American Closed Source vs. Chinese Open Source: A False Dichotomy

It’s a call to patriotism. China versus America. “Who will you back?” This has become a common plea from the Silicon Valley elite over the last six months. I heard the move up close at the Harvard Kennedy School, where a visiting Eric Schmidt warned that AI may soon cross into autonomous self-improvement, argued that someone will need to “raise their hand” and impose limits, and then pivoted into the geopolitical register, contrasting American and Chinese trajectories and urging policy and funding choices aligned with “American values.” Others have also made versions of this argument in different forums. Tarun Chhabra, head of national security policy at Anthropic, has made a similar argument, urging an “American stack” and treating model governance as a geopolitical contest. Putting aside the awkwardness of nationalist messaging coming from the Bay Area’s long-time borderless “global citizens,” the incentives are not hard to see. If you can frame the open vs closed models debate as a national security referendum, you can frame restrictive rules as patriotism and you can frame “responsible control” as synonymous with dominance by a small circle of incumbent providers.

The posture makes sense once you consider two facts. One: industries which may live and die on capricious regulatory rule making must make their case to those with their hands on the levers of power. In 2026 America, those hands are professed patriotic Republicans. Two: Big Frontier LLM is losing the tech battle, or at least losing the easy assumption that America’s lead is automatic and permanent. They are on their back foot so they must frame the open vs closed model debate wrongfully as a fight between America and China. America cannot afford to lose a battle to China and by extension Anthropic, OpenAI and Alphabet cannot afford to lose to their competition.

Yet there is nothing inherently Chinese about open models and nothing inherently American about closed models. If anything, it is the opposite. Open models are decentralized, inspectable, forkable, and difficult to monopolize. That aligns with an American instinct to diffuse power, prefer competition over permission, and distrust single points of control. Closed models concentrate capability behind a small number of gatekeepers, wrapped in secrecy, and sustained by privileged access to regulators. That logic is far closer to centralized control than to open competition. The real fault line is not America versus China. It is democratic diffusion versus unnatural scarcity, and good tech versus bad tech.

Full article linked.