Satellite images confirm heavy damage to the Kremniy El plant after Storm Shadow strikes (Photo: CyberBoroshno)
Ukraine’s March 10 strike on the Kremniy El plant in Bryansk
— a critical microchip manufacturer — triggered a sharp reaction in Russia,
exposing divisions between state propaganda and pro-war commentators, the
Institute for the Study of War said
in its March 11 report.
While Russian state media sought to downplay the
significance of the attack, pro-war voices sharply criticized those attempts.
According to an official statement from the General Staff of
Ukraine’s Armed Forces, the plant was struck with Storm Shadow cruise missiles,
causing significant damage to its production facilities.
The Raid 413th Separate Unmanned Systems Battalion said the operation
marked the first time Ukrainian forces struck a strategic facility within
Russia’s defense-industrial complex while using a drone to correct missile
strikes in real time. This allowed Ukraine’s Defense Forces to carry out an
effective strike with a relatively small number of missiles.
Meanwhile, the Ukrainian OSINT channel CyberBoroshno
analyzed satellite imagery taken after the strike and confirmed that five
missiles hit Building No. 4.
“Given the scale of the damage, restoring the workshop
without full reconstruction is unlikely, which effectively means the facility
has been put out of operation,” CyberBoroshno analysts said.
ISW noted that the Kremniy El plant previously claimed it
ranked “second in Russia in the production of microelectronics for the Russian
Defense Ministry.”
The plant supplied products to Russia’s state defense
conglomerate Almaz-Antey, which produces air defense systems, and to the state
corporation Tactical Missiles Corporation. The latter manufactures cruise
missiles including the Kh-59, Kh-69, Kh-101 and Kh-555, which Russia uses to
strike Ukraine.
ISW analysts said the Kremlin attempted to minimize the
significance of Ukraine’s strike on the Kremniy El plant.
Russia’s Foreign Ministry claimed on March 11 that the
attack allegedly targeted civilians and asserted that Ukraine could not carry
out such strikes without intelligence sharing from the United Kingdom and other
NATO countries. The ministry also portrayed the attack as an attempt by Britain
and other Western states to derail trilateral negotiations between the United
States, Ukraine and Russia.
Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov, Russian Foreign Ministry
spokeswoman Maria Zakharova, and other officials and State Duma deputies
repeated the ministry’s claims about British involvement.
ISW said these accusations — and the attempt to frame the
strike as an attack on civilians — appear aimed at downplaying Ukraine’s
long-range strike capabilities and diverting attention from Russia’s
unwillingness to compromise in the peace process, including by accusing Britain
of sharing intelligence with Ukraine.
However, the Kremlin’s attempts to distort and minimize
information about the strike triggered backlash among Russian ultranationalist
milbloggers and pro-war Telegram channels.
Russian milbloggers rejected the contradictory efforts by
state propaganda and officials to diminish the strike’s importance and
criticized Russia’s Defense Ministry for failing to protect one of the largest
and most important facilities in the country’s defense-industrial complex.
Some milbloggers also criticized Russia’s weak air defense
and electronic warfare capabilities, noting that “no one has asked” how many
missiles Russia managed to intercept.
ISW interprets such remarks as criticism of Russian
authorities for failing to provide transparent reporting on the Ukrainian
strike and on the performance of Russia’s air defense systems.
Russian milbloggers stressed that the plant was a key
producer of high-frequency transistors needed for Russian military
communications systems, as well as devices and electronic warfare components
used in intercontinental ballistic missile systems such as Yars, Bulava and
Topol-M.
Pro-war channels also speculated that Russia may struggle to
replace the “specialists” reportedly killed during the strike.
In addition, milbloggers complained about shortages of
Russian missiles, insufficient electronic warfare capabilities, Russia’s
inability to disable Ukrainian airfields from which Storm Shadow-equipped
aircraft operate, and difficulties restoring damaged air defense systems
because of sanctions.
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