I Analyzed 14 Million Chess Games.

8 min read Original article ↗

We calculated 6 categories of metrics:

  • Game Metadata
  • Captures
  • Mates & "Assists"
  • Promotions
  • Moves
  • Miscellaneous
Game Metadata
MetricValue
Number of Games Analyzed13,948,545
Average Player Rating1618.143982
Average Rating Difference102.8473008
Largest Rating Difference1913
Largest Rating Difference Gamelichess.org/HiDtrGHX

The most popular game format was blitz by number of games played!

Game format distribution - Blitz leads by number of games

Note that this doesn't weight by time spent. Games in the classical variant are ≥ 1500s, while bullet is < 179s, so we can infer that time spent playing classical exceeds bullet! lichess.org/faq#time-controls

And the most popular time controls...

Most popular time controls

Any control appearing in less than 1% of games is not shown.

Captures

In many of our charts, pieces are labeled using their "Unambiguous Symbol" (UAS)—a unique identifier we created to distinguish individual pieces. Here's a quick reference:

💡 UAS Legend: White pieces are uppercase, black pieces are lowercase. The first letter indicates piece type (P = pawn, N = knight, B = bishop, R = rook, Q = queen, K = king) followed by its starting column (a–h). For example, PAPA = the white a-pawn, nbnb = the black b-knight, QDQD = the white queen. See the Methodology section for more on why this was necessary.

Here is the full UAS table:

White piece nameUAS symbolBlack piece nameUAS symbol
White a-pawnPAPABlack a-pawnpapa
White b-pawnPBPBBlack b-pawnpbpb
White c-pawnPCPCBlack c-pawnpcpc
White d-pawnPDPDBlack d-pawnpdpd
White e-pawnPEPEBlack e-pawnpepe
White f-pawnPFPFBlack f-pawnpfpf
White g-pawnPGPGBlack g-pawnpgpg
White h-pawnPHPHBlack h-pawnphph
White queen's rookRARABlack queen's rookrara
White queen's knightNBNBBlack queen's knightnbnb
White queen's bishopBCBCBlack queen's bishopbcbc
White queenQDQDBlack queenqdqd
White kingKEKEBlack kingkeke
White king's bishopBFBFBlack king's bishopbfbf
White king's knightNGNGBlack king's knightngng
White king's rookRHRHBlack king's rookrhrh

Let's take another look at kill-death (KDR) ratios:

Kill-Death Ratio by piece

The data mostly matches intuition. Pawns have the worst KDR, then knights, bishops, rooks, queens and kings. Before seeing the data I wasn't sure whether kings or queens would come out on top (a classic question of offense vs. defense). I suspected queens might get a boost from more aggressive queen play by lower ELO players! However they may also blunder the queen more often to make up this difference—until we see the data sliced by ELO (which we plan to do in our next analysis) we can only hypothesize!

One surprising thing was the black king edging out the white king in KDR. The black king is mated ~12.8% more often than the white king. However the black king captures enough pieces (~14.3% more) to make up the difference and take first place!

PieceKillsDeathsTotalKDR (Kills / Deaths)
Black king6,171,6481,965,8468,137,4943.13944
White king5,399,3081,742,6197,141,9273.09839

The data may match intuition, but there's another way to look at it. We've been counting each "kill" and "death" as one unit. But this doesn't account for the value of the pieces captured! Below is that same data with deaths and kills weighted by point value (source):

  • Pawn = 1 point
  • Knight = 3 points
  • Bishop = 3 points
  • Rook = 5 points
  • Queen = 9 points
  • King = 4 points (our analysis required assigning a numeric value to kings; among sources that do so, 4 is the most commonly used value)

Weighting captures and deaths is slightly more complicated than calculating kills/deaths\text{kills} / \text{deaths}. Weighted KDR is calculated as:

Weighted KDR=i=1ncaptured piecei×valueipiece value×times captured\text{Weighted KDR} = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n} \text{captured piece}_i \times \text{value}_i}{\text{piece value} \times \text{times captured}}

Here are the results of that calculation:

Weighted Kill-Death Ratio by piece

Now, kings are the clear winners! Which makes sense—at most one of two kings can be "captured" per game (for our purposes a mate = capture), they have a mid-range piece value and they often capture high-value pieces.

You might be surprised to see spots 3-10 occupied by pawns. The reason is how we track captures: a promoted pawn retains its original UAS for kill tracking and when it is captured we still use a point value of 11 as its UAS value. So it makes sense that the highest KDRs (besides the kings) belong to pawns nearer the edge of the board which, as you'll see, promote more often.

It's also interesting to see that knights now rank dead last, queens are nearer to the bottom, and bishops trail only kings and some pawns. This is another place where it would be interesting to see slices by ELO, as we hypothesize that lower ELO players are more susceptible to losing high value pieces to knight forks (or simple mistakes!). Maybe they'd have a chance to be outside last place in that view!

