Settings

Theme

SpaceX's newest Starmind will make earth data centers obsolete

teslarati.com

2 points by avgarrison 14 days ago · 23 comments

Reader

jfengel 14 days ago

I just don't get it.

It's really cool that SpaceX has the ability to put stuff in orbit without it being a billion-dollar event. But I don't see any advantage to having unmaintainable tech in orbit, where all you can do is throw away an entire satellite.

What's the advantage? You can get solar power here on earth. We're not running out of land; we could put them in the middle of nowhere if we wanted, for way less than orbit.

I just can't think of any reason why we'd do this, other than "it's cool". Which, fair, but it seems like a waste.

  • dlcarrier 14 days ago

    The advantage is that it's not in anyone's backyard. No where in the US is in-the-middle-of-nowhere enough for developers to avoid backlash. If it weren't for that, orbital data centers would not be cost effective. In the real world, they likely are, especially as the cost of launching satellites has plummeted.

    It's the same boat as nuclear power plants. There's no economical reason to build small modular independent nuclear reactors. It makes much more financial sense to combine as much infrastructure as possible, even when the reaction chambers themselves are small and modular, like a CANDU reactor. Yet, getting approval for a few small things is much easier than one big thing, and getting approval is what's preventing nuclear power from being cost effective, so the most cost effective option is to spend more on infrastructure, so you can much, much less getting approval.

  • pfdietz 14 days ago

    Well, I don't know if they're doing this, but PV can be much lighter in space. Much of the mass (and cost) of PV on Earth is structure to support it against gravity and weather. In space, a thin film PV array could be as little as a few microns thick (using for example CdTe, which absorbs light much more strongly than silicon).

    Combine that with the 5-10x higher production from being in constant unfiltered sunlight, and lack of need for storage, and it could well be much cheaper to make the power in space.

    • youngtaff 14 days ago

      How are you going to get rid on the heat?

      And they won't all be in constant unfiltered sunlight some will be in the earth's shadow

      • pfdietz 14 days ago

        By radiation. You know, like every other satellite does.

        They will not be, or need not be, in orbits with substantial amounts of shadowed time.

        • jfengel 14 days ago

          Most satellites aren't intended to produce thousands of watts of heat.

          • pfdietz 14 days ago

            So now we're quibbling over numbers, not saying the problem is impossible.

            These satellite will need larger radiators. It's an issue satellite designers have long dealt with, so the presumption that SpaceX has somehow missed the issue in their new design is not credible.

            • deeg 14 days ago

              If I had any trust in Musk-run companies then I would agree with you but I think its closer to the hyperloop than reality.

youngtaff 14 days ago

According to the authors numbers it'll take at least 20,000 launched to put a million satellite's in orbit

And that's before you consider the issues of operating a DC in space

It's just a a load of nonsense

  • dlcarrier 14 days ago

    With a max of one million satellites in the constellation, if Space X targets the same 5 year lifespan of its current satellites, that would be 4,000 launches a year.

    In 2020, Space X had 25 launches, then 31 in 2021, then 61, then 96, then 136, and last year launched 167. That's an average of around 50% more per year. At that rate, to get to the 24x increase needed to launch faster than the constellation can support, they'll only need to keep on that trajectory for eight more years.

  • pfdietz 14 days ago

    Why is 20,000 launches a load of nonsense?

    • youngtaff 14 days ago

      20,000 launches is 11 Starship launches a day for 5 years

      It's an unsustainable rate and even if we do get to that rate it'll wreck the planet

      • pfdietz 14 days ago

        Why is that unsustainable? You need to present an argument that is more than just "large number! wave hands!"

        It's just like the arguments used by anti-renewable energy forces here on Earth. "Large number (of PV modules and wind turbines and batteries)! Unpossible!"

        And no, that launch rate does not "wreck the planet".

        • youngtaff 4 days ago

          > And no, that launch rate does not "wreck the planet".

          What's the impact of the atmospheric pollution from both launches and the burn of space craft and satellite's burning up on re-rentry?

avgarrisonOP 14 days ago

How are they going to deal with the heat dissipation problem?

  • dlcarrier 14 days ago

    Put a radiator in the shadow of the satellite. The radiator size needed is similar to the solar panel size. Look at the International Space Station; the solar panels are larger than the radiators, and the occupants are far more heat sensitive than semiconductors. The hotter the radiator, the better it radiates.

  • pfdietz 14 days ago

    Why do you think they've suddenly become unable to do straightforward engineering? If they think they can handle that, they likely can.

    • archagon 13 days ago

      Because they’re lead by a cult of personality?

      • pfdietz 13 days ago

        This is skating into Musk Derangement Syndrome territory.

        • archagon 13 days ago

          What's even the point of making this kind of thought-terminating, smooth-brained quip? Do you actually feel it passes for some sort of clever gotcha?

          I can exhaustively list the reasons why Musk is an abhorrent leader and human being, but I'm pretty sure you know them all already. Whatever intelligence the man may have once had has long been flushed down the Twitter toilet, as evident from even a cursory look at his social media feed.

  • sfmz 14 days ago

    They already have space-based compute in terms of Starlink and Starshield. Is it much more difficult than that ?

    • chancitag 14 days ago

      It is much more difficult than that. Starlink is essentially IT infrastructure, which certainly produces heat but nothing on the level of pure compute. Ejecting heat in space is a difficult problem that is currently solved on the ISS with large IR radiators which take up weight and space. The size, weight, power, cost tradeoffs lean heavily in favor of ground-based compute.

      • dlcarrier 14 days ago

        The ISS dedicates more space to solar panels than radiators, despite the occupants having a very tight temperature requirement, which is about 20% cooler than the max most semiconductors can indefinitely run at. Just putting the radiator on the surface of the satellite might be enough, without even needing a panel.

        Even if a heat radiator as large as a solar panel is needed, it'd be only a small portion of the overall cost.

        Radiating waste heat on earth is a much more substantial portion of the total cost, especially so considering the social backlash it creates.

Keyboard Shortcuts

j
Next item
k
Previous item
o / Enter
Open selected item
?
Show this help
Esc
Close modal / clear selection