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What was the job market like for new grads after the 2000 and 2008 crashes?

2 points by anshukla 10 years ago · 1 comment · 1 min read


I am going to be graduating from an undergrad CS program soon. I have a full-time offer in an engineering role at a large tech company and multiple internships. However, I strongly want to stay in school for another year to get a Masters in a more analytical field (top 5 program) and hopefully move into Data Science/Engineering positions. There is a possibility that I could transfer from my current offered role at this company into such a position after a year as well.

I am afraid of rejecting this offer to stay in school only to find that I'm joining the labor force in 2017 in a down market. I think it's fairly reasonable that we will be going through our once-a-decade downturn sooner rather than later. Is this a legitimate fear? Should I be concerned about starting my career at at time when beggars can't be choosers? Is the plan to work and transfer likely to have better outcomes?

nostrademons 10 years ago

Harsh, very harsh. I have friends who graduated in 09 who are only now getting permanent professional positions. I'm not as close with the class of 00/01, but my understanding is that they also faced significant difficulties. I was lucky enough to graduate in 05, one of the four years (04-07) within the first 15 years of this millenia where it was reasonably easy to get an entry-level job. As a result, I had 4 years of good work experience when I ended up at Google in 09. I'm not sure I could've pulled off the same thing as a fresh grad, given that they were barely hiring.

The National Bureau of Economic Research published some research into the effects of graduating into a recession, and it takes about 10 years to catch up:

http://www.nber.org/digest/nov06/w12159.html

If I were you, I would take the full-time engineering role at a big company and then look at doing a masters part-time. Many of the big companies have tuition reimbursement, and as a fresh grad, you have more time available than someone with a family and career responsibilities. Then, when you've got the masters and a couple years of work experience under your belt, switch into the job you really want.

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