As to why knights rank dead last: perhaps knights are involved in far fewer mates than other piece types or make it to endgame less often (they are often sacrificed earlier in games).


We also pulled some fun stats on "revenge kills" and "kill streaks". I won't cover those but you can find them in the raw data or read more about methodology in the github repo!

Mates & Assists

There were no real surprises here. Queens hold a massive lead, followed by rooks while kings are dead last. And in all instances the white pieces lead black.

Checkmates by piece


The more interesting visual is when not considering any of the top 6 pieces. Here's that same data without queens or rooks. You can now see that kings actually have some mates ⁉️; this is possible because of how we assign mate in the case of discovery checkmates.

It's possible for the piece that causes checkmate to be different than the moving piece, or for multiple pieces to simultaneously deliver checkmate! To simplify things for our analysis, "checkmate" is assigned to whichever piece made the final move in the game, and in some rare cases (1061 out of 13 million) a king move led to a checkmate!

Checkmates by minor pieces (excluding queens and rooks)

Pawns on columns A and H lead the mate count. Because these edge pawns promote most often (as shown in the Promotions section below), they frequently become queens or rooks that go on to deliver checkmate—but the original pawn still gets credit under our UAS tracking.

The most difficult result to interpret is why the knights fall where they do. The white queen's knight (NBNB) performs the best, leading all bishops and knights, as well as all interior (middle 4) pawns, while the black king's knight (ngng) is only ahead of the black d-pawn and the kings. My best guess would be this knight is part of some common trap openings? Happy to hear any other ideas on this.


Assists

We wanted to get a little sporty with our calculated metrics, so we also developed a concept of "assists" and "hockey assists" for this analysis.

Definitions:

Assist - The move preceding checkmate causes check, and is done by a different piece.

Hockey Assist - The move immediately preceding an assist is a check, and delivered by a different piece.

Assists by piece

Hockey assists by piece

One big surprise here is that individual rooks assist nearly as often as their corresponding color's queens, however trail by a wide margin again when looking at hockey assists. Not only that, but the total number of hockey assists that queens provide is actually higher than their assist totals!

We can likely point to methodology for this result. It's possible for a piece to "hockey assist" itself, as long as it is not also the "assisting piece". Because queens constitute such a high percentage of the total checkmates delivered, being able to hockey assist to their own mates makes a big difference.

Promotions

No major surprises in the top level numbers here: queens dominate the promotion totals. There are some genuine edge cases where promotions to other piece types make sense; that being said I'd guess that a significant number of the non-queen promotions are deliberately suboptimal plays (likely to disrespect the opponent) rather than being the optimal move 😁.

QueenRookKnightBishop
2,454,29134,02115,1597,288

Promotions by piece type


The more interesting view here is to look at the promotion totals by pawn positions.

Looking at just the white pawns from column A → H, we see that the outermost columns promote the most often, with the A column leading.

White pawn promotions by column

For the black pieces the chart is fairly similar, though it's notable that the b-pawn actually promotes slightly more often than the h-pawn (175,514 vs. 175,349 promotions). The d-pawn is least likely to make it across the board for both black and white.

Black pawn promotions by column

Moves & Distances

Here's a view of average move distance by piece type with a few quirks worth explaining.

Average move distance by piece type

To calculate distances moved, we defined a concept of a "move unit" which defines distance in terms of board squares. "Diagonal" movements are considered one move unit for this purpose, meaning a move from a1 → b2 = 1 move unit. This means every knight move is counted as 2 move units.

Another special case is castling, in which case both a rook and king will have distances added to their total in the same move. Both also have their move totals incremented, meaning the sum of piece moves in a game can be greater than total moves.

Some interesting takeaways:

  • Pawns and kings both have average distances that differ from their average moves, despite only being able to move one square per move. For kings this is attributable to castling, which is a move of > 1 move unit. For pawns there are two reasons: the optional two-square advance on a pawn's first move, and promotions—after which the promoted piece can cover even greater distances.
  • The biggest surprise here is that knights lead bishops in movement distance, though it's worth noting that if our definition of movement counted "diagonal" as 2 squares bishops would 2x their total covered distance and knights would 1.5x, putting bishops in front. We'd get increases for queens, kings & pawns as well.

And of course the most important takeaway:

106 million pieces hopped by knights

Credits to Benny for the graphic


Raw castling numbers show that castling happens in a supermajority of games (sample size is ~13 million), mostly to the kingside.

Castling typeTimes castledPercent of total castles
Black kingside8,752,47484.72%
Black queenside1,578,68915.28%
Total10,331,163-
White kingside9,324,92684.38%
White queenside1,725,75115.62%
Total11,050,677-
Miscellaneous

Some last fun numbers!

MetricValue
Number of en passants208,881
Number of pieces hopped by knights106,140,091
Piece with most moves played in single gameBlack h-rook
Num moves played in that game290
Game this occurred inlichess.org/zlPR0Jzw