Trying to be a 'public' (Bayesian) statistician00:00
Understanding Uncertainty00:29
SEX by Numbers - 100:56
SEX by Numbers - 201:07
Winter Wipeout - 101:32
Times in qualifier02:33
time needed to qualify for 2nd round02:50
The usual suspects 04:42
Communicating chances of a jackpot win05:12
What does 100,000,000 grains of rice look like?06:35
Football and birthday coincidences07:16
Dog vs Man - 108:08
Dog vs Man - 208:27
Donald Trump's focus08:47
2012 presidental run09:14
Some serious stuff09:37
Climate change by numbers09:40
Tails You Win: The Science of Chance09:54
British Parachuting Association 11:01
US Parachuting Association data11:55
A unit of acute risk? - 112:17
A unit of acute risk? - 213:21
Chronic risks? - 114:42
Chronic risks? - 215:14
Chronic risks? - 315:53
50g processed meat a day associated with 18% increased risk of getting bowel cancer - 116:55
50g processed meat a day associated with 18% increased risk of getting bowel cancer - 217:31
50g processed meat a day associated with 18% increased risk of getting bowel cancer - 318:04
What is understood by these relative risks? - 118:46
What is understood by these relative risks? - 219:18
What is understood by these relative risks? - 319:48
What is understood by these relative risks? - 420:28
Ubble - 120:50
Ubble - 221:06
Ubble - 321:11
Ubble - 421:16
Why is almost everyone’s Ubble age so low?22:10
UK Cancer Screening - 123:03
UK Cancer Screening - 224:07
Expected frequency trees - 124:46
Expected frequency trees - 225:43
A numeracy paradox?27:45
‘Expected frequency trees’28:28
Teaching Probability28:52
Risk communication29:19
Twitter31:30
How much is ‘Bayesian’?33:15
Quantifying your ignorance35:53
Your confidence in your number36:24
Still a Bayesian knight39:38
When things go badly…. 39:54
SEX by Numbers - 341:13
Numbers can get mangled - 141:22
Numbers can get mangled - 241:35
How many sexual partners do people report? - 142:30
How many sexual partners do people report? - 243:49
Britons having sex less often - 144:27
Last week I said all this at the Hay literary festival45:03
Britons having sex less often - 245:34
Britons having sex less often - 345:45
Britons having sex less often - 446:27
Britons having sex less often - 546:41
Britons having sex less often - 646:51
Britons having sex less often - 747:18
Britons having sex less often - 847:22
Britons having sex less often - 947:26
Britons having sex less often - 1047:29
Conclusions47:46
Winter Wipeout - 249:21