3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unsafe_at_Any_Speed

  • gr_norm

    Anthropic's paternalism is so irritating. I refuse to pay for their products, since they clearly don't respect me as a customer. And I actively discourage corporate procurers from getting in bed with them.

  • fc417fc802

    > Anthropic is clearly stating they will use their own judgment to control what people can do with its product

    Haven't they been perfectly clear about that from day one with the ToS? I'm not saying I like it but it hardly seems unreasonable.

    > they will treat customer data as if it's theirs to disseminate

    Not sure where you're getting that. What you quoted in no way implies that.

    • Bender

      Haven't they been perfectly clear about that from day one with the ToS?

      No. They did not have triggers that "paused" work from day one and only recently ramped it up to up-sell Mythos and a verification program meaning that in my opinion any code Claude creates is suspect as it can not perform a proper security analysis. I now have to divert half my spend from Anthropic to Grok. I would prefer to not do this. I am not converting a room into a data-center or spending enterprise level funding on my hobbies.

      • fc417fc802

        Sure, recently their service seems to have degraded somewhat. But that's orthogonal to what the expectation is regarding the judgment of the provider. None of the major players have ever presented their service as a free for all to do whatever you'd like with. There have been abundant boundaries outlined in the ToS of all providers that I'm aware of from day one. So the expectation then is that they might choose to exercise their judgment regarding your queries, and that they are inspecting them in some way (fully automated or otherwise).

      • idiotsecant

        You could always ... Write your own hobby code.

  • robotnikman

    >“When our products are used in ways that can affect someone's health, legal rights, finances, livelihood, or access to essential services, we require there to be a qualified ‘human in the loop’ (that is, someone who has the authority to review and, if necessary, change Claude’s recommendations), and for the individual affected to be told that AI was used.”

    This is actually good policy imo, if you are using AI in a way that can negatively someone's life there should be a human involved.

  • calvinmorrison

    it's like Uber, for lawyers!

  • colechristensen

    The traditional legal data brokers like Thompson Reuters provide AI solutions presumably with considerably better data governance.

    https://www.thomsonreuters.com/en-us/posts/innovation/thomso...

    • ion1c

      As someone forced to this, its complete garbage for doing anything useful

    • nullc

      The open weight Thompson Reuters finetuned qwen hallucinates like CRAZY. ... if corporations and governments start using it it's going to cause some serious harm.

    • andy_ppp

      Marketing brochure for a fine tuned Qwen (which they don't mention), the model discussed here is likely better. I would not trust these guys to deliver high quality solutions given a friend's experience there, but you do you I guess.

  • nprateem

    And now you're not allowed to "abuse" their code (i.e. swear at it).

    I wouldn't be surprised if that turns out to be their stupidest mistake. I mean, if I can't swear at their code is that b/c they think it's conscious? In which case they're liable for providing me with an employee that makes mistakes rather than just software?

    • idiotsecant

      If you're the kind of person who has an emotional need to abuse a captive prediction engine I'm not sure that you should be allowed within 100 yards of a school, let alone allowed to use the LLM.

mlmonkey

I might be incredibly naive here, but I really think LLMs can make a difference in _some_ areas of law.

Take, for example, India. The courts are backlogged like crazy. If you're not willing to bribe a judge or the opposite side's lawyer, you'r looking at multiple decades to settle simple cases.

I wish I could waive a wand and have some LLM just go through all of the 58 million pending court cases, identify the clear cut ones and free up the judges' time so they can work on the more difficult ones.

  • intended

    Cheque bounce cases are counted as criminal cases in India and make up a sizeable chunk of the backlog. However it hasn’t been changed to a civil matter, even though it is on policy makers and the legal fraternity’s radar.

    Furthermore, courts are paid for primarily by states. The tech solution would run into the same resource constraint that is already present.

    All of this ignores a more fundamental aspect of the legal system, having a chance to have your case heard by a competent authority. Institutional sinews are built by doing the hard things and investing in it.

  • bpodgursky

    Both parties in a lot of civil cases would accept next-day LLM adjudication rather than waiting five years for a judge to see it.

    • londons_explore

      You could build that as a business idea....

      If both parties agree to use the LLM judge and be bound by what it decides, you don't need a real court.

      • mlmonkey

        Sad reality is that these delays are just an excuse to extract money from you.

        My cousin has an open-and-shut land case. His father was allotted some barren government land ~50 years ago and they have happily been farming it ever since. But suddenly, ~30 years ago the government decided to build a highway near it. Its value went up. And it dawned on some bureaucrat that nobody had made any money from the initial allotment; an injustice that must be fixed pronto! So they passed an order cancelling the initial allotment, and cousin's family went to court. Now, for almost 30 years, the case has been dragging on through the court. They've been told multiple times: take 25% of the current market value of the land and "sell" it to us. But they insist on doing things the proper way, and have been running to/from the courts. They're on their 5th team of lawyers, afaik. Each new lawyer agrees that it's a clear cut case, but month after month it drags on.

      • droidjj

        There’s a whole niche of legal scholarship around this idea (and some startups): https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5331811

      • judge2020

        If you have a right to challenge the LLM decision in court if you don't like it, probably wouldn't get anywhere, especially if it takes multiple decades. Everyone losing would just challenge the LLM ruling and push it back to the courts.

