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German riot police clear protesters for coal mine expansion

cnn.com

44 points by mikaeluman 3 years ago · 54 comments

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mikaelumanOP 3 years ago

Amid the energy crisis in Europe, and a looming shut down of the last nuclear plants in Germany in April 2023 and declining gas input; coal has been revived as the baseload power in Germany.

In the last months of 2022, about a third of power production came from coal. In 2006, about a third instead came from nuclear plants.

Source (Swedish): https://www.tn.se/naringsliv/24056/efter-nedlaggningen-av-ka...

Officially coal is supposed to be phased out by 2030.

  • cinntaile 3 years ago

    > In the last months of 2022, about a third of power production came from coal. In 2006, about a third instead came from nuclear plants.

    You are misrepresenting the data here, implying that coal production somehow has increased over that time period but in 2006 coal stood for about 60% of the power production. Coal usage is trending downwards, but during 2021 and 2022 it has gone up as a direct result of shutting down the nuclear plants and the reduced gas input.

    • looping__lui 3 years ago

      Not to mention that (retail) electricity prices went up like crazy and are now at up to 50 cents/kWh if you sign new contracts. 35 cents/kWh are pretty amazing already…

      The depiction has a breakdown of taxes also and the trend is what I remember. I must admit I’m not 1000% sure whether the page that links it is great though: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/01/13/german-household-elec...

      That did the industry in Germany a real solid: https://www.bmwk.de/Redaktion/DE/Schlaglichter-der-Wirtschaf...

      Compared to 2015, it is down by 10% or so: https://www.bmwk.de/Redaktion/DE/Schlaglichter-der-Wirtschaf...

      Now, I certainly advise caution how to interpret these figures and how inflation is factored in, etc. are big factors. Having several family members across Germany working in industrial production, there is a common theme that “production is shifted abroad at scale” though… Also keep in mind: the industry didn’t pay these 35 cents/kWh prices, those were what consumers paid…

      The past 17+ years of political failure did the German working class a real solid. When the head of a state advises people to “use a sponge and not shower so often to preserve hot water” it’s almost surreal that a government charging 45+% of tax of a countries GDP is unable to ensure people have hot water, heating or keep up the electrical supply for industry.

      • cracrecry 3 years ago

        >The past 17+ years of political failure did the German working class a real solid. When the head of a state advises people to “use a sponge and not shower so often to preserve hot water” it’s almost surreal that a government charging 45+% of tax of a countries GDP is unable to ensure people have hot water, heating or keep up the electrical supply for industry.

        It is only common sense. Is it surreal that central planning does not work? We know that for a long time.

        I am engineer, I was born in Spain. I have a company in Europe. For me it was completely nuts what the german Government did with the money, I worked on those projects because it was were the money was. Spending fortunes on solar panels(manufactured from coal in China) where there is no sun?

        I was in favor of putting gas pipelines with Russia, but it was really nonsense not creating alternatives instead of a single provider. Letting a single bomb destroy your entire economy?

        High taxes does not protect you against stupidity, on the contrary.

        Germans are awakening to reality, and that is a great thing. It will take some time and pain though. But seems people only learn this way.

        It is not as bad as in Ukraine. I was in Kiev one week before invasion, everybody was like: "Ohh, Russians will not attack, they never do". Those guys later had to improvise Molotov cocktails against tanks because they were ill prepared, never fired a gun.

        You pay a high price for stupidity.

        • jemmyw 3 years ago

          > It is not as bad as in Ukraine. I was in Kiev one week before invasion, everybody was like: "Ohh, Russians will not attack, they never do". Those guys later had to improvise Molotov cocktails against tanks because they were ill prepared, never fired a gun.

          To be fair though the government of Ukraine had been preparing since the mini invasions of 2014. Probably a situation where you can never prepare enough.

      • mytailorisrich 3 years ago

        Yes, it is a total failure of policy over several decades that has finally been exposed. Hence why politicians are so keen to assign the blame on "the war".

      • carschno 3 years ago

        Not arguing against the political failures, but mind that the impressions of "several family members" do not yield figures reliable for any conclusions.

