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U.S. Believes Ukraine Plane Was Shot Down by Iran: U.S. Official

wsj.com

29 points by po_ 6 years ago · 18 comments

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gnicholas 6 years ago

from the CNN article: One possibility being considered is that an Iranian missile unit saw something on their radar, thought they were under attack and fired.

This is one danger of brinksmanship, which is that people's fingers are hovering a little too close to the trigger. If that is indeed what happened here, we can only hope that the powers that be realize that their saber-rattling was a cause of these deaths.

  • mthoms 6 years ago

    Exactly. It reminds me not only of the Ukrainian airliner shot down by Russian-backed forces in 2014 but also of the Iranian Airlines jet shot down by the USS Vincennes in 1988. So tragic.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran_Air_Flight_655

    • DerpyBaby123 6 years ago

      That is not what OP proposed, please comment in good faith and avoid strawmen

      • mthoms 6 years ago

        You're the one who's assuming bad faith.

        The OP talked about brinkmanship and how having ones forces on edge can lead to these disasters. I pointed to two other perfectly relevant examples that support his/her comment.

        One of the examples just happens to be the US shooting down of an Iranian airliner, which is notable for obvious reasons, but was not intended as some kind of "justification" or other such silliness. I provided the link since younger readers might not be familiar with it (unlike the 2014 incident).

        I'm Canadian. My country lost 63 citizens. Another 75 of the victims were residents. 138 souls. So, despite what you assumed, I have no agenda other than learning more about how these things can happen. As of this moment, our Prime Minister is giving a news conference indicating he believes it was indeed an (accidental) missile strike.

        https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/intelligence-indicates-fligh...

      • gnicholas 6 years ago

        I think you replied to the wrong comment.

        • metalliqaz 6 years ago

          The comment he meant to reply to seems to have been removed. It was something like "would you rather we let Iran kill Americans" or some BS like that.

  • metalliqaz 6 years ago

    > the powers that be

    So Khamenei and Trump.

    I wouldn't count on it.

ra7 6 years ago

The interesting thing is NYT reporting that the aircraft had turned back towards Tehran airport before crashing. That could be a sign of technical troubles or the aircraft was warned to return to the airport because of active AA systems in the area.

  • sdinsn 6 years ago

    The NYT stated that the aircraft turned back towards the airport after it was hit by the missile. They said that it continued flying for "several minutes" before exploding and crashing.

duxup 6 years ago

I was thinking with all the military action going on, someone had to have pretty good coverage looking for missile launches.

It raises the question how you even can manage having an active / ready to fire anti-air system online and commercial planes active?

dsalzman 6 years ago

"Of the 176 people on board, 82 were Iranian, 63 were Canadian and 11 were Ukrainian (including nine crewmembers), along with 10 Swedish, seven Afghan and three German nationals. None survived." What a tragedy.

mech1234 6 years ago

I encourage everyone to read AV Herald- a site closely linked to the aviation community. Their coverage of this developing story is impressive.

http://avherald.com/h?article=4d1aea51&opt=0

kjhughes 6 years ago

CNN article has no paywall:

https://www.cnn.com/2020/01/09/politics/is-iran-ukraine-plan...

The CNN article says that Newsweek was first to report the story:

https://www.newsweek.com/iranians-shot-down-ukraine-flight-m...

sleepysysadmin 6 years ago

Plane took off and according to Iranians had a 1 in a million chance engine fire. The plane continues to fly, it has multiple engines for redundancy.

The video showing a missile hitting a plane and later catching fire and crashing. Pictures of a missile at the crash site; shrapnel damage on the plane for sure. Unclear if it's legit or not, but lets say it's legit. It was shot down.

If it were Iran who shot it down. Why were there multiple people awake in the middle of the night recording a dark sky on the off chance Iran shoots their own plane down? If it were the Iran government they wouldn't want evidence like that.

Why were the Americans so quick at being able to say Iran shot down the plane?

Is it perhaps because (label group here) had an Iranian AA missile to use in Tehran. Had their agents record the missile attack so that they could blame Iran?

That's the more likely story.

Interesting how Trump was very untrumplike calling for peace earlier.

Interesting how there were no American citizens on that plane.

Not sure who did it.

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