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US Space Force reveals first look at secretive X-37B space plane in orbit

space.com

118 points by aleyan 10 months ago · 108 comments

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unsnap_biceps 10 months ago

Ars previously covered some additional information on the X-37B

https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/10/the-us-militarys-x-37b...

davidw 10 months ago

I can't be the only one who, when I read "space force" hears a deep, reverb-heavy, Buck Rogers kind of voice going "spaaaaaaaace foooooooorce"

metadat 10 months ago

Why might it be desirable to have an observation craft so far away from the earth?

I'm having a hard time imagining the advantage compared to being a bit closer, unless it's a more energy-efficient parking situation while the vehicle isn't in active use.

  • SkyPuncher 10 months ago

    My understanding is it’s on an offset elliptical orbit. This is essentially the farthest point away from earth with the other end of orbit being very close to Earth.

    From a tactical perspective, that means this can interact with basically any other satellite.

    • samplatt 10 months ago

      With a far point so far away from Earth it also means that it requires only tiny amounts of fuel for major orbit changes.

      • justahuman74 10 months ago

        My orbital mechanics is (like most people) weak, is this intended as a generalized physical threat to other satellites?

        • everfrustrated 10 months ago

          Not necessarily.

          These types of orbits also have the property that the perceived loiter time is different for the perigee and apogee.

          At perigee (closest to Earth) it will be moving very fast and so any changes to velocity will have a large impact (easily change orbit).

          While at apogee it will appear to sit in space and move quite slowly. As an example this is used for the Russian GPS system so their satellites can sit in high earth latitudes for longer needing fewer satellites to cover Russia.

          • inejge 10 months ago

            As an example this is used for the Russian GPS system so their satellites can sit in high earth latitudes for longer needing fewer satellites to cover Russia.

            It's used for communications satellites and is called the Molniya orbit[1]. Their GLONASS (positioning system) satellites use circular medium altitude orbits, but with a higher inclination (about 65 deg vs. GPS's 55 deg).

            [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Molniya_orbit

          • xattt 10 months ago

            Isn’t GLONASS in geostationary orbit like NAVSTAR/GPS? This would be a fixed orbital distance from Earth.

            You may be thinking of highly-elliptical molniya/lightning orbits (1), which enabled state TV broadcasts for high-lat places in Siberia.

            (1) https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Molniya_orbit

            • rcxdude 10 months ago

              Gps isn't in geostationary orbit. They're in medium earth orbit and complete an orbit about twice a day

        • Rebelgecko 10 months ago

          If you can easily adjust your orbit, it's easy to see lots of places on the earth, or tweak what time you will be over a part of the earth (eg if you want to look at something whose owners know to hide it when satellites are overhead)

        • samplatt 10 months ago

          Intended? I don't know, you'd have to ask NASA. Does it have that capability? Sure, if it can deploy arbitrary payloads on destination.

    • dredmorbius 10 months ago

      As well as change orbital characteristics (apogee, perigee, inclination) at reasonably low cost, enabling closer observation of specific portions of Earth, or of objects in space.

      Burns at closest approach (perigee) have the largest influence on total orbital characteristics. Burns at furthest approach (apogee) can raise the entire orbit if desired.

      (Or so I understand.)

      • exDM69 10 months ago

        Burns at perigee have best efficiency to make in-plane changes (raise or lower orbit) due to the Oberth effect.

        Burns at apogee have best efficiency for out-of-plane maneuvers (change orbital inclination plane) due to lowest velocity of the spacecraft.

        Highly elliptical orbits can do both at a few hours' notice.

        • roelschroeven 10 months ago

          Burns at perigee can only raise or lower part of the orbit though, right? A burn at perigee lowers or raises the apogee. To lower or raise the perigee, you need to burn at apogee.

          • exDM69 10 months ago

            Correct.

            Burns don't have to happen only at perigee/apogee so there's more flexibility in practice. And counter intuitive stuff like bi-elliptic transfers.

