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Global population movements from 1990 to 2023

nature.com

63 points by tzury 6 hours ago · 63 comments · 1 min read

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https://www.socsc.hku.hk/rhps/global-migration/

swiftcoder 5 hours ago

Fascinating to see that MENA is a net positive on migration. There's often a lot of rhetoric around MENA migration to Europe and North America, but you hear much less about migration to MENA countries.

  • pjc50 5 hours ago

    The Gulf states take in a lot of migrant workers, who have basically no labour rights there.

    https://www.ilo.org/regions-and-countries/arab-states/united...

    "The UAE hosts some 8.7 million migrant workers – equivalent to over 80 per cent of the country’s resident population – making it one of the largest foreign labour-receiving countries in the world. With Emirati nationals mainly employed in the public sector, migrant workers constitute the bulk of private sector employment"

  • toasty228 9 minutes ago

    > Fascinating to see that MENA is a net positive on migration.

    Really? it's a big economical hub now, the bulk of it migrate to a few countries, and in these countries just a few cities. It's a very different type of migration too.

    https://www.iom.int/sites/g/files/tmzbdl2616/files/2018-07/M...

  • Cthulhu_ 5 hours ago

    I think people underestimate how many people move back to their home country once they have a better chance (through e.g. education or money) and / or when the situation there improves (e.g. stability). It's why I don't understand why the anti-immigration parties don't do more internationally to help other countries.

    • carlosjobim 22 minutes ago

      Or move back to your home country once you've gained a beneficial citizenship and can have foreign government benefits paid out every month while you don't even live in that country anymore.

    • readthenotes1 2 hours ago

      The reason why pouring money into countries that source immigrants is a questionable solution is graft.

    • expedition32 4 hours ago

      Because we, correctly, assume that some countries are simply beyond saving. Throwing good money after bad.

      • AnimalMuppet 3 hours ago

        Less cynically, perhaps we correctly realize that some countries are beyond our saving by us throwing money at them.

  • somenameforme 3 hours ago

    Saudi Arabia has one of the highest immigration populations on Earth, somewhere around 42% contrasted against 15.8% in the US (which is an all-time high). They offer huge wages for pretty much everything, have dirt cheap living costs, and like many Mideast countries - there's no taxes for individuals.

  • nirav72 5 hours ago

    Isn't migration to MENA - specifically migration to North Africa mainly from Sub-Saharan part of Africa?

mettamage 6 hours ago

As the article points out. The researcher’s site has an exploratory tool to view the data [1].

[1] https://www.socsc.hku.hk/rhps/global-migration/

  • gadders 5 hours ago

    If you pick 2023/2024 and the UK, you can see the disaster that is the Boris Wave.

  • dang an hour ago

    Thanks! We'll put that link in the toptext as well.

  • jtbayly 4 hours ago

    That tool could be interesting if there was a way to stop the rendered globe from spinning. As is, it is unusable

Supernaut 6 hours ago

Further down the page, there's a link to an article from a couple of years ago, titled "Migration isn’t increasing".

So which is it?

  • swiftcoder 5 hours ago

    There's a quote from one of the study authors:

      "Because previous estimation methods relied on coarse five-year snapshots, 
       they yielded very few data points and created the impression that the rate 
       of global migration flows was stable," adds co-author Guy Abel, a research 
       scholar in the Migration and Sustainable Development Research Group of the 
       IIASA Population and Just Societies Program and professor at the University 
       of Hong Kong. "Our annual data provides a clearer picture, revealing that 
       this rate has actually risen since 2000. This upward trend appears to be 
       driven by long-term demographic shifts and economic development rather than 
       sudden, isolated crises."
    
    So if I'm following correctly, when you look at coarse data, you miss a lot of the smaller-scale migration, and that small-scale migration pushes the totals up a lot?
    • bcjdjsndon 5 hours ago

      Their dataset is so pathetically small you can't infer anything from it. There are still people alive from the India/Pakistan migration in 48 and that would be number one on this list

nomilk 5 hours ago

Only 1.7m people left North America in 2023 (4.4m arrivals). Would be interesting to compare to figures from 2025.

nobrains 5 hours ago

Why has , recently, Pakistan been seen added more and more to a new category "MENAP" and separate from South Asia (i.e. India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and Bangladesh) ?

These classifications should be geographic and could even racial, but it seems this new classification (MENAP) seems more "religious"

  • ricardobeat 5 hours ago

    Pakistan being “south asia” makes about as much sense as Turkey and Saudi Arabia being labeled “west asia”. Technically correct, odd choice for modern communication.

