Why AI hasn’t caused a job apocalypse — so far

3 min read Original article ↗
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Current evidence points to modest effects of artificial-intelligence tools on jobs, highlighting how bad data, not sweeping automation, is driving much of today’s alarm.

By

  1. Martha Gimbel
    1. Martha Gimbel is the executive director of the Budget Lab at Yale University, based in Washington DC.

Over the past few months, several surveys and media reports have highlighted how artificial-intelligence technologies will increasingly displace workers. And a growing number of companies mention AI as a factor in planned or actual lay-offs. For instance, data from Challenger, a recruitment firm in Chicago, Illinois, that tracks companies’ public announcements, suggests that, in 2025, AI might have been responsible for seven times as many lay-offs in the United States as were the international tariffs the US government have imposed, which are currently a major source of economic disruption globally.

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Nature 651, 881-882 (2026)

doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-026-00883-4

Competing Interests

The author declares no competing interests.

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