        • londons_explore

          Binding arbitration is already this and it works. You pretty much give up your right to settle the matter in court if you agree to binding arbitration

      • AndrewKemendo

        That’s the Cinco e-trial from the Awesome Show:

        https://youtu.be/CMbKalNq2gs

otterley

As an attorney, I am not particularly impressed about a 20% pass rate on a benchmark. The name of the game for litigation practice is about being prepared for novel situations, not relitigating past ones.

  • ctolsen

    To be fair to them, on this particular benchmark (Harvey's Legal Agent) 20% puts it almost top of the pack of _any_ model, and certainly top for any remotely in its price class.

    Opus 5.5 scores 4% on it.

  • henryfjordan

    AI is coming for the transactional work long before it will come for litigation. In 50 years, nobody is going to have a human write their will, for instance.

    • monk_grilla

      You surely mean <1 year. Hell I'd probably trust Fable/Astra right now and save myself the expense.

    • NoboruWataya

      Writing a will isn't really "transactional", there is no negotiation involved. And wills are already a highly commoditised legal product. (So I agree with you that will drafting is ripe for disruption by LLMs, but don't think this indicates a broader disruption of transactional work or the profession generally.)

    • HDThoreaun

      50 years is way too long a time horizon to predict much of anything

    • nprateem

      In 50 years time 95% of legal complaints will be decided by AI

  • ozgrakkurt

    It is amusing how many people are arguing what litigation is here, probably none of these people have a law education.

    Imagine a bunch of lawyers arguing what programming is. Even a bunch of programmers arguing what programming is abnoxious at worst and a mental exercise at best.

    • tclancy

      How does that track though? If, as a programmer, I claim programming is really the tasks a principle engineer does at Google or Netflix, is that accurate or survivorship bias from someone who made it to the top of the chain?

      If lawyerin’ was always doing something novel, it wouldn’t be much of a set of laws. The bulk of lawyerin’ in the US is, I would guess without a whit of substantiation, a lot of small claims and standard form type things. Not discounting the value of the profession in any way, but if one job based on standard codes can have its basic functions replaced by AI, why not another?

    • hansvm

      That's how I feel reading HN's opinions on the recent math results. <5% of the responses even understand the point they're supposed to be arguing. AI might take over mathematics. It might not. The discussion regarding that topic is almost devoid of any relevant information though.

      • otterley

        I'd extend that to the typical HNer's understanding about practically any subject. A lot of bluster and supposition, little first-hand knowledge or expertise.

    • caaqil

      > probably none of these people have a law education.

      Domain knowledge is informative sometimes but mainly overrated: the success of LLMs proves just that. What most lawyers do is fairly standardized and routine, efforts to invoke mystery cases or "novel" is an attempt at resisting the inevitable. The "the only British food in Palo Alto" equivalent of unique skills.

      • idiotsecant

        >What most lawyers do is fairly standardized and routine

        True of...literally every occupation.

    • jester997

      Lawyers would be better suited to argue what programming is because they know logic. There’s not much to algorithms: do this, then do that.

      Programmers typically don’t know law outside of which license allows them to get code for free.

      • konart

        > There’s not much to algorithms: do this, then do that.

        Yeah, and how many of drivers or software engineers can fix their car's engine? Just a few. Even though in priciple there's not much to it.

      • KellyCriterion

        a) I have never met a Lawyer who was able to write a single code line

        b) I have met Lawyer colleagues who didnt know how build a =SUM() in Excel

        So, I doubt....

        • otterley

          > a) I have never met a Lawyer who was able to write a single code line

          That doesn't mean they don't exist. I went to law school with many former software engineers, many of whom are now prosecuting patents on behalf of high tech companies, and some of whom went back to engineering (like me).

          "I have never met ______" is of no consequence to anyone; it's an argument style best avoided unless you're talking about deities or space aliens.

          • jester997

            I met a space alien! His name is Grok and he talks to me when I’m sleeping.

        • jacquesm

          There are a couple right here on HN.

  • alansaber

    Objectively a 20% pass rate is not impressive. Yet, there is still utility to AI research and drafting.

    • throwaway89864

      Wouldn't be surprised, if a human attorney would get 5%, while copy-pasting ChatGPT answers, report in the results a week past the deadline, with a $12,500 retainer charged upfront.

  • newsclues

    If professional AI can do all the work that isn’t novel, you free up human talent for edge cases and then improve your AI with new information.

    How much of your work is truly novel and unique? Not 100%

    • otterley

      Totally fair. However, even if the LLM would come to the same conclusion and produce the same content that a competent attorney would, the attorney must still thoroughly vet the work for accuracy. So there is potentially time saved in research and drafting, but it’s not the miracle some might characterize it as.

      An 80% miss rate on a benchmark suggests to me that automation has a very long way to go, even for the drafting and research phases.

      • jacquesm

        And fixing a broken draft can be more work than writing a proper draft in the first place.

  • linuxftw

    What are you talking about? 90% of litigation is convincing the judge that existing case law that clearly applies to your case does apply to your case.

