Limits to Growth was right. New research shows we're nearing collapse (2014)

Peak oil is not a good indicator of eg lithium or rare earth or helium. Simons win would be a win again rerun from now. Name your at limit scarce resource and name an endpoint and go to the long bet website

> As pollution mounts and industrial input into agriculture falls, food production per capita falls. Health and education services are cut back, and that combines to bring about a rise in the death rate from about 2020. Global population begins to fall from about 2030, by about half a billion people per decade. Living conditions fall to levels similar to the early 1900s.

This article is from 2014, so the 2020 bit struck me.