        • ariendj 3 years ago

          I'm in Germany and can absolutely confirm these impressions. Factories are closing and moving abroad. The misguided policies are forcing them to. Publicly traded multinational companies that are beholden to their shareholders cannot stay here, even if the management would like to.

        • looping__lui 3 years ago

          I hear you, but the deliberate and ideology driven manipulation of macro-economic figures and the lack of access to such data calls for the “no bullshit street perception datapoints” at times. E.g., the ECB claiming 2% inflation for decades conveniently leaving real-estate out of their basket etc. I provided the datapoints showing a 10% decline in industry production - adding that there are a couple of considerations that could change the numbers a lot and we don’t have a hell lot of transparency about. Hence backing it up with anecdotes.

          As an example: if (!!) the 10% decline was adjusted by the official inflation, would you believe that it was 2% from 2015-2020 or would you rather go for 5% that reflect also real-estate and other commodities relevant for industry (e.g., if steel increased 50%, so might industry output simply because of price changes). So, the “official figures” could be vastly inflated and the situation could be a lot worse even.

    • mikaelumanOP 3 years ago

      Was not my intention to misrepresent that. Absolutely true that it has declined in total over that time period.

      I never made the claim you state either. The failure is the re-introduction now taking place.

      • cinntaile 3 years ago

        It's a result of a situation largely outside of their control (the war), so I'm not sure if I would call it a failure. It's unfortunate of course, but it's a speed bump in the long run. Maybe it's even a blessing in disguise, without Putin nuclear would have been dead and buried in many countries. Now there is more interest from the public and governments than before, but the economics are still a big issue and the current high-interest (loan interest) environment definitely doesn't help. It would not surprise me if governments agree to unfavorable terms to help finance these things, governments have a huge information disadvantage here.

        • buran77 3 years ago

          The war exposed the failure but it was there all along. And I'll go a step further, being a bit more familiar with EU politics: this wasn't "failure" as in "random occurrence", it was set up to fail because of explicit financial interests at the top and misguided ideology for the rest. We knew the risks 30 years ago and yet German leaders in particular doubled down on reducing resiliency and increasing dependence on a high-risk partner in exchange for money and "feel good" lies to tell themselves and everyone else. EU has ran out of capable and reasonably honest leaders, now we have people with more strings attached than a piano. I say this as someone who's literally rubbed elbows with some of these people for years.

          Let me frame it in the IT landscape. If your storage kicks the bucket but you had no real backup, no procedures to bring back anything, and no spares you couldn't blame it on a random act outside of your control. If it turned out you had repeated warnings but instead chose to phase out backups and to replace the enterprise storage with SD cards from a shady manufacturer then you really wouldn't be able to claim "random act of God". And if when all is said and done you end up on the board of the shady SD manufacturer that kind of seals the deal on whether you are to blame or not.

          • cinntaile 3 years ago

            I'm not gonna call it a random occurence, it's more like the cumulation of a number of complex issues that have an influence on each other. The combination of financial, environmental and operational advantages of natural gas over the alternatives is pretty obvious so I'm not terribly surprised by their choice given that they wanted to move away from nuclear and coal. I think they should have had more alternatives given that Russia's invasion of Crimea happened in 2014, extending nuclear would likely have been the best bet but opening up for extending nuclear was probably a very difficult sell at the time. Fukushima and the subsequent decision of Germany regarding nuclear was less than 3 years old then.

        • mytailorisrich 3 years ago

          The situation is fully under their control:

          First, because it is a result of their energy policy over the last decade(s).

          Second, because the consequences of "the war" are driven by how they decided to react to it.

          "The war" is being used as a convenient scapegoat. Everyone could see that the sh*t had to hit the fan one day because of the terrible energy policies in most of Europe... when that happens politicians are always very keen to find reasons "outside of their control"...

          • cinntaile 3 years ago

            How is it a convenient scapegoat? If the supply of gas wasn't restricted we wouldn't be in this situation, I don't see how you can deny that.

        • looping__lui 3 years ago

          Very much like Covid, very much like infrastructure like railroads or highways, very much like the health-care system. Their failure is incompetence fueled by ideology-driven politics for which they tried to undermine the very foundations of the German democracy (e.g., take away state-level authority during Covid).

