Notes
What is your infection-fatality-rate in your own estimation? If you're morbidly obsese, diabetic, unvaccinated, and live 100 miles from the nearest hospital, this number should be higher than if you're young, vaccinated, exercise religiously, and have strong opinions on lululemon and kale-infused smoothies. (And if you're really scared about long-COVID, make this number a little higher to compensate).
Given that there are 330 million folks in the USA, ~1M have died due to COVID, and most of them were unvaccinated and/or dealing with significant co-morbidities, the infection fatality rate for most people should be well below 1%.
Yes, I know ‘long COVID’ is a thing… I’m not dealin’ with it. Make the number a little higher if you must.
(We’ll call this f)