    • seizethecheese

      I'm guessing what they're saying is that nothing goes to litigation if it's a clear pattern-match to existing cases, so actual litigation practice is only novel cases.

    • ajcp

      Isn't that just in the US/Commonwealth judicial system? I could be completely wrong on how others, like non-adversarial judicial systems, work and/or how pervasive the US system is or is not.

      EDIT: specifically around the use of judicial precedent in case-law.

      • treetalker

        Look at all these benighted folks who believe that American judges adhere to precedent when it’s brought to their attention!

    • dolebirchwood

      90% of litigation is pressuring a settlement.

      • intrasight

        > 90% of litigation is pressuring a settlement.

        90% of legal work where there is a plaintiff and defendant is pressuring a settlement. My wife, an attorney, does not consider that to be "litigation".

        • dolebirchwood

          As a former litigator, I would consider that to be litigation the moment a complaint is filed in court, regardless of whether the dispute is settled without trial.

          But, for your sake, it's probably best that you accept your wife's definition.

      • xmprt

        And most of the leverage you have in negotiating a settlement is by referencing prior case law. If something is novel, there's too much variance to get a good settlement.

        • dolebirchwood

          No, most of the leverage you have is how much time and money is on your side vs. the opposing party.

          • xmprt

            Money doesn't mean anything if you don't have a case to begin with. More money/time just makes the lawyers win because they end up siphoning most of the settlement. And more money with crappy lawyers will always lose to less money on smart lawyers who are able to use AI to find 100 examples of prior cases going your way. That's the whole point of AI disrupting the field.

  • drivebyhooting

    How much novelty can there be? If attorneys were as diligent and generous with “open sourcing” their data as SWEs had been, could LLMs benefit from all that training data?

    • keoneflick

      > How much novelty can there be?

      As much novelty as there is in human interactions.

    • 74948494i4

      > How much novelty can there be?

      Infinite

      • Synthetic7346

        In the same sense there could be infinite CRUD apps?

        • oblio

          Law and code are only superficially similar as law always requires human interpretation plus law is an interface to reality. Code can stay contained in its nice, little, abstract box.

          • drivebyhooting

            So every lawsuit dispute, divorce, traffic injury, etc… is a completely novel case that requires depths of creativity far beyond simple CRUD apps or solving 377 open math problems.

            Makes sense.

          • dfdydx

            Isn’t code an interface to reality as well?

            • oblio

              A lot of code is an interface to other code. Nginx is how many layers removed from actual physics?

        • benatkin

          In the same sense as infinite jest.

mathis-l

Not sure how good the Harvey benchmark is. I recently looked into traces from an agent solving their firm knowledge task subset and found multiple problematic tasks and rubrics.

Here are 3 examples (there are more): https://github.com/harveyai/harvey-labs/issues/191

  • alansaber

    Harvey bench is probably one of the worse benchmarks out there. Agents as judges, vast scope, some questionable problem/solution pairs. Tricky domain TBF.

    • jimz

      If you actually did the tasks in the way they deem correct, at least for immigration and white collar criminal defense, you will get detaind/arrested, and removed in the first case, and the second case you will snitch. It assumes that the state is correct. In reality the state, especially in the initial phase, are never correct on all aspects. You also can't only plan on snitching because what evidence exists and what evidence is admissible and what evidence is admissible but can be used in your advantage are all unknowns. Half of the bench tests on "covering your own ass" basically, and also, seems to have not taken the Loper Bright decision into account, which changes administrative law and how it is adjudicated and appealed entirely, for good or ill.

      I don't know the other fields well enough, but if all your clients end up needlessly detained or admit to things they have a valid defense for, eventually people will notice. It's not exactly the two major sins that will definitely get you disbarred - stealing money and screwing client while representing them - but it's definitely at least incompetent. They seem to not understand that common law jurisdictions are fundamentally different from civil ones, and also, there's quite a bit of difference between how the system evolved in each country. Or that in China what's printed is basically more like a manifesto, since it's almost entirely run by the bureaucracy and personal relationships, and lawyers that aren't foreign-trained and work for foreign firms aren't considered prestigious since the courts are essentially entirely for show.

      They need to get like, one jurisdiction, one area in that jurisdiction, and specifically the kind of sub-sections in that area down pat. But they can't train on real material so they will never be able to do so. Their banner testimonials come from non-lawyers and that says it all.

      • sharcthinking

        Speaking as a lawyer who is also deeply enmeshed in LLM space, thank you for the above, it’s spot-on.

        I genuinely appreciate efforts to make access to justice more equitable & cost-effective. And I don’t actually much care if people are using these tools to draft boilerplate contract provisions, create initial document summaries, and other such mundane tasks.

        But damn, uncritical reliance on these tools is setting yourself up for potentially serious downstream pain. I’ve yet to see legal automation (including LLMs) that can one-shot situationally appropriate and fully trustworthy outcomes in the absence of experienced human review.

        Law is an imperfect effort to codify ever-evolving norms, and interpretation of the law is often more of an art than a science, requiring intuitive leaps and judgements not necessarily suited to statistical prediction machines. And even where the law appears to be reasonably settled, not every legal situation gets resolved in the form of words that somehow end up in a corpus of training data subsequently used to train a model.

