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How immigration remade the U.S. labor force

wsj.com

33 points by coolanymous a year ago · 189 comments

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aucisson_masque a year ago

> Immigration has lifted U.S. population growth to almost 1.2% a year, the highest since the early 1990s. Without it, the U.S. population would be growing 0.2% a year

Population growth is always announced as a great thing but is this really the case ? For instance, house price are increasing because more and more people wants it, it also prevent salary from increasing because there are always people without job looking take the poorest offer.

It's great for the country economy and the government but it's never good for it's population.

  • Two4 a year ago

    Your argument is in the wrong direction: enforcing a liveable federal minimum wage ensures that there's a reasonable bottom to how low you can bid on labour. The housing crisis, on the other hand, is a net supply restriction effect caused by real estate speculation and investment, rather than it being a commodity (it never will be a commodity, but I'd wager there's a real estate bubble pop coming soon)

    • eddd-ddde a year ago

      At the end of the day the Earth's resources are very much finite. We simply can't have indefinite growth, so it doesn't make sense to use it as a metric.

      • pacerier a year ago

        > finite

        Sure, everything is finite, but 8 billion is too little. Earth can fit 8 trillion and more, all we need is more science.

        • aucisson_masque a year ago

          That's a very optimistic way to think. But every new technology brings its set of failure and danger.

          For instance energy: petrol -> pollution, nuclear energy-> tchernobil, danger currently in Ukraine with the war, ...

          Food : fertilizer -> water pollution and eutrophication

          Housing: more home -> less free soil to retain water, insane flooding.

          And so on, and so on.

          Anyway by the time we reach 8 trillion, a nuclear war surely would have already started and wiped us all

          • pacerier a year ago

            > set of failure and danger

            Then what you need is moar science. 10x, 100x, 999999

        • Log_out_ a year ago

          science is very much limited by human ability to not regress to violence when limited when h^n meets the l*r there be carnage without modifications .

        • eddd-ddde a year ago

          Maybe, but what's the point ? If science improves shouldn't we aim for less population?

          Less people can keep up with more production. Less people means less impact on the environment. Less people means more nature. At least personally I rather have less people on the planet at any given moment.

          • pacerier a year ago

            why production? environmental? nature? Who cares about these things more than caring about humans [and happiness thereof]?

            Sure I want less people and more earth to myself too, but if everyone [overall] wants as many free kids as they can afford, how on earth are you going to end up with having less people?

            A girl's maximum happiness is directly correlated with the number of children she has. regardless of how much free capital and brainwashing received

            • eddd-ddde a year ago

              > A girl's maximum happiness is directly correlated with the number of children she has. regardless of how much free capital and brainwashing received

              Wow that's one interesting statement. I've met many girls that rather not have any kids AT ALL. Are those statistical anomalies or something? Are you implying that being pregnant 100% of the time = ultimate happiness?

              • pacerier a year ago

                Since when did she rather be childless? At birth? (Although girls are notorious at lying to themselves, wouldn't hurt to ask.)

                Verily I say thee, it started when she realized how the world outside eden works. Scarcity, money, capitalism, food bills, rent bills, hospital bills, nanny bills, university bills, oh my, if you have as many kids as you want when will you have the time to yourself to ever rest and drink some water?

                But you can go to this girl who ''rather not have any kids at all'' and see for yourself that's not true. All you need is to bring along $100 bill printouts equal to fortune-ten market cap to match, or buy them from Iran if she is the numismatic type. Go ask her if you have all this money in the world do you want kids? Then before she replies, flush out the cash and say It's all yours! Not if! Not when! You are Naow a trillionaire! It's all yours! Do you want kids?!

                Yepp, now you're seeing. Let me know how many kids she wants. (Certainly it'll be age dependant, with those nearing menopause being sourgraped.)

                With replacement rate decreasing from 2.1, even if she is the oddball type that wants only two kids, as long as for every billion of her there's someone who wants more, then we are all set. on the path to 8 trillion and more.

                Of course if all else fails, don't say I didn't warn you, that this being earth not eden there will be folks who are actually mental and within a mere dozen-decade uncurable.

