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convexly

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151
Created
1 month ago

About

Interested in forecasting, calibration, and anything that helps people be less wrong!

convexly.app

Recent Submissions

  1. 1. We scored 10k Polymarket wallets. Calibration barely predicts profit (convexly.app)
  2. 2. We tested the insider trading claim on Polymarket with Taleb-proof methods (convexly.app)

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