Why Nostr Will Win Where Mastodon and Bluesky Failed
primal.netNostr is in the same boat, i.e. not the answer
All of them make the same mistake, public content. The vast majority of people do not want their posts to be publicly accessible to the entire world
For regular user it doesn't matter how service operates in the background - they don't care whether it's a federation or centralized server. It's all about content they can see, people can interact with and their posts reaching abilities.
And frankly seeing all the stuff that have appeared once twitter become x, it doesn't seem that any of them has become dominant or particularly outstanding. They all echo chambers - each with own theme.
I think the effects of how the services operate in the background are observable by the real users at some point. Unfortunately it's often too late do something about it. You get hit by censorship when the overton window moves past you, you get deplatformed when your mastodon instance shuts down - that has happened to me and so that's why I have bad aftertaste from mastodon.
On nostr there are some very cool sub-communities - there are surprisingly a lot of surfers, there are multiple book authors with bestselling books, there are local non-english communities, etc. And on top of that there's a variety of applications on top of it, like divine.video.