                Being pregnant is not the point, like how working out is not the point. (These are costs not results.) While it can be negative, it's small compared to its epic takeaway.

    • pacerier a year ago

      Enforcing ubi ensures that there's a reasonable bottom to how low you can bid on labour.

      Enforcing minimum wage however is problematic because it is an artificial level. It simply further creates two classes of people, the hired and the unhired.

      • snapplebobapple a year ago

        Enforcing an understanfing of economics, motivation and thinking beyond a first order effect usually ensures people understand why ubi os a bad idea....

        • pacerier a year ago

          There is more than enough science and tech capital for automation to allow ubi over a decade ago. Go ask larry page (cf bit.ly/3TiyI9r), but at the same time be careful who you talk to, for example if you get near Bill Gates he will start to brainwash you why medicine shouldn't be opensourced to africa like we did for code because La and Ti and Do Re Mi 10x-th order thinking.

          But enforcing billionth-order thinking is not enough to learn basic raw psych and motivation. here put to you in simple words:

          — As with every capital transfer 40 acres or otherwise, it is a bad idea if you are not on the receiving side, second-order thinking not actually needed.

        • pacerier a year ago

          copying Scandi is not a bad idea

carom a year ago

https://archive.is/GXrr4

sentinalien a year ago

How do all these people immigrate to the US? Is it all family-based? I work in technological field with many more opportunities in the US and have researched how to move there but it seems almost impossible. I know an American who applied for jobs in my country, got an offer and was over within a few months but that doesn't work the other way round.

  • relaxing a year ago

    You fly over and overstay your visa (indefinitely.) Neglecting any discussion of the legal ramifications, that is largely how it happens.

    • thyrsus a year ago

      And then you have no legal standing, so you get paid far below market depressing everyone's wages, and in any dispute you get deported. The best thing for workers would be for there to be no such thing as an "illegal alien" - but xenophobia/racism wins instead.

  • karp773 a year ago

    Yes, it's mostly family-based. If you look at the distribution of the categories of the issued green cards, ~2/3 are through family. Employment based green cards are less than 15%.

carom a year ago

>Recent immigrants tend to earn less than U.S.-born workers because of their lower level of education, lack of English, and in some cases because they are working without permission. They might also compete with existing workers with less education and put downward pressure on their wages, too.

This is my biggest problem with immigration. It is a handout to corporations. If we think about the poorest Americans, this is doing them a massive disservice. Not that there is any shortage of jobs in tech, but you also have to wonder where the salaries would be at in tech, and how many more citizens would be training for these roles if it weren't for H-1B visa.

For the most part, America serves corporations through legislation and policy though. I dream of a country where the politicians serve the people and not companies, but I also have to wonder if the U.S. would be the economic power house that it is if things were different.

  • pavlov a year ago

    > "you also have to wonder where the salaries would be at in tech, and how many more citizens would be training for these roles if it weren't for H-1B visa"

    On the flip side, you have to wonder where the American tech industry would be without immigrants.

    Nvidia was founded by the son of Taiwanese parents who sent their children to live with an uncle in the US. That's one of the many immigration paths that the MAGAs want to close.

    Was the creation of Nvidia a "handout to corporations"? Intel sure would be happy if Jensen Huang had never made it to America.

    • carom a year ago

      I don't disagree, getting smart and ambitious people to move to your country is a really good policy overall. It is just worth weighing it against the opportunity cost for the citizens of the country.

      • indoordin0saur a year ago

        One thing I seldom see discussed is how if you're attracting the best and brightest it is leaving the original country poor. These places invest in their children hoping that they'll start businesses and then all that investment just ends up going to those countries that are already the richest.

        I certainly don't blame anyone for wanting to move to improve their situation (I did it too!) but I wonder if developing countries would have caught up to the West decades ago if this brain drain wasn't going on.

      • pacerier a year ago

        What opportunity cost? Expensive healthcare? Expensive housing? Hey pal, why not everything else under the sun?

        Immigrants have made the country rich enough to give everyone ubi free housing and free healthcare. But Then Billionaires.