            • monkeyfun 10 months ago

              Ahhhh, bi-elliptic transfers!

              It's funny, I remember first learning to use such arcane maneuvers in a game called Children of a Dead Earth, in order to get into a terribly low orbit of Neptune to strike a methane refinery... My poor brain was always used to simple Hohmann transfers in games like KSP!

        • dredmorbius 10 months ago

          Thanks, I've got only a vague grasp of this.

      • Robelius 10 months ago

        Could another benefit be the ability to change payloads? If there was a desire to change the orbits and payloads, then could these serve a function as a more responsive version of existing satellites?

        • dredmorbius 10 months ago

          I'm not sure what you mean here.

          The US Space Shuttle could similarly "change payloads", with its modular payload bay capable of carrying either one-time cargoes (often satellites for launch), or reusable modules such as Spacelab, parts of which flew on a total of 35 Shuttle missions.

          <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spacelab>

          But modularity is also inherent in conventional rocket-based launches, with cargoes fitting within the fairing bay capable of being deployed or orbited.

          Changing payloads in space is a rather different prospect, though the ability to rendezvous with, take on-board, and de-orbit satellites (man-made or artificial, the US's own, or other nations') is another possible capability. The X37's small size gives only limited potential here, and I'm pretty sure that if the US were snatching other nations' satellites we'd have heard about it.

    • kjkjadksj 10 months ago

      Past flights have been years long and are classified what might have even been achieved. I wonder how much of the space war doesn’t ever get published?

    • DoingIsLearning 10 months ago

      Interact as in fly-by repair? Or interact as in interfere/tamper/destroy?

      • NikkiA 10 months ago

        Yes, also steal ala Glomar Explorer

      • jl6 10 months ago

        Looks like it would be able to deploy high speed instant-action repair kits.

        • tliltocatl 10 months ago

          Unlikely, velocity difference would be too large for anything constructive. One thing about orbits is that velocity difference is sort of a distance dimension in itself.

  • bagels 10 months ago

    One use for highly elliptical orbits is being able to linger over some part of the earth for longer periods.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Molniya_orbit

    I haven't seen the orbital parameters of the X-37, so it may be in an elliptical orbit for some other reason, such as spying on or interfering with geostationary satellites or who knows what else.

  • dylan604 10 months ago

    This thing is definitely out of SAM range, so that's an advantage.

    • rich_sasha 10 months ago

      I was going to say, not out of range of anti-satellite missiles, at least at a low perigee... But maybe it's zipping too fast there to be easily shot down? Whereas at apogee, when it's slow, it's also very far away.

      • credit_guy 10 months ago

        > But maybe it's zipping too fast there to be easily shot down?

        A satellite in LEO already has a speed of about 8 km/s. The highest speed of a satellite in a highly elliptical orbit is 11 km/s. It you can shoot a satellite at 8 km/s, you probably can also shoot it at 11 km/s.

        The problem is, of course, that the perigee of a satellite in a highly elliptical orbit can be over a different part of the planet than your SAM battery.

        • jjk166 10 months ago

          > It you can shoot a satellite at 8 km/s, you probably can also shoot it at 11 km/s.

          Assuming all else is equal (same altitude, same targeting capability, same flight characteristics), an interceptor for an 11 km/s target needs about 89% more kinetic energy than an interceptor for an 8 km/s target. Realistically, between the rocket equation and atmospheric effects, the faster interceptor would likely need to be far larger still. You're probably talking about a 2.5 to 3 times bigger missile. While a country that could develop one could likely develop the other if they so chose, it doesn't seem like a safe assumption that a country with one has the other.

          • s1artibartfast 10 months ago

            I dont think that it is correct to assume your interceptor needs to match velocity. Any speed will do if you can intercept it on approach instead of chase it down.

