Red And Blue Shifts Happen. That’s Not Evidence Of Fraud.

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As the hours pass, some battleground states have swung back and forth between Joe Biden leads and Donald Trump leads. As Laura Bronner explains, that’s not a sign of corruption or fraud. It’s a predictable outcome of the way Americans voted this year.

CORRECTION (Nov. 4, 2020, 10 p.m.): The y-axis for a previous version of a chart in this video, showing the vote for Trump and Biden reported over time in Kansas, was incorrectly labeled. The correct scale on the chart is 0-800,000 votes in Kansas, not 0-8 million.

Laura Bronner is a senior applied scientist at ETH Zürich and FiveThirtyEight’s former quantitative editor. @laurabronner

Chadwick Matlin was a deputy managing editor at FiveThirtyEight. @ChadwickMatlin

Michael Tabb is a former video and motion graphics producer at FiveThirtyEight. @michaeljtabb

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