What is your bet in 2025?
What tech, product, or project are you betting on for 2025? "Dumb electronics" - iPods/MP3players, dumbphones, e-ink screens/phones/readers, film cameras. I just bought a Lootoo PAW6K after getting fed up with the iPhone and the headphone plug adapter. This player has its own OS, no WiFi or only for firmware upgrades. Has no apps and boots up under three seconds and large capacity from SD Card. The best is it just plays. What's even cooler is that it's a DAC so I can have my headphones plugged in to it and then use Spotify/Service to stream to the player. Expensive though at $1000 but just how I want it. My headphones decoupled from my mobile phone. Diva, you can get an iPod nano on eBay… I'm currently working in an iPod Nano like device based on LicheeRV Nano, TP4057, 2.8" Touch screen and a 1200mah battery. Software is buildroot and lvgl. Not so serious ATM but looks promising so far. Unfortunately all official sipeed 3" touch displays are sold out, probably i need to go I2C or DPI... I didn't want an iPod nano, as I'm wanting to break away from the grey corporate gardens. My bet is that the big tech movement to use AI to grab as much wealth as possible will result in a severe backlash and wake many people up to the fact that the lastest modern technology is not all it's cracked up to be. I think it will be led dramatic than that. It simply won’t work and there will be another developer hiring spree to hire people into data engineering positions where they build large data processing pipelines to make training wheels or guard rails for LLMs to justify the investment. Solar market will further expand. Prices likely to go down as well. Agree, the prices have already gone down dramatically in recent years There is a thread from last week. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42490343 I'm betting on me. good one I'm betting on good, old writers that are not molested by ChatGPT. We will see troves of people getting back to Paperback & Hard Cover and people opting for pen and paper - analog - to record their daily lives. We're just scratching the surface on Generative AI and I'm already tired of it. I got a tech book that was obviously written with the aid of ChatGPT. I am favoring old non-fiction books for my reading pleasure - the ones that were bourne from human toil. And, after posting this, I read Paul G's Writes & Write-Nots essay: https://www.paulgraham.com/writes.html Product / Tech: Interesting take, can you share you reasons for all things retro computing gaining popularity? typical software engineers are getting sick of AI, the large majority of software engineers are working in webdev I think they will start migrating to lower level programming (to escape AI to an extent), and the most enjoyable lower level programming projects are: - Writing your own language - Retro game emulators - Operating Systems - Graphics programming Also I think IDEs for retro consoles will become more prevalent, and there is the added benefit of of multiplayer for free with many emulators offering rollback netcode. I feel like retro is already in interesting why so? shameless plug: if you like retro-games I'm working on https://pixelbrawlgames.com I said in the other comment, but I think AI/LLM's will drive many devs away from commercial development (web development/frontend) towards backend and lower level languages Ultra low-power, always-on, multi-year battery life, forget-about-them IoT devices will seep even deeper in everyones everyday life. i'm betting that i will get out of debt in 2025. Hopefully i win :) Nooo don't double leverage, hedge your bet by betting you won't get out of debt :) From here to the next 10 years or so, the bet is on Medical-Help. Almost every country in the world is struggling with constant under-staffing, populations are growing older, while pay for Nurses is going down. Now with AI technologies becoming more and more reliable, the biggest pain point to solve is Healthcare. At least in the US, a nurse has personal liability for a mistake. A hallucination could not just be career/license ending but land the nurse in jail. Even with 100% accuracy, is not entirely obvious to me how a nurse could leverage a language model to make their job that much easier. A language model is not going to bath or dress someone. "AI" (hallucinating LLMs) "solving" healthcare. One can just hope the VC money is not big enough for that horror show. That GP on their second 48h shift might not be hallucination free either. The question is what we can fix first, the medical resource crunch or LLM confabulation. AR glasses and the return of the glass-hole. Even less privacy. Improving myself, and stay relevant while AI keeping improving its automating capabilities. Once upon a time Assembly developers thought optimizing compilers would never be good enough. Low cost ground based drones / robotic weapons platforms. I’m betting on an AI brain/assistant for individuals. My info is all over the place - blogs, newsletters, articles, emails, slack, tasks. I think the amount of information will surely grow, along with the overwhelm That’s why I’m putting my bet on building a product that helps manage it all better called Saner.AI On-device LLMs/AI SP500 keeps going. BitGrid - a systolic array of 4x4 bit Look Up Tables and latches. Like Faraday's first electric motor, it'll have no practical use, at first. If I'm right, it'll be somewhat useful in reducing the power consumption of AI and let us ride Moore's law for a few more decades. I find this interesting, I saw a couple of other comments by you on this. Do you have a blog article or paper about this architecture? Blog: http://Bitgrid.blogspot.com The guts of an FPGA are a lot of D-flip-flops in chains, that shift in the bitstream, and then send control signals to LUTs, switching fabric, etc. What I propose is to remove most of the switching fabric, so that every cell is identical, and add latching to every cell's output, to eliminate timing (especially race conditions) as a concern. Every cell only has short connections to neighbors, so the capacitance of high speed lines that cause such grief in large VLSI designs is mostly removed (you do still need to clock those latches, so those would take some good drive signal). People will go back to using Walkmans Betting on Southeast Asia labor market -> build product in low cost market and sell to high willingness to pay countries batteries I want to say one word to you. Just one word.
Benjamin: Yes, sir.
Mr. McGuire: Are you listening?
Benjamin: Yes, I am.
Mr. McGuire: <batteries>
- Retro game engines
- Doom engine
- Wolfenstein engine
- Raycasting
- Console/PC emulators getting more popular
- New search engines doing okay (Kagi etc)
- Linux distros
- Programming
- Anything low-level
- C , C#, Rust
- Anything without the term "AI" in it
- Retro phones