    • t0lo 4 hours ago

      Pedantic response that makes light of a real issue. In case you haven't noticed, not every "western" country is actually in the western hemisphere.

  • kdheiwns 5 hours ago

    In America at least, all the hot deserty places between Europe and India=Middle East. I only started hearing the term "South Asia" to refer to places like Pakistan after encountering more non-Americans online. Afghanistan is also considered as part of the Middle East to basically every average American (hence why it's lumped in with all those "Middle Eastern wars"), but I'm not sure if it's seen that way in other areas.

  • bcjdjsndon 5 hours ago

    Bangladesh is Muslim though

firesteelrain 6 hours ago

Can someone explain the graphic?

bcjdjsndon 5 hours ago

*data doesn't go back beyond 2000, safe to ignore

  • pjc50 5 hours ago

    ???

    Data quality issues usually get worse the further back you go.

    • WillAdams 4 hours ago

      Yes, but there are (in)famous examples such as the partition of Bengal (the tiger which Britain feared) being divided into Pakistan and India, which when included would provide a useful metric for the scale of human suffering involved.

ricardobeat 5 hours ago

Interesting how South America, with several countries made up majorly of immigrants, receives almost no new migrants now.

Meanwhile the middle-east population is fleeing and being replaced with asians?

  • Cthulhu_ 5 hours ago

    "fleeing" and "replaced" are loaded terms, I don't think you can derive that from this data. That said, there's a lot of workers being imported from Asia to the middle-east for their ambitious construction projects, could that explain it?

  • eloisius 4 hours ago

    None of these regions have homogeneous conditions that mean anyone needs to be replacing fleeing locals to explain these stats. Millions of migrant workers are in the Gulf, and many of them come from the Philippines. Millions of people have fled conflicts in other parts of the Middle East.

  • bcjdjsndon 5 hours ago

    > Meanwhile the middle-east population is fleeing and being replaced with asians?

    Persians brought Hinduism to India, so maybe they're returning the favour

    • rnoises 4 hours ago

      Eh? Persians gave the name "Hindus" to the people living in that area. But they had their own religion, Zoroastrianism. They didn't bring Hinduism because they didn't have Hinduism.

  • igleria 4 hours ago

    At least in Argentina that is because it's not the land of opportunities it used to be in the late 19th/early 20th century.

  • joseda-hg 4 hours ago

    Internal migration has mostly saturated capacity all accross the region in South America

    It'll take a while until anyone relaxes

shomp 3 hours ago

Where are the maps?

nomorehere 4 hours ago

That’s true, but very few countries in the world are willing to accept people as readily as they used to. Migration has become much more difficult since 2022, and I can say that as a migrant myself.

gaiagraphia 5 hours ago

Here's the actual graph/data in question. The article is a dense academic snooooooozefest:

https://www.socsc.hku.hk/rhps/global-migration/

Ffs, trying to click on a country and the globe keeps rotating, hahah. When i click on nations, it doesn't tell me the numbers either, there's just these blobby lines :/

Not very usable.

somelamer567 5 hours ago

The year 2000 also happens to coincide with the rise of the Putin regime. One of their favourite methods of statecraft is to spitefully lash out at perceived "enemies" by using their enormous information-warfare capability to stoke irregular immigration in ways to maximise chaos in countries that Russia hates and resents.

  • 3stacks 4 hours ago

    I hope you aren't suggesting Russia is uniquely to blame in this when the United States has displaced tens of millions of people in the last 20 years

    • somelamer567 3 hours ago

      > Whataboutery (also known as whataboutism) is a debating tactic used to evade accountability. Instead of directly addressing a criticism, the accused responds with a counter-accusation or brings up a different, usually unrelated issue (often starting with "What about...?") to distract from the original argument.

      I do see this a lot from pro-Russian trolls arguing in bad faith -- and using dirty rhetorical tricks to do so. Please don't stoop to their level.

      • sosomoxie 8 minutes ago

        You posted a highly inflammatory claim without evidence. We have plenty of documentation of the US displacing people. Happy to read about Russia doing the same if you post it.

curiousObject 6 hours ago

People who believe they are financially secure may move from regions which are considered “wealthy” to regions which are seen to be “poorer” (and cheaper). This outflow can influence this data.

https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/american-...

  • swiftcoder 5 hours ago

    > This outflow can influence this data

    Influence how? Migrations from wealthy to poor regions are still migrations, no?

    • AnimalMuppet 3 hours ago

      They are... but the interpretation is different. They aren't looking for opportunity, at least not in the normal sense. And they aren't fleeing oppression in the normal sense either.

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