Macron says it is unrealistic to open Hormuz Strait by force
reuters.comUnrealistic maybe not capture the subtleties situation. Iran specifically planned for decades to make it impossible.
The question is: do you think you know something that the architects of that strategy didn’t? Keep on mind that everyone’s military capabilities are largely public.
Then ask yourself: if you had two decades to prepare to resist a military campaign to reopen the strait of Hormuz what might you do? You can assume that the first dozen things you can think of are in place. This is the Charley Munger invert, solve, invert approach. Don’t ask how would I reopen. Ask “how would I plan to close it”. Stack rank that list. Now invert and solve (or recognize that a solution might be more costly than the price you’re willing to pay in lives, time, material).