        #immigrants-are-the-new-jews #stop-blaming-the-hand-that-feeds

        ( Of course, it's not billionaires per se, but Greed. Eg in countries like singapore, the Politicians are the problem. )

        For a living example, take a look at UAE, although I'd say they could have treated immigrants a bit better.

      • the_real_cher a year ago

        doesn't it beg the question though... if they're so good for America why aren't they good for their own country?

        • shiroiushi a year ago

          Because their country doesn't offer the same opportunities to achieve the things they believe they can in their new country. It's the main reason people emigrate. No one's going to build Nvidia in India or China, for instance, at least not back in the time that it was created in America.

          • the_real_cher a year ago

            America didn't used to be the country that offered those opportunities.

            Yet people built it and made it that way.

            Nothing is static people csn change anything

            These people need to do that in their own countries.

            • surgical_fire a year ago

              Kind of ironic, considering the whole original population of America (the whole continent) was mostly replaced by immigrants, starting some time after 1492 AD.

              • the_real_cher a year ago

                well in that context they were conquerors

                • surgical_fire a year ago

                  Colonizers rather than conquerors. Colonizers are effectively migrants, by the very definition of the word.

                  • defrost a year ago

                    The British India Company colonisation of India was institutional colonisation.

                    The company remained for many generations but most (not all) individual British people stationed themselves in India and retired 'home' to England where to whence the money flowed.

                    Many European countries regarded their "colonies" as places to exploit for resources, places to be travelled to for work for many years, places they didn't regard as 'home'.

                    There's more to "colonisation" than just simple migration.

                    Even in Australia the early colonisation was by settler families that were part of larger stay at home families, the black sheep, wayward sons, and fortune seeking adventurers .. in Australia convicts and servant families remained, ultimately a good proportion of the underwritten (from home) settlers stayed .. but initially at least many heads of these families "returned home" to England.

                    In a similar manner modern USofA has many institutional "colonies" around the globe, bases they've established and never left, these rarely have permanently settled multi generational families.

                  • the_real_cher a year ago

                    and those countries that were colonized by Western Civilization countries are very lucky.

                    they are typically the top performing GDP countries of their region with some of the best quality of life for their citizens

                    • surgical_fire a year ago

                      Oh yes. Get the list of countries colonized by the awesome Western Civilization. You will be surprised to learn the world is a lot larger than US and Canada.

                      • the_real_cher a year ago

                        Just look at African or South American countries by GDP and see which ones are at the top of the list

                        • surgical_fire a year ago

                          You are aware that all South and Central American countries were colonized by Western Powers right?

                          • shiroiushi a year ago

                            Obviously he has no clue, and thinks all the (largely southern-)European-looking Spanish and Portuguese-speaking people there somehow descended from Aztecs and Incas.

            • shiroiushi a year ago

              The people that built it and made it that way in America were all immigrants.

            • pacerier a year ago

              > didn't used to be

              That's false. By definition none would have come if there wasn't opportunity. You don't need to be a geography student to see that it wasn't just irreligious opportunity.

              • the_real_cher a year ago

                do you think opportunity just magically springs up in places or do you think people make it?

                • pacerier a year ago

                  As stated, the geography of north America provides the opportunity, before there were Americans.

                  Gold rush and stuff is just a bonus, the big money is in cattle and agriculture.

                • AnimalMuppet a year ago

                  People who are looking for opportunity see a place where they could make it.

                • cudgy a year ago

                  Both

        • echelon a year ago

          The value and commensurate compensation of talent depends on location. Proximity to colleagues, decision makers, and capital.

          • the_real_cher a year ago

            Somebody has to sacrifice to be the first to start something like that in their own country.

            In America we built companies art and music out of our garages just for the love of it... not because "that's where the compensation was."

            • t43562 a year ago

              You guys move around for opportunity all the time.

            • pacerier a year ago

              What are you talking about? Is this fact or romance? The country certainly did not become what it is through love of sacrifice.

        • foldr a year ago

          They are. When a doctor immigrates from Nigeria to the US, then that's broadly speaking good for the US and bad for Nigeria.

          • the_real_cher a year ago

            is it though...

            • foldr a year ago

              Both countries have a shortage of doctors, so yes.