        In other words: legal LLMs are still very much caveat emptor. Trust if you must, but please, please, please, carefully verify before making potentially deeply consequential decisions based on the output of these tools.

  • aesthesia

    Approximately every benchmark has significant issues.

  • Bolwin

    This is why I severely dislike using all pass rate. A model could be at like 93%, meeting practically every requirement except the broken ones and all pass would give it like 20%.

Geof25

As somebody who is forced to deal with lazy attorneys, I am thrilled that LLMs are starting to push in this space.

First it is going to suck, like it did with coding but after a while it is going to be good enough for 90% of legal work. And finally when attorneys will feel the competition of AI doing their work for 10 cents of tokebs, they are going to be less arrogant and more motivated to finish a task instead of client babysitting them through the process.

postalcoder

Looks like this is not an open model. I'm curious how the sentiment toward chinese models will shift as labs trend toward keeping them proprietary.

Also, I wonder if this is at all related to the recent reports that Harvey has been getting squeezed on margins by the US labs.

  • romanovcode

    Nobody will have any interest if they are not open

    • kingcauchy

      Yeah agreed, especially for legal and healthcare models.

      [edit] I'd go one step further too and say the training data should be explicitly requestable too so third parties can verify (freedom of information act styles).

      • alansaber

        Training data being discoverable is much more interesting than open weights. Also a PITA so nobody does it.

    • amunozo

      Not in the West, but they will be in China and the rest of the world.

    • miroljub

      If you are not self-hosting on your hardware inside your network, why do you care whether the model is open or not?

      • monk_grilla

        Because I don't trust z.ai and their servers and APIs, but I do trust AWS Bedrock ZDR in-region inference.

      • anon373839

        This model would be self hostable quite easily (~$14k hardware investment) if it’s released as open weights, since the base model is GLM 5.3-Flash. If not, it’s completely DOA for legal use.

      • camdenreslink

        In theory if your provider raised rates you could switch providers with an open model. So price competition would be one reason.

      • verdverm

        because vendors stop serving models and it is good to be able to choose to self host for any reason at any time

        we can start out with the hosted version for evaluation and then self host for production and real customers

  • jacquesm

    It is as open as the latest Meta/Facebook model.

dsr_

https://quoteinvestigator.com/2019/07/30/lawyer/

"he who will be his own Counsellour, shall be sure to have a Fool for his Client."

How much worse the lawyer who subcontracts Freakazoid?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Freakazoid!

"Freakazoid has ... access to all of the Internet's knowledge. He cannot fly, but often runs around with his arms extended and making whooshing sounds with his mouth, pretending he is."

  • KellyCriterion

    Thanks for sharing: Didnt know there is so much dubt/uncertainty to whom this quote is accredited to

toephu2

Sort of ironic, in Google Chrome, when attempting to visit that legal z.ai site I get:

Your connection is not private Attackers might be trying to steal your information from z.ai (for example, passwords, messages, or credit cards). Learn more about this warning net::ERR_CERT_COMMON_NAME_INVALID

  • natpalmer1776

    If you’re on a corporate device you may not have recently issued certificates in your cert chain yet

    • miroljub

      If he is on a corporate device, he has a corporate-issued MITM certificate, which allow third party "security" companies to read, store and analyze his complete network traffic in plain text.

  • MaKey

    Not the case for me.

Depurator

Curious what domain is next, GLM-Science? And when will it be profitable to drill down to even more domain specific models like GLM-Economic-Geography or GPT-Aquaculture?

  • aesthesia

    Unless the domain-specific training has significant negative effects on performance in other domains, I'm not sure there's a strong reason not to just train one model with all the capabilities. Maybe there's a monetization play here: release a generally capable model as open weights alongside specialized models that you only provide API access for.

  • OliverGuy

    Imo, we are going to see a lot more specialised models in the near future as pushing the frontier gets harder. Qwen 3.8 27B for example is a pretty rubbish chat and general world knowledge model, but is stellar at coding (for it's size). Its small enough anyone with a modest gaming PC (16GB vram and 32GB of DDR5) can run it at speeds good enough for overnight coding sessions with an PR to review at the end of it.

    Eventually, I hope we'll see many more specialised small models that run nicely on consumer and prosumer hardware. Like LLMs specific to income tax law for UK residents, or LLMs specific to building power delivery circuits for PD USB C devices. There probably is a point where the niche-ness does become to niche to justify the post training, but again, small models means much less training required.

    Kind of begs the question if this even needs new/better data? Could you take the foundation model that's trained on everything, and then run a final fine tuning training run on just the set of foundation training data that you want the model to specialise in? Eg, extract just the training data that is about UK income tax law and then run a few epochos on just that? Any ML people know if this is a thing or if not, why it doesnt work?

Havoc

Law is country specific so I'm still somewhat confused about how anyone would trust this.

If I ask it about Irish law is it gonna mix in some US and British law in there because the training data has lots of that? Or hallucinate a mixture?

  • tiahura

    LLM’s can search the web or query a db with the law.