            • jjk166 10 months ago

              I'm not assuming the interceptor needs to match velocity. There is some point you detect the target x1, and some range for your missile from your position x0 to an interception point x2. Your interceptor needs to get from x0 to x2 by the time the time the target gets from x1 to x2. If your target is travelling 37.5% faster, you have 27.2% less time to get to the interception point, which means that you need to fly 37.5% faster, which requires 89% more kinetic energy, regardless of what the baseline speed required was. Alternatively you need to detect things from further away or fire from a closer distance, both of which pose their own issues.

              • credit_guy 10 months ago

                That's not quite correct, is it? Consider shooting at a bird. A falcon travels twice as fast as a pigeon, but you don't need a bullet that is twice as fast to shot the falcon. You simply adjust the lead distance when you shoot at the falcon. In your argument you assume that you need to cover some distance in the same amount of time, but you don't need to. You simply lead the target a bit more. As for detection time, well, it is basically a guarantee that whoever is considering shooting at a space plane, has the tracking capabilities to know its position at all times. If they don't, they probably can find some reddit where people do that out in the open.

                • jjk166 10 months ago

                  In this scenario increasing lead distance is equivalent to detecting and firing earlier (ie increasing distance between x1 and x2), which again has serious technical issues. Yes you can hit a falcon with the same bullet, but it's harder to hit. And the big difference in these scenarios is that the bullet is moving much faster than either the pigeon or the falcon, which means you can always buy more time for the falcon to get to the interception point by taking a less efficient path, whereas for the satellite interception where your interceptor is slower than the target, there is some optimal path (basically straight up from right below perigee) that sets a hard limit on how long it takes to get to any interception point.

                  If your interception point is say 500 km straight up from your launch point, just to get there you need a rocket that rapidly accelerates to over 3 km/s, and it takes a little over 5 minutes to get to the interception point. To hit an 8 km/s target, you need to fire when it is 2500 km away, to hit an 11 km/s target you need to fire when it is 3500 km away. If to score a hit you need to be within 10 meters of the target at interception, then you need to know the position and velocity of the 8 km/s target to within 4 ppm, you need to know it with an accuracy within less than 3 ppm. And note, if you are shooting from 15 km up in a fighter jet, the 8 km/s target is within your radar horizon, the 11 km/s target is not. Not to say that you couldn't build a system with target sharing and more precise tracking, but it would be a different system than the one you need for the less challenging use case.

                  Now it's not a strictly either or thing. You could use a missile with intermediate speed and fire it less early. There's a whole continuum of solutions, but it will always be harder to hit the faster moving target. And of course you have real world things to consider like if the target has any maneuverability or countermeasures and how much variation in conditions you can afford. Generally you are already using the best targeting system you can get and are already in the most advantageous position you can be in, so the knob you can turn is "how big of a missile do I need to get the performance I require?"

                • s1artibartfast 10 months ago

                  Agreed, it all depends on the use case. If you are trying to hit an evading target, you have to be faster. If you are trying to deny the ship from a destination, you don't.

                  • jjk166 10 months ago

                    If the ship's current position is 200 miles from its destination and you are 400 miles from its destination, you need to go faster than it to deny the ship from its destination. Conversely, if you are 40 miles from its destination, you can go much slower, though if you go too slow you still won't make it. You have to get to a point ahead of it before it gets there, and the faster its moving, the less time you have available to get to any particular point.

                    Dealing with evasion is a whole other matter. A stationary iceberg can hit a ship that tries to evade if it does so too late. Conversely simple error in your knowledge of a ship's position and velocity can cause it to be miles away from where you expect it later in the journey.

                    • s1artibartfast 10 months ago

                      Like the parent says, you already know where it is. I'm struggling to understand the case where you are further from the destination than the x37B, with an orbit 60,000km from earth.

                      • jjk166 10 months ago

                        > Like the parent says, you already know where it is.

                        The parent is incorrect. You know approximately where it is. If your approximation is off by some amount, you miss. How good of an approximation you have is determined by your detection equipment. How good of an approximation you need is determined by the speed. For the same detection equipment, hitting the faster moving thing is harder.

                        > I'm struggling to understand the case where you are further from the destination than the x37B, with an orbit 60,000km from earth.