              • pacerier a year ago

                That's not how it works. It depends on whether (how much) they are paid and if so what do they buy with that payment. Are they settled in US buying pizzas and Netflix?

                Because if not, then investments to Nigeria past $x will grant it the upperhand since all that money can get you another doctor and more.

                • foldr a year ago
                  • pacerier a year ago

                    5 years is truly a big kill. looks like its a reaction to 99% of them refusing to send money back home and invest in Nigeria, preferring to buy-US and -Europe.

                    • foldr a year ago

                      Not sure if you are deliberately misunderstanding at this point, but the problem is obviously not where the doctors spend their money, but the fact that they are not practicing medicine in Nigeria – as Nigeria might reasonably have hoped them to do once they completed their training.

                      • pacerier a year ago

                        ? The problem is obviously whether (how much) the doctors are paid and where they spend that money.

                        You cannot expect an article to tell you these things.

                        Whether they work in Nigeria or not is not the issue. The issue is that they are doing it without compensating the country. Worse, they clearly don't intend to come back again (so you don't Ever get compensated at all, not just suffering time value of money) otherwise there's no need for a 5 year penalty. which is relatively huge compared to what the other countries are doing.

                        I guess sending money back home is not big in Nigeria culturally like it is in Mexico? Welp, I can't enforce you to send money back but guess what, I can enforce you to not leave at all.

                        • foldr a year ago

                          >Whether they work in Nigeria or not is not the issue.

                          It absolutely is the issue, because Nigeria has a shortage of doctors. It has nothing to do with whether or not Nigerian doctors send money back home. If they send lots of money back home, they still aren't in Nigeria practicing medicine, which is what Nigeria actually wants.

                          If this was about money then there'd be no reason to make a law specific to doctors, as many other Nigerians emigrate for better economic prospects elsewhere.

                          • pacerier a year ago

                            whatafool, do apply common sense sometimes. Nigeria has a shortage of Everything. But it needs money more than it needs anything else.

                            > actually wants

                            Declared by who? And that politically correct statement is believed by who? [other than you]

                            > no reason to..

                            no reason??? Doctor training is one of the Top heavily subsidized by the state. (As with weapons. but none is chanting "Weapons Weapons" but "Doctors Doctors Doctors" because PC, as zelensky the clown has found out the hard way even for a christian country.) Sure, it's expensive to subsidize the capital for a literature major sitting in a beautiful airconditioned classroom with a courtyard and maybe swimming pool.. at least until you find out the annual mortgage of a PBT facility.

                            Tldr use common sense. If every doctor I export out of the country gets me 4.48b cf js.do/code/740428 (prepaid btw, for the correct interest rate to charge does not make any sense considering the country may not be around for another 99y), then I only need to export 100 per year [out of 220M] to twice my gdp; heck you'd do it all day long every single day.

        • asimpletune a year ago

          It makes sense for big fish to seek big ponds

        • pacerier a year ago

          But they are. Yet men being men will go where they think the money/food is.

        • jyounker a year ago

          When they leave their country it's called Brain Drain.

    • yunohn a year ago

      > the son of Taiwanese parents who sent their children to live with an uncle in the US. That's one of the many immigration paths that the MAGAs want to close.

      Is this an actual immigration path that still remains open? I find it hard to believe.

      • pavlov a year ago

        It’s a patchwork. The latest policy to allow undocumented immigrant children to stay is from 2012 and still in effect:

        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deferred_Action_for_Childhood_...

      • varjag a year ago

        No not really. Maybe in Ellis Island days.

        Most born Americans certainly have no fainest clue how hard it is to legally immigrate to the USA already.

        • pacerier a year ago

          Actually it is incredibly easy. But keyword is not "productivity", it is "family".

          Who knew.. that the racist plan to ensure the population stays white actually had the reverse effect.. 2024 and nothing's still being done about it because That's racist doh!

          • varjag a year ago

            Family reunification with your uncle is impossible. You literally just proved my point.

            • pacerier a year ago

              You can't do it with an uncle and that does not make it hard. It is in fact incredibly easy.