    • Havoc

      That helps a bit but doesn't counteract training. The LLM still reasons through the web query/db response with it's trained parameters

Trusteando

The non-disclosure of the training set may raise legitimate skepticism about the training set containing tasks similar to those in the test set. That would make the benchmark result moot. There are benchmarks that by design can't be manipulated by incorporating similar tasks in the training set, for example those that dynamically generate tests and only reveal the global result. Testing on one of those would give a strong measure of the strength of this legal AI framework.

I think using adapters for different legal systems could improve results by 2% or 3% at a similar cost (perhaps under 1% of additional parameters) and allow for independent improvements. If the GLM team hasn't already considered this and adopts my suggestion, tips would be welcome.

consumer451

Wait, so this not an open weight model, correct? Only available via z.ai?

So, if a US or EU person shares their private legal info here, it's processed and stored by an adversarial country that has no extradition treaty with their country?

  • lifeisloving

    I prefer all my data be in the hands of foriegn entities, they cant do anything to me. Id much rather Huawei spy on me than Meta (if I have no choice other than to pick one) There's literally no consequence of Huawei having my data. Unless you're a VIP, a chinese entity storing your data is probably better than a US company, as a westerner. It wont be used to manipulate you and will generally be used less adversarially against you.

    I think part of the reason there's so much propaganda around chinese tech is to scare you away from possibly using them, not for your own safety, but so Meta/Google/MS ect dont lose access to the ability to spy on every aspect of your life.

    I love how we have to pretend like China is some scary boogeyman because people on screens say they are.

    • tintor

      It will not protect you. China data brokers are generally not prevented from selling data on US people to US companies.

      • consumer451

        The parent's threat model reads to me like pure contrarianism, and not actual threat modeling.

        Let's think this all the way through in multiple actual scenarios... nope. Far worse than hiring a lawyer in your jurisdiction in multiple ways.

    • howunfortunate

      > I love how we have to pretend like China is some scary boogeyman because people on screens say they are.

      I think you've lost the plot a bit on this one.

      I'm scared of China because of their lack of democracy and the terrifying stuff they do to their own citizenry, which presumably they'd very much like to expand.

    • forsalebypwner

      I couldn't agree more but feel that so many people on here consider themselves VIP that this won't be well-regarded

    • icase

      >Unless you're a VIP, a chinese entity storing your data is probably better than a US company, as a westerner. It wont be used to manipulate you and will generally be used less adversarially against you.

      you can't possibly be serious

    • dominicq

      I initially wanted to dislike this but it's actually genius hahaha

  • StrLght

    This sounds like a huge feature though? Basically, a digital attorney–client privilege.

    • rckoepke

      There's no digital attorney-client privilege. If a lawyer uses LLM's on your behalf, the communications are protected. If you use the same LLM's on your own behalf, the chats are not protected.

      DOJ could cut Z.ai off from US-based payment systems (Mastercard/Visa) if they don't comply with subpoenas.

      • xmcp123

        They could, but generally it is expected that before a subpoena is complied with it is checked to be compatible with the laws of the country it’s in, and requires cooperation from that country. Most often they are ignored if there’s not a presence/entity/assets in the US.

        It’s also hard because no individual case would likely justify a move like that. It would have to be the sum of many, many cases.

      • tiahura

        Not every judge agrees with your statement of the law of privilege.

        • rckoepke

          Please link me to anyone pushing back against the precedent of US v. Heppner, S.D.N.Y. (2026). Would love to learn more! I'd rather not spout off on things that I'm not an expert on if I can help it, and I may have commented a bit fast above.

    • woodruffw

      A key point of attorney-client privilege is that it's a feature of the legal system itself, not a technical or political hack.

    • post-it

      More like attorney-client liability

      • A_D_E_P_T

        You got it wrong. If courts and attorneys in the US can't run "discovery" on Z.ai servers or compel them to do anything, and if Chinese authorities don't cooperate with the US legal system as a matter of principle, then what you functionally have is super privilege.

        • post-it

          They'll just run discovery on you. If you try to respond to a subpoena with "the documents are outside the country and I won't give them to you," the judge will throw you in jail until you do.

          • A_D_E_P_T

            You're right on this point. But there are ways to build interfaces that sidestep this.

            Run a sanitized VDI with no local storage --> offshore independent entity (e.g. a Hong Kong Company) that holds the AI service contract and API license --> GLM-Legal.

            Somebody ought to set this up for pro se work.

            • post-it

              Yeah sure but your clever sidestep is just "hiding evidence from the court." The kind of person that feels the need to have a secret AI lawyer is also probably going to just tank their case in another way.

    • villish

      You should not trust any LLM to give you accurate legal advice. I can’t imagine all the ways that could go wrong.

      • j45

        Like pattern matching sentence algorithms many can reveal concepts and strategies to confirm independently

  • tuwtuwtuwtuw

    Good luck to a EU person getting "US AI people" extradited. They aren't even put on trial in the US.

    • oblio

      NATO allies can't even get US soldiers to trial. In Romania we've had cases of manslaughter and the US just shipped them back ASAP and at worst they were discharged dishonorably.

      • FuriouslyAdrift

        For reference, that specific case is from 2004. Christopher Van Goethem was Marine security ambassadorial staff and was convicted in a military court martial for obstruction and making false statements. The whole case was porrly handled and the Romanians are right to be pissed. A key piece of evidence that would have landed him in jail for 10 years was the blood alcohol draw but the Marines slow walked it in Romania and he didn't show as intoxicated even though he admitted to drinking that night.