                        Well yeah, that's because the x37B interception scenario is the second case, where you are much closer to the destination but going much slower.

                        • s1artibartfast 10 months ago

                          I thought the fundamental hypothesis under discussion here was that the x37 has the orbit to move quickly and avoid interception. It being the second case seems to rule against that hypothesis being true

                          • jjk166 10 months ago

                            That is the hypothesis here, and the second case in no way rules against it.

                            Again to clarify, no one here is arguing that to intercept a target you have to be moving faster than the target. The argument is you have to be moving faster than the minimum speed required to hit a slower target.

                            In math terms, you have two targets with velocites V1 and V2. To intercept there is some minimum velocity for each, v1 and v2. This is the best case scenario, you are perfectly in position, you can launch at the earliest possible time. v1 < V1 and v2 < V2 are both true. But since V1 < V2, v1 < v2 is also true. An interceptor that can achieve v1 doesn't necessarily have the capability to achieve v2.

          • bagels 10 months ago

            I don't think that is quite right. You can hit a satellite with a suborbital projectile. The kinetic energy of the satellite is enough on its own if you hit it.

            • jjk166 10 months ago

              It's not about energy required to destroy it, it's about speed required to get to it.

  • tehbeard 10 months ago

    Possibly easier for optics?

    Lower orbit = faster velocity.

    So your screaming by over Emutopia's enrichment plant, and trying to take photos.

    Telephotography might be an easier solve than faster image capture for the same resolution and clarity. A higher orbit means you have to do less drastic tracking corrections to observe the same area while over it.

    Alternative: it's a space plane and has been mentioned it uses aero braking for orbital adjustments. A highly elliptical orbit imparts a significant chunk of potential energy that can be expended for orbital changes using aero braking instead of needing to expend limited propellent.

    Source: personal experience with several hundred hours of KSP.

  • tbihl 10 months ago

    I assume better survivability against anti-satellite weapons.

  • tonyhart7 10 months ago

    "Why might it be desirable to have an observation craft so far away from the earth?"

    more range the merrier in case there is alien invasion. you would need aircraft that allow travel interplanetary system

  • prpl 10 months ago

    maybe observing satellites, in real time, in multiple orbits, and yeah, maybe just free parking (and testing orbital transitions).

  • 6510 10 months ago

    How can you tell that is the earth?

  • newsclues 10 months ago

    Less predictable orbit.

nxobject 10 months ago

Given the military heritage of the Space Shuttle, I imagine this is what a hypothetical next generation civilian Space Shuttle might have looked like, too.

  • dredmorbius 10 months ago

    Given the constraints of reaching orbit, surviving reentry, and cross-range capabilities there's a general lack of variability in spacecraft design. Some of us are old enough to remember promotional/propaganda materials concerning the original Boeing X-20 "Dyna-Soar" engineering designs from the 1950s which strongly resemble the subsequent US Space Shuttle, the Soviet Buran orbiter, and the Boeing X-37B and X-40:

    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_X-20_Dyna-Soar>

  • bagels 10 months ago

    How big is the payload bay on this thing? The whole craft is only 29 feet long, so it's not carrying a Hubble in to orbit.

    • dylan604 10 months ago

      The NRO doesn't need this thing to lift its birds into orbit. Keyhole satellites have gotten rides on Deltas and Titans, so probably going to be sticking their thumbs out in the direction of SpaceX pretty soon.

      • Earw0rm 10 months ago

        Already have, SpaceX have been doing a few NRO launches. Delta and Titan are retired, and Atlas is down to its last few.

        • dylan604 10 months ago

          Great, but I specifically said Keyhole from which Hubble was a descendant. Which Keyhole bird was launched by SpaceX?

          • DiggyJohnson 10 months ago

            None, but that's why they said soon. I'm sure a modified FH or Starship could get deploy this hardware. The last launch of in 2022 on a Delta IV Heavy.

  • justinator 10 months ago

    Are there any books to read that talk about the military missions of the Space Shuttle?