              • varjag a year ago

                For someone who has no immediate family in the USA (i.e. most people of the world) the reunification venue is closed. I'm not sure what you're trying to argue here.

                • pacerier a year ago

                  But for someone who has, the door is wide wide wide open.

                  • ryandrake a year ago

                    OK, so it being easy for a subset of people doesn't mean it's "easy" in general.

                  • varjag a year ago

                    Yes and if you have 10 million dollars you have options for wealth immigration, the door is wide wide open. Do you think that makes immigration to the USA incredibly easy?

        • the_real_cher a year ago

          there's a lot of businesses simply built around hacking the US immigration system.

          the people most likely to immigrate aren't the smartest but the people with the most money who can pay to hack the system

          • varjag a year ago

            There really isn't much "hacking" going on, it's mostly fraud. Fictional marriages, fake jobs and so on. I was talking about legal ways.

  • cherryteastain a year ago

    > Recent immigrants tend to earn less than U.S.-born workers...because they are working without permission

    This is the real problem. The Indian PhD grad on a H1B won't create the kinds of problems in the article. Media loves to put H1B/L1/EB1/EB2 holders with random people walking in via Mexico and doing odd jobs for cash in hand in the same category when their economic impact could not be more different.

    • the_real_cher a year ago

      Their economic impact is to deprive opportunities from Americans just like the people walking in from Mexico.

      There is a strong equivalency there.

      More people graduated in computer science in the United States in the last few years than ever before and they can't find jobs.

      Doesn't it beg the question...if they're so good for the economy in America why aren't they good for the economy in their own country?

      • cherryteastain a year ago

        > deprive opportunities

        Jury is out on this one. Japan has hardly any immigration yet their wages stagnated. Canada has a ton of immigration and their wages are also stagnant. Europe is somewhere between Japan and Canada, with also stagnant wages. Nobody disputes wages are stagnant, but the degree to which skilled immigration suppresses wages is an area where economists are unsure or even tilting towards a 'no' answer.

        > if they're so good for the economy in America why aren't they good for the economy in their own country

        There are so many jobs that are available only in industrialized countries. You won't find semiconductor fabs or airplane factories in undeveloped countries.

        • the_real_cher a year ago

          > wages stagnated

          I don't really think wages are a proxy for opportunity as central banks can make currency worthless. There's computer science graduates in America who would take a job in their field for pittances just to be working in their field.

          > There are so many jobs that are available only in industrialized countries

          Well start! Half the startups in the 90s Americans built out of their garage.

          • cherryteastain a year ago

            A person in the US founding a startup has access and exposure to the deepest capital markets in the world, the largest domestic market in the world, a stable legal and political environment, and a phenomenal talent pool. A person doing the same in e.g. Vietnam has access to almost 0 VC funding, tiny domestic market, his efforts are hindered by a capricious and restrictive legal and political environment and a very low skilled talent pool. Someone with the same competency as say Bill Gates has an infinitely lower chance of making it big.

            People do not risk their lives and leave their families behind because they really love going to Cheesecake Factory everday in the US, it's because opportunities often flat out do not exist in their country for what they want to do.

            Even among successful businesses founded in (currently or formerly) less industrialized countries, you will see that a huge proportion are actually state owned or backed (e.g. TSMC, Samsung)

            • the_real_cher a year ago

              Opportunities didn't exist in America until Americans made them exist.

              Apple was founded in a garage.

              Time for people in other countries to do the same for their own country.

              A good product or a good idea will surface.

              Your excuses fall on deaf ears.

              • pacerier a year ago

                America had been a pristine land of opportunity long before the first American was born. Americans didn't make America, America made Americans.

                Apple was founded after WWII (it would not exist today without a WWII victory).

                Time for people in other countries to do the same what? War? More natives killing?

                A good product or a good idea will surface tomorrow eventually.

                But men being men will go where the money/food is today, no excuses needed. In fact no killing of natives needed either, so what's holding you back really?

              • t43562 a year ago

                ...and yet America was built by immigrants who couldn't make opportunities at home.

      • alephnerd a year ago

        Before the pandemic, tech companies were not as async.

        The pandemic proved that operations can continue in a semi-async manner.

