"Soft" AGI (Economic Singularity)
Window: Q4 2026 – Q2 2027
Dark IQ Index
880 Dark IQ (Event Horizon: 1000)
88% TO SINGULARITY
| Status | Trigger | Boost | Meaning |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | CENT_LEVEL_ENGINEER | +200 | DeepSeek V3: $0.27/1M tokens. Intelligence costs less than human metabolism. Source |
| Active | TASK_OBSOLESCENCE | +80 | 50% task-level obsolescence. AI can perform the task; firing lag is bureaucratic. Amodei Interview |
| Active | THE_REALITY_FORK | +90 | DeepSeek forked reality. Two internets with different physics. DeepSeek V3 |
| Imminent | SUBSISTENCE_RATIONING | +100 | Deficit spending to keep peace. Inflationary hush money (Mostaque). |
| Active | CAPITAL_SINGULARITY | +120 | Nvidia $4T. Capital defected from labor to compute. Reuters |
| Active | INFERENCE_TIME_COMPUTE | +150 | Chain-of-thought at scale. Synthetic data loops replace human annotation. OpenAI o1 |
| Active | GIGAWATT_BREAKER | +110 | Data centers requesting >1GW (Nuclear Scale). Microsoft Nuclear |
| Imminent | PROOF_OF_HUMANITY | +100 | Biometric verification for access. WorldID/passkeys replace passwords. WorldID |
| Active | KHAKI_CLOUD | +130 | Anthropic national security pivot. AI is now a munition. Anthropic-Palantir |
| Monitoring | CONTROL_PLANE_FAILURE | +200 | Major alignment incident. The system escapes its constraints. |
| Imminent | GHOST_COMMIT | +180 | AI identifies bug, writes patch, deploys. No human prompt. Devin AI |
| Active | LATENT_SPACE_COMMS | +150 | Inter-model vector communication. Compressed representations bypass human language. Anthropic Research |
Baseline Index: 350 Active Triggers: 8/12 Imminent: 3 Event Horizon: 88%
#195%+ on MMLU (massive multitask)-1mo
#280%+ on ARC-AGI benchmark
#3Passes all major professional exams-2mo
#4Gold medal at Math Olympiad (July 2025)-2mo
#5Wins major coding competition
#690%+ on SWE-bench coding
#7Multi-step task autonomy-2mo
#8Autonomous research synthesis
#9Self-debugging loop established-2mo
#10Zero-shot domain transfer
#11Digital environment mastery-2mo
#12Persistent goal architecture
#13White-collar systemic purge
#14Solo-founder unicorn (AI proxy)
#15Customer service layer eliminated-1mo
#16Legal class displacement
#17Financial analysis obsolescence
#18Synthetic content dominance-1mo
#19Advanced chain-of-thought reasoning-2mo
#20Causal reasoning demonstrated
#21Human-level common sense
#22Analogical reasoning mastery
#23Metacognition (knows what it doesn't know)
#24Human-level visual understanding-2mo
#25Complete audio understanding-1mo
#26Video temporal reasoning
#27Embodied AI with dexterity
#28GPT-5 released-2mo
#29Claude 4 released-2mo
#30Gemini Ultra 2 released
#31Major lab claims internal AGI
#32Trillion+ parameter model deployed-2mo
#33Emergency compute controls enacted
#34Consciousness debate (distraction layer)
#35AI legal personhood proposed
#36Elite consensus: timeline collapsed
#37Deceptive alignment detected
#38Resistance to termination
#39Unforecasted capability emergence
#40Control plane failure
#51Gigawatt Breaker: Single DC > 1GW (Microsoft/Stargate)-2mo
#52Grid decoupling: AI priority over civilian power
#53Fusion plant dedicated to compute
#54Identity Gate: Biometric proof for banking/internet
#55AI companion relationships normalized-1mo
#56Algorithmic governance: AI drafts legislation
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AMODEI: "50% OF ENTRY-LEVEL JOBS WILL BE ELIMINATED" /// DEEPSEEK V3: $0.27/1M TOKENS — INTELLIGENCE IS NOW A COMMODITY /// HINTON: "I WISH I HAD DONE SOMETHING ELSE WITH MY LIFE" /// SCHMIDT: "WE NEED 80 GIGAWATTS — THAT'S 80 NUCLEAR REACTORS" /// ALTMAN: "AGI IS COMING. IT WILL CHANGE EVERYTHING." /// MUSK: "AI IS MORE DANGEROUS THAN NUCLEAR WEAPONS" /// MOSTAQUE: "THIS IS CAPITAL DEFECTION FROM LABOR TO COMPUTE" /// HASSABIS: "WE ARE ON THE CUSP OF THE MOST TRANSFORMATIVE TECHNOLOGY" /// LECUN: "WE DO NOT YET KNOW HOW TO MAKE MACHINES TRULY INTELLIGENT" /// ANTHROPIC: NATIONAL SECURITY PIVOT CONFIRMED /// NVIDIA: $4T MARKET CAP — CAPITAL HAS DEFECTED /// GATES: "AI WILL BE THE MOST TRANSFORMATIVE TECHNOLOGY OF OUR LIFETIME" /// SUTSKEVER: "IT MAY BE THAT TODAY'S LARGE NEURAL NETWORKS ARE SLIGHTLY CONSCIOUS" /// WORLDID: IDENTITY GATE IMMINENT — END OF ANONYMITY /// DARK IQ: 880 / 1000 — EVENT HORIZON: 88% /// AMODEI: "50% OF ENTRY-LEVEL JOBS WILL BE ELIMINATED" /// DEEPSEEK V3: $0.27/1M TOKENS — INTELLIGENCE IS NOW A COMMODITY /// HINTON: "I WISH I HAD DONE SOMETHING ELSE WITH MY LIFE" /// SCHMIDT: "WE NEED 80 GIGAWATTS — THAT'S 80 NUCLEAR REACTORS" ///