    • blankx32 10 months ago

      Most missions are still classified but some information on general shuttle sources, into the black book and space above us podcast are interesting sources.

acomjean 10 months ago

The wings say USAF, which is Air Force. Though clearly in space…

  • moandcompany 10 months ago

    The US Space Force was part of the US Air Force until just a few years ago, and a around 75 years ago the US Air Force was the US Army Air Corps.

  • Rebelgecko 10 months ago

    I think it still belongs to the Air Force RCO

brylie 10 months ago

How does it have enough Delta-V to get into that distant of an orbit? Is it able to maneuver to different orbits and inclination? Is it able to return to earth? Or, is it more of a satellite than a “plane”? This is my first time learning about this space plane, so apologies if my questions are naive.

  • appointment 10 months ago

    This flight was launched with a Falcon Heavy, that is why it has more energy to reach high orbit than the previous launches with an Atlas V booster.

    When you are in a highly eccentric orbit (meaning the point in the orbit farthest from Earth (apogee) is much higher than the lowest point (perigee)) like this one there are several maneuvers you can do to significantly change your orbit with relatively little energy. The article describes some of the things they are testing.

    A small breaking burn at apogee will lower the perigee into the upper atmosphere and they can then do aerobreaking (use atmospheric drag to lose energy) to slow down enough to land.

    • brylie 10 months ago

      Thanks for the great response! It's been a while since I played KSP, and I completely forgot about the apoapsis maneuvers :-)

      As an aside, it's sad about KSP2. We need a good, open-source space simulator in the spirit of KSP, which has incredible enthusiasm in the modding community.

      • xattt 10 months ago

        I can imagine there are folks that do their day job at the Space Force and come home to load up KSP to blow off some steam.

  • DocTomoe 10 months ago

    It has been to space several times, and there are photos and videos of it returning, shuttle-style on a runway.

    By carefully timing boosting burns at different points in the orbit, you can change the orbit to become highly inclined - go prograde at the periapsis, and your raise the apogee.

    From the image, I guess they are in a Molniar orbit [1].

    [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Molniya_orbit

    • brylie 10 months ago

      Wow, thanks for sharing! I've never heard of Molniya orbit. Very interesting indeed.

  • 15155 10 months ago

    By using an Atlas V booster.

sour-taste 10 months ago

Interestingly since Space Force was created by Trump who sees it as a prestige project and it depends on Musk's SpaceX for launches this is probably one of the most secure agencies in the current administration.

tonyhart7 10 months ago

cant wait for space marine branch

lahcim2000 10 months ago

How far from earth are they to took that picture?

hindsightbias 10 months ago

When even your secret programs have to do marketing. Don’t cancel me bro!

  • mitthrowaway2 10 months ago

    In the book Skunk Works, Ben Rich laments that Lockheed was often passed over for contracts and missions because their achievements were so classified that the various branches of the military didn't know that things like stealth technology were possible, let alone already in production. Sometimes weren't even invited to bid on projects to develop technology that they'd already developed.

    Marketing of secret projects is a tricky business!

    • justahuman74 10 months ago

      Was it Lockheed who simply ran a regular marketing campaign for NGAD and then later scrubbed references to it

  • baranul 10 months ago

    That's exactly what I was thinking too. With all the chainsaws on display and rumors of deep cuts, makes sense for them to explain a bit to regulars about why they exist and how well things are going.

  • fernandopj 10 months ago

    one would be excused to think you made this account just for the sake of aptronym and comment, but alas, 3k+ karma

    • bryant 10 months ago

      In fairness, it's an insightful comment. The behavior of plenty of agencies is likely to be erratic or at the very least novel in the current climate.

mvkel 10 months ago

That looks... out there. Is it parked at a Lagrange point?

deadbabe 10 months ago

Imagine the next space station being that high up.

gunian 10 months ago

imagine if noah had this during the deluge mtsm

entropyneur 10 months ago

A mere month ago I would have been excited for the new US defence tech.

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