        Now in the post-2023 market, companies have begun to make that shift to global hiring now that async is normalized.

        Outside North America, the salary for the top 15-20% of SWEs is roughly comparable to each other in every country so it makes it easier to scale out teams and speed up product and feature delivery, especially now that American trained engineers on visas were the first to be let go during the 2023-24 layoffs, and for the past decade, CS majors from the top universities in China (Project 985 programs) and India (INIs) have largely stopped moving abroad except for graduate programs.

        I warned this would happened in the start of the pandemic, and have kept saying it since.

  • jyounker a year ago

    There is an easy solution: Don't require residency for employment. Everyone is entitled to full protections of labor law, document immigrant or not. This eliminates much of the incentive to abuse non-documented labor. Then make it even stronger. If a non-resident employee brings suit against an employer for violating labor laws in a significant way, and they win, then they are entitled to citizenship as repayment for helping to enforce our labor laws.

    • carom a year ago

      So now workers have unlimited competition. That sounds like it will put a lot of power in the hands of corporations in terms of being able to replace workers.

  • prewett a year ago

    My understanding is that Americans aren't willing to work a lot of lower wage jobs. I think that Mexicans harvest most of the crops in California. A friend of mine in California needed roof repairs and he says that all the American workers were pretty lackadaisical, while the Mexicans worked pretty hard. I believe a lot of hotel staff are immigrants as well, and after the pandemic smaller hotels were simply unable to hire staff. Lawn care is another industry. If anything, I think immigration as regards these areas may be a handout to farmers and homeowners needing manual labor.

    H-1Bs are another issue, but since it's capped at something like 50k, I'm not sure how much it's really contributing to lower wages, especially given how software has some of the highest wages in the economy. I don't think the "poorest Americans" are going to be working in tech, though. I've worked with some of the kids in this category, and my conclusion is that poverty is a culture and a mindset. Those without that mindset (frequently children of immigrants) gain the skills necessary to leave.

    • CrimsonCape a year ago

      I interpret your story as the American workers thinking "wow, I'm not getting paid enough to deal with this s***."

      I also interpret your story as the children of immigrants realizing "wow, I'm not going to be paid enough to deal with the s** * my parents deal/dealt with." So they find a way to get a tech job or desk job.

      One could just as easily denigrate the children of immigrants as being lackadasical, but that's not necessary. Why denigrate people?

      • pacerier a year ago

        I'm not sure where the denigration is?

        > to work a lot of lower wage

        > all the American workers were pretty lackadaisical, while the Mexicans worked pretty hard

        Truth

    • carom a year ago

      >Americans aren't willing to work a lot of lower wage jobs.

      Then the wages are not high enough in those jobs. They should either pay more or get automated. Bringing in desperate people who are willing to live and under worse conditions is not an ethically sound solution.

      • pacerier a year ago

        > ethically

        Don't start that pretend. This was never about ethics. Pretending that it's about ethics is instant KO.

        (Ethics is measured by how many such desperate people you allow to come in, not how many you yet refuse, subjecting them to even worse alternatives)

    • deepfriedchokes a year ago

      The jobs wouldn’t be lower wage in the first place if businesses didn’t have immigrants to exploit.

      • alephnerd a year ago

        Wages are not significantly lower.

        For example, Trump's H1B prevailing wages rules are still in place so at most the salary difference is 15-20% (which is basically nil as a hiring manager)

        In "lower skilled labor" like manual Construction the average wages tend to be middle of the pack for those states [0]

        For white collar jobs, the biggest driver for the slowing hiring market is the fact that companies have shown that they can operate in a global async manner, which means shareholders and board members like my Peers are increasingly pushing for hiring abroad as a way to speed delivery.

        [0] - https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes472061.htm

  • pif a year ago

    > It is a handout to corporations.

    You are right, but unfortunately you are not completely right.

    The problem lies in a universal truth: people buy cheap.

    A corporation that can afford lower wages is a corporation that can maintain its customer base. If American corporations stooped their effort in reducing costs, they'd lose their effort to foreign corporations with easier access to lower wages and less ecological constraints.