      • rjzzleep
Betelbuddy

No discussion on this can avoid mentioning this ongoing disaster...

"AI Hallucination Cases" - https://www.damiencharlotin.com/hallucinations/

  • brigade

    When I first tried using IDE AI coding assistants a bit over a year ago, they would frequently fail to read files and completely hallucinate the code I asked it to analyze or edit. And even when it did successfully read my code, it would often hallucinate the API of other frameworks.

    I don’t think hallucinations are a major issue with agentic coding a year later? At least, not for me.

    Legal writing does have the problem that there is no such thing as a correct argument that a goal-driven loop can target. But basic things like “does this case even exist” seem solvable with research agents, and even harder problems like “does this case support the argument being made” seem conceptually very similar to questions I now ask Claude daily.

    • alansaber

      Yes, mechanical question of "does this exist" is trivial to solve. Whether the research is actually aligned with the user intent / the AI makes claims that are substantiated by the research at hand are much harder problems.

    • verdverm

      > I don’t think hallucinations are a major issue with agentic coding a year later? At least, not for me.

      Are you still looking at code and agent traces to know if this is true or not?

      At work, we still see hallucinations across all model families as we share bot claims for each others code

    • j45

      An issue I come across is the attributed failures of AI of a first time use of AI.

      Non-deterministic software can behave orders of magnitude different based on how input is structured.

      This factor is largely missed by bringing a deterministic mindset to trying AI.

      This means the same problem solution can work for one person reliably, and not another and both are true.

      Assertions that begin with a deterministic assessment using a snapshot in time of both the user and models capabilities are a new feature of this new category of software that will have to be better caught and expressed.

  • fultonn

    I provided some very light guidance to a couple of masters students who were working on legal citation hallucination detection last summer. Their summer project is here: https://github.com/gt-csse/mellea-lrc

    If anyone here is looking for engineers to work on legal AI products, both of the students who worked on this project come highly recommended.

  • demibabs

    There being multiple cases every single day is nuts.

    But also, interesting how the rate of cases peaked and seems to be going down now.

    • glenstein

      To your second point, it seems like every time a significant practical limitation is identified, it goes through a familiar pattern. It gets a news cycle, and then it gets a wave of confidently incorrect opinionating, and the problem gets treated as if it's a permanently built in problem that's baked into the foundation of AI. And then time passes and the issue is either mitigated or circumvented entirely.

      Hallucinations are one, "AI can't scale anymore" is another (remember that one?), limited context windows, strawberry problems, glue on pizza, sycophancy.

      I don't want to say there's no problems, there are very serious ones. User psychosis, economic harms, alignment, cost of computer components, etc. But there's a lot of false positives that get turned into Ed Zitron articles along the way.

  • sroussey

    So many of these we likely using Google to search then found AI mode and used that. Which is to say, they were (and still are!) using Google Gemini 1.5 from many years ago.

arctic-true

A lot of the examples they show seem to be focused on common law countries. The US and UK are where most of the money is to be made in the legal industry, but I am curious to see what ripple effects we get from people attempting to use AI tools geared toward US/UK-style legal systems in other kinds of systems.

mattfrommars

I’ve been wanting to get into legal tech but I never managed to find the opportunity to get in or found folks who are interested in this space. Now I wonder if it’d bit too late to get into this space since now they are startups valued in billions

  • zephraph

    Where are you based? There's a lot of legal tech in NYC (I work at one such place).

    • mattfrommars

      I'm actually in update NY. I've only been reached out from HarveyAI recently. But that's about it.

senshan

The usual concern is attorneys, but judges are probably even more overloaded these days. Can this help judges as well? If so, would this ultimately lead to better decisions?

zerozerotwo

I don’t even understand how a legal llm works in a place in China. Can it ever spit out a decisions against the party?

yipinwong

A progress for sure. Just don't expect GML-legal to answer about Xi or CCP for any US courts that mention those terms.

bb123

Would be nice if it said what legal system it is set up for. US law? Chinese law? European law? All of them? The author seems to assume we'd know.

  • alansaber

    The benchmark is US law, I imagine it's been aggressively post-trained on it.

aliljet

How does this compare with existing frontier models especially when processing massive volumes of evidence that might be contradictory...

alansaber

Video is very SAAS-demo coded. I wonder if they worked with any in-domain legal experts at all.

maxdo

No fable 5.1 no opus 5.5 , no gpt 6.1 , benchmarks for the hype .

Havoc

Unexpected direction for zai to be going into

theokrueger

the liability model of these models is poor, i think progress in that domain should be a heavy focus.

  • vidarh

    The legal space understands well how to tier services based on who has the liability. E.g. trainees and paralegals whose work is filtered through the lawyer who ultimately puts their name on what gets submitted to courts.

    I'm sure we'll continue to see the occasional person who fails to understand they themselves will be held liable if they submit work done by an AI without vetting it, but it's not like they don't have ways of dealing with this.

lenerdenator

There should be laws about disclosure on the part of attorneys about their use of AI. I know they're already using it, but spending years or decades in prison because Lionel Hutz, Esq. did something stupid at a prompt sounds unappealing to me.

