The whirlwind 24 hours that led to export controls on Anthropic

Here's what I believe: it is extremely likely that the jailbreak wasn't real and was minor. There is no way Dario would have seen a real threatening jailbreak and specifically call out that there's nothing to do about it.

This is what Dario said about the jailbreak

> He pushed back on the administration’s concerns, defended the guardrails and argued that the type of bypass that occurred, which he believed to be specific, did not pose the same risk as a broader “jailbreak” that would allow it to be used without any of the guardrails put in place by Anthropic.

If I were to bet - whatever capabilities this jailbreak unlocked, you could have got it for older GPT and Claude models as well. I think think this whole thing was either a misunderstanding or deliberate move by the government to put Anthropic in its place.

Discussions:

Amazon CEO's talks with U.S. officials triggered crackdown on Anthropic models

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48519092

Statement on US government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48511072

It’s longer than these 24 hours. Just 48 hours ago Dario Amodei wrote a long essay that argued for export controls on other parts of the AI supply chain. Anthropic has marketed Mythos as being too dangerous for months. Dario also has been fear mongering for years, like when he claimed GPT 2 was too dangerous.

With all of this, if there’s even a hint of a jailbreak, why would a) Anthropic not fix the issue, and b) why would they be surprised at an export ban?

The doomerism and safety theater and bid for regulatory capture has ironically hurt Anthropic itself. This company needs a new set of grown ups running it.