    The enemy of the poorest Americans are not the immigrants, but the richer Americans. As a thought experiment, imagine running a trade shop employing only American workers: start advertising the fact that you pay socially-acceptable wages to them; and explain your potential customers that, by paying more for the same service, they'll get the honour of helping their fellow citizens. I'm sure your phone will not ring that often!

  • ajkdhg a year ago

    Yes, it distorts wages as a function of supply and demand. Workers cannot bargain, because corporations simply import new people.

    In the EU it is done by both importing people and extending the EU eastwards. The quality of life has dropped dramatically in the original EU countries.

    • another2another a year ago

      > The quality of life has dropped dramatically in the original EU countries.

      That doesn't reflect the reality that I see at all. The only area where quality of life is worse than previous generations is in property ownership - particularly in bigger cities and suburbs. But that's reflected across many industrialised nations from UK, Canada, NZ, Australia, so it's not a problem just limited to EU countries.

      Otherwise the net price of "stuff" from electronics, cars, food, clothes, shoes and household accessories have fallen a lot in real terms and people have lots more than ever before - maybe too much ?

    • raverbashing a year ago

      Yes we all have seen how the UK got rid of those pesky EU FoM Eastern Europeans and replaced them with Asians that accept an even lower salary

    • biorach a year ago

      > The quality of life has dropped dramatically in the original EU countries.

      This is, on the whole, bullshit.

      • spwa4 a year ago

        I think you'll find people in the EU compare their situation to the economic situation of their parents. That comparison goes very badly. In the 70s-80s-90s an uneducated worker could support a "suburban" house (newly built, that they'd own after 20 years or so and retire in), stay-at-home wife, car, send 2-3 kids to school and college and have money left over for a yearly holiday with 5 people.

        Compare that to even a current PhD making 3k euros per month with house prices starting at 300k for pretty bad (certainly not newly built) and smaller than the one their parents had, and they find they can't afford it on 2 full-time wages.

        So "quality of life has dropped dramatically". Yes. Yes it has. In other ways quality of life has advanced, yes, but the basics ... the basics are a disaster.

        And this is the situation in the most economically prosperous side of Europe. Ireland, the Netherlands, Belgium, Nordics, France, Germany. If you do the same comparison in the middle or south of France, Northern Italy or Spain it'll be 10x worse. If you do it in Portugal, Southern Italy or Greece, it'll be 100x worse, hence everybody is leaving. And if you do it in Eastern Europe it'll be even worse: everyone (who even remotely can) HAS left.

        • pif a year ago

          > In the 70s-80s-90s an uneducated worker could support

          Then the entire West started buying cheap from China and imposing rigid environmental constraints locally, and manufacturing jobs left forever.

          • orwin a year ago

            Also we still had gas and oil from the north sea. Since the production peaked, energy is expensive, thus everything is.

        • biorach a year ago

          your basic point is that the cost of housing has increased to levels that are making life difficult for most people.

          However the language you use is exaggerated to the point of hysteria, which kind of undermines everything you say.

          Also, your original point was about immigration. There is a housing crisis even in countries with relatively low levels of immigration, which indicates that other factors are at play.

          > . If you do it in Portugal, Southern Italy or Greece, it'll be 100x worse, hence everybody is leaving. And if you do it in Eastern Europe it'll be even worse: everyone (who even remotely can) HAS left.

          While there are high levels of emigration in these places, what you're saying is exaggerated to the point of being bullshit.

  • fooker a year ago

    > how many more citizens would be training for these roles if it weren't for H-1B visa.

    Yeah, Indian citizens, because the tech jobs can be done there just as well for a fourth of the cost. There is a massive push within companies to make this happen.

  • roenxi a year ago

    If you want high salaries you can just multiply all the financial numbers by 100. Then workers all get to be millionaires. Doesn't help much though; "high salaries" are one of those distractions from what matters - high living standards.

    The question is really whether a migrant will produce more or less over their lifetime than the resources they consume. If they produce less, then the balance has to come from existing citizens. But it has nothing to do with whether more labour is a net win for corporations or not. The problem is if they come in and do low productivity work that wasn't going to happen at all in a counterfactual where they didn't migrate.

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