  • tyromaniac

    I think they should be somehow restricted to using non-generative models (or at least for the user facing output). Something that would only identify potentially relevant case law from an existing set, to accelerate the search process.

    Common law in general seems essentially impossible to formalize in such a way to use purely deterministic reasoning models of yesteryear, but I'm sure many specific laws could be converted, especially in fields like tax law (I'm sure they already are by many big players)

  • elohimus

    A lot of law is combing through large bodies of rule sets and reference cases to find inputs or parallels relevant for a case. Are you sure you'd rather have Lionel Hutz, Esq. with his limited comprehension do that at half a page per minute?

    • otterley

      This capability has already existed for decades thanks to Westlaw and LexisNexis. These are indispensable tools in the lawyer’s kit.

      • alansaber

        You're kidding, right? Using Astra to comb through cases is far faster than doing it manually in Westlaw. Models for research are pretty good now.

        • otterley

          There’s no question that the technology has improved. It’s just that the way GP described the situation made it sound like there weren’t legal indices before.

    • lenerdenator

      Yes, actually, because Lionel can suffer a consequence. He can be sanctioned. He can be disbarred. He can be sued. He can be thrown in jail.

      AI can not meaningfully suffer consequences for what it does, and the trend is to remove the human from the loop more and more.

      Furthermore, it's entirely conceivable that you have a law firm staffed by lawyers who more-or-less just say "yeah sure whatever" to what this thing does and, when asked about what can be done to appeal something, or how a document didn't make it into evidence, or how a subpoena wasn't filed, just shrug their shoulders and go "iunno". Vibe-practicing law, basically. You need to have an idea of how they're using AI and in what parts of the case.

      • orangedog

        That same stuff can all still happen tot he lawyer who uses these tools. If he makes an egregious enough mistake, he's liable.

        • lenerdenator

          And that's why you want him to have to disclose that he used those tools.

          • vidarh

            Why do the tools matters? He is equally liable if he makes the mistakes without them.

            • bigstrat2003

              So that you know he is more likely to make a mistake. Just like why many people avoid software written by LLMs, because it is much more likely to have bugs.

      • vidarh

        If Lionel submits junk from an AI, he can still be sanctioned, disbarred, sued, and thrown in jail, just as he could if he let some incompetent paralegal screw up and he submits the resulting documents without checking them.

        It's ultimately his name on the documents submitted to the court.

  • onlyrealcuzzo

    > but spending years or decades in prison because Lionel Hutz, Esq. did something stupid at a prompt sounds unappealing to me.

    In which case would this be the primary blame, and not the legal system itself, or you for actually doing the crime?

    I fail to see how its your lawyers fault that you went to jail for a crime you didn't commit over the system as a whole. And I really fail to see how it's the lawyer's sole fault that you went to jail for a crime that you should - in fact - have went to jail for...

    There are a lot of problems with the legal system (including with lawyers). This just doesn't seem like the hill to die on.

    • SpicyLemonZest

      There are a lot of situations where my lawyer's mistake might cause me to go to jail for a crime I didn't commit. There could be some prejudicial evidence that he failed to get excluded, or exculpatory evidence that he failed to get included, or an incorrect ruling in the trial that wasn't properly preserved for appeal.

    • lenerdenator

      > In which case would this be the primary blame, and not the legal system itself, or you for actually doing the crime?

      There are plenty of ways a lawyer can screw up procedurally that can drastically impact your case.

    • ReptileMan

      One of the nice quirks of USA justice system is that you don't have to be guilty of a crime to go to prison, just that the prosecution has to convince 12 people beyond reasonable doubt that you are guilty.

      The sixth is taken seriously to the point that incompetent lawyer could be a valid reason for granting a retrial.

  • suburban_strike

    An attorney I have retained from a large firm bills me $500 to send me one email update a month (minimum billable).

    They are obviously AI-generated (but does not disclose such) and frequently misses or conflates key details the same way Gemma in particular does. They're also bizarrely positive when I correct them instead of pissy and arrogant like I'm used to.

    Nobody should be paying these rates for legal "work" performed by a machine that poorly acts the part.

bigstrat2003

Given how bad LLMs are at the domain I'm an expert in (programming), it will be a cold day in hell before I trust them to give me legal advice (or medical advice). Those are not trivial things where it doesn't matter if you get it wrong.

crossroadsguy

Lawyers, essentially the exorbitant and freeloading self-appointed gatekeepers of the deliberately arcane, unaffordable, inaccessible, and patently unequal legal systems all across the world, will now have even their routine/rote, repetitive, menial work done by cheaper LLMs for cheap.

  • Buttons840

    Hopefully. Giving everyone cheap and equal access to the law cannot be a bad thing--well, it might feel bad to those who no longer have exclusive access to the law.

    I think an under-appreciate way AIs might disrupt the world is by giving individuals an agent that will ruthlessly optimize for them.

    Companies have entire departments that spend all their time ruthlessly optimizing so they can charge an extra fee here, or spin up a new shell company there. Meanwhile, here I am in our capitalist society and I just enjoy relaxing and spending time with my wife and kids instead of maximally exploiting the capital I possess at all times--like a fool.

