German institutes cut 2026 economic growth outlook over Iran war, say sources

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BERLIN, March 31 (Reuters) - Germany's leading economic institutes have more than halved their 2026 economic growth ‌forecast, slashing it to 0.6% from the 1.3% ‌projected in September, as rising energy costs linked to the Iran ​war fuel inflation, sources familiar with the report told Reuters on Tuesday.

German business daily Handelsblatt also reported the 0.6% forecast.

The institutes also lowered their 2027 growth outlook to ‌0.9% from a prior ⁠estimate of 1.4%, according to the sources.

The reduced projections reflect the economic fallout from ⁠the Iran conflict, the sources added.

The institutes now expect inflation to rise by 2.8% both this year and the ​coming ​year, the sources said. Until ​now, the economists had ‌forecast 2.0% and 2.3% for 2026 and 2027, respectively.

The updated forecasts, set to be officially presented in Berlin on Wednesday, are a key input for the government's economic planning, including tax revenue projections.

The report is a ‌joint effort by five prominent economic ​institutes: RWI in Essen, the ​Ifo institute in ​Munich, IfW in Kiel, IWH in Halle ‌and DIW in Berlin.

Final adjustments ​to the figures ​remain possible before publication. The government's revised outlook, informed by these forecasts, is being closely monitored as ​Berlin grapples ‌with economic challenges for the year ahead.

(Reporting by Rene ​Wagner, Holger Hansen and Klaus LauerWriting by ​Kirsti KnolleEditing by Miranda Murray)