Peter McCrory (@PeterMcCrory) on X

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    Why hasn’t AI increased unemployment?

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    'There's a tsunami coming! It will be here in 10 minutes.<8 minutes pass> 'Still no sign of any tsunami, fearmonger.'

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    In our paper, we found it's because most firms aren't using AI much at all. And these "low-intensity" see no difference from control. High-intensity firms see 10% growth over two years, but that's a small set of firms using the most advanced tools.

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    Replying to @arakharazian

    Our main result: firms that adopt AI grow headcount 10% over two years. Two caveats. 1. Growth subject to a minimum threshold: "Low" adopters, we defined as the bottom two terciles of per employee per month, spend on AI see no change in hiring. High adopters spend ~$30 per

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    I don't think this will age well. Yes people still choose to make decisions, what else are they going to do justify their position both to themselves and to their bosses?

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