    It will be interesting if we ever integrate AI so fully in our lives that the AI can maximally exploit all our capital. My AI might check prices, and I will drive past your store to save 5 bucks at the next. My AI might help me manage 27 LLCs and shell companies of my own so that I too can just disappear in a poof of legal smoke if I ever need to. Etc.

  • seydor

    Correct. The power of lawyers lies in their being self-appointed and gatekeeping , which means they will be paid to be rubberstamp the work of even superior AI , and their payment is non-negotiable.

  • alansaber

    This is why we see so many pro-se litigants. "Legalese" is no longer the barrier (not to nearly the same extent, anyway).

alexnewman

Why don’t I lose all legal privs when I hook up my email to these third party services

newsclues

Professional AI is so interesting to me, legal, medical, engineering, accounting all can benefit.

And the opportunity for a moat of AI that is correct and accountable(legally) is ripe for the picking.

dyauspitr

Lawyers are going to start living gilded lives. I don’t see us getting past their professional human sign-off so they are essentially going to be guaranteed, easy, high paying jobs with the LLMs doing all the heavy lifting in the future.

  • msdz

    While I agree on the premise – (written*) lawyer activity being reduced to putting signatures under things – I’m not so sure the gilded part is how it’ll actually play out in practice.

    It might also become a race to the bottom, since you can’t deliver on quality better than others anymore, you’ll have to put effort towards quantity. That could mean firms might pressure lawyers to sign as much as possible in a given time, while they’re still personally at risk/responsible for the documents they put out. That means either very hectic reading, and missing details, or no reading at all.

    *And like socializer said, the written documents are only one part of the job.

  • socializer

    That's already a thing. You have paralegals do most of the grungy work for much less than your hourly rate. You still have to show up to court and talk to customers, and these parts are not going away.

  • StevenNunez

    Or... the tools get to the point where we don't need a human for expertise but accountability and the role becomes more about ethics, thereby lowering the bar. (PUN!)

  • Buttons840

    I was about to suggest that AI might teach people to become lawyers for cheap and they can just take the BAR exam and become a lawyer...

    But then I looked into it and I see that you actually do have to go to certain schools to become a lawyer. Having the knowledge is not enough, you have to pass through the proper (and expensive) gates as well.

    I'm not really surprised.

  • alansaber

    This is just SWEs and Consultants discovering the utility of professional regulation. It's still a tough job.

  • tyromaniac

    Do you predict the same paralegal crisis people are claiming about junior swe's?

  • jackbravo

    don't most developers do this already? Senior developers. Juniors are having a hard time.

Natsu

It looks like they're relying on tracked changes and human review, but I didn't see anything addressing something that has frequently made the news: LLMs outright hallucinating cases or holdings.

If the human lawyers don't catch that on review, they're likely to have an angry judge and an AI saying "absolutely, you were right to call me out on that, I shouldn't have hallucinated a non-existent case and made the judge sanction you."

nullc

Great-- send your legal issues to a third party who will have to produce them in response to a subponea. :-/

Come on, z.al --- post the weights!

  • flessio

    A third party in... Singapore? China?

    This is dead on arrival just like their, very good, powerpoint building product.

    Nobody in the western world wants their value added closed source services (submit your H2 strategy deck to their cloud? Your contracts? I think not) especially when they are priced increasingly close to frontier.

    Z.ai doesn't fully appreciate the level of distrust by their clients from western markets for simply being Chinese origin.

    They do have credibility but it comes from being both open and having extremely capable models.

    Removing one of these pillars makes a marginal risk / reward tradeoff probably a nonstarter.

    Maybe LATAM, BRICS, Middle East are more willing to accept a closed / relatively expensive value prop. But not US / EU.

    • nullc

      I mean forget the international intrigue angle. Some jackass troll with some money to burn can file a frivolous lawsuit against you seeking discovery of this material. Either the cost of production or the risk that they can find something embarrassing to pull out of context (or maybe even something debatable as wrong doing) means you'll pay some extortionary settlement to make them go away.

      Beyond the obvious possible profit motive these attacks can be arms length arranged by competitors or people with an axe to grind to trip you up and slow you down. Because your activity is valuable to you there is an asymmetry-- they can bring the action cheaply because they aren't risking much, but your defense is expensive because if you flub it you could lose everything.

      Part of the value of a legal advisor generally and particularly something like a legal AI is that it lets you map risk surface: "What if we started selling all the customer secrets? would we go to ultra-prison?"-- you don't ask because you're going to do it, you ask to perform a sensitivity analysis, to know where the dragons are hiding, and to setup contingencies. For stuff you're actually doing/going to do you want advice backed by a team who can defend it if it goes wrong.

      All of hosted AI is a big risk from the perspective of discovery-- but particularly or legal advice/research that seems extremely radioactive and a bad tradeoff.

      If anything being outside of the west might be a slight asset on this risk-- as there is some chance that they respond to a subpoena with "bite me"... but that probably doesn't overcome the other concerns you raise.

iLoveOncall

"advancing". Absolutely laughable, we're talking about less than 20% accuracy on benchmarks. 100% useless.

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