          The US wasn’t the only one who warned the German government about the geopolitical risk they would be exposed to.

          Angela Merkel shut down nuclear power in Germany and then tied our industry to Putin.

    • nix23 3 years ago

      A matching yt overall ;)

      ApoCOALypse Now! [YouTube]:

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yLThCHzetTU

    • foepys 3 years ago

      Also, almost half of the French nuclear reactors were down for maintenance in 2022, requiring German coal and gas power plants to stabilize the European power grid.

      The reactors only recently went online again.

      https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/18/business/france-nuclear-p...

ariendj 3 years ago

The irony here is that members of the green party are demonstrating against policies that their own party agreed to.

  • Freak_NL 3 years ago

    That's not ironic. A coalition government — something American readers may not be too familiar with — governs with a set of agreed upon policies decided during the formative stages by the participating parties. By necessity, those policies will differ from what the individual parties would want were they to rule alone, but represent instead a compromise.

    So a coalition government where greener parties represent 50% of the governing coalition would likely be greener than one where they only have 25%, but to do everything according to their own party programme they would need to have a majority vote to be able to govern without forming a coalition.

    Sometimes participating in a coalition government means the government takes actions the individual party may not find desirable, but they accept these because they do get to have their say on other topics. And sometimes local branches of a party have a differing opinion on some topics.

    This is overall a good system though. It means you can vote for a party closest to your ideals, and even have a chance that they can govern (e.g., as part of a coalition), or at least have them represented in parliament.

  • peoplefromibiza 3 years ago

    The real irony is that a Green Party is opening new coal mines because Gerhard Schröder, former leader of the SPD, allied of the Green in this government, and former German chancellor lobbied for Gazprom and because Die Grünen lobbied to shutdown nuclear plants after Fukushima.

dsq 3 years ago

It is a physical impossibility to have one’s cake and eat it too. The only energy source that can provide green energy reliably going forward is nuclear, but the Greens have always been against it.

Wind and solar don’t work in Central Europe.

Whats left, now that the wolf is at the door, if you want the lights on and heat for the family?

Dirty coal.

  • tete 3 years ago

    > The only energy source that can provide green energy reliably going forward is nuclear

    This simply isn't backed by real life experience. A not too small factor about Germany producing more power is that France for years now always has problems producing enough energy, because they have to put down their nuclear plants for various reasons. In these situations nuclear power plants typically still require energy.

    France put all its eggs into nuclear, like pretty much no other country, and doesn't produce enough energy to even cover its own energy demands. And not just now, but the topic goes through the media at least once a year. Nobody denies that, it's just a fact.

    Reality just isn't that simple.

    • mytailorisrich 3 years ago

      France also made policy mistakes by significantly reducing its investment in nuclear without committing on any real alternatives, and lately also by postponing critical maintenance "because of Covid", which was a ridiculous thing to do.

    • peoplefromibiza 3 years ago

      AFAIK France produces 80% of their energy with nuclear plants and the rest is provided mostly by renewables.

      France is one of the biggest exporters of electricity in the World and that's where most of the non-nuclear and non-renewable production goes.

      • tete 3 years ago

        France is a net importer. I am not sure what exactly you mean by "France is one of the biggest exporters" though.

        Here a graph that shows "total energy used in the country minus its production of energy", which shows that France that mostly produces nuclear energy consistently requires more energy than it produces.

        https://www.theglobaleconomy.com/france/Energy_imports/

        Even though that wasn't really what I am talking about. The reality is that France frequently has to shut down many of their reactors, which causes them to for longer periods of time require energy from Germany.

        The reason for that is that for example in July 2022, 29 of their 56 nuclear plants were offline due to outages. Given that as you the majority of what France produces is nuclear energy, this is a big problems. These offline plants still require energy for cooling. So if other countries didn't provide energy France would have had a blackout. A lot of that is evidently cold by climate change and heat (these problems mostly happen in summer), but at the same time France for example at the end of 2021 had issues and needed to import energy for heating.

        This is not to be pro-gas or coal at all. I think they should be abandoned as quickly as possible for many reasons, CO2, pollution both at energy production as well as fuel production, limits on availability, etc. This