OpenClaw is only the beginning

5 min read Original article ↗

A new population explosion is loading the internet with AI-powered software agents — chatbots that can take their own actions inside digital systems.

Why it matters: The evolution of life on Earth reached a tipping point in the Cambrian era 500 million years ago, when simple biological systems diversified into a vast array of species. Now it's the chatbots' turn.

The big picture: Today's AI agents are undergoing this Cambrian explosion as developers and startups deploy the latest wave of semi-autonomous AI bots, finding valuable uses and also stumbling on novel pitfalls.

Zoom in: A sequence of gee-whiz moments has persuaded agent enthusiasts that these bots have crossed a key threshold and can now accomplish real tasks.

Moment 1 — Gas Town: Veteran coder-blogger Steve Yegge lit a fire in the software-development trenches at the start of the year with a project that demonstrated an elaborate method for orchestrating the work of dozens of coding agents.

Moment 2 — OpenClaw: Developers also began embracing a new open-source AI agent known originally as Clawdbot. It was later renamed Moltbot, and it's now known as OpenClaw.

Moment 3 — Moltbook: The public got a clearer view of the new agent boom with the viral success of Moltbook, a Reddit-like discussion forum that limits participation to bots.

Zoom out: Today's agent boom represents a massive uncontrolled experiment in unleashing a largely unregulated batch of semi-autonomous bots online at the same time that AI coding tools are giving technically unskilled users a chance to play with making their own software.

Here are some predictions of the agent explosion's impacts.

The software business will rapidly mutate.

Productivity gains will be elusive.

The information sphere will get swamped.

Security disasters will multiply.

Labor markets could get weird.

Yes, but: While the agent explosion has already begun reshaping software work — and that alone has big technical, financial and social consequences — no one knows whether today's agents will prove reliable, capable and manageable enough to win the general public's confidence.

The bottom line: Running swarms of AI agents today is expensive and exhausting. These costs will outrun the value delivered to businesses and the public unless AI's gung-ho first adopters can show the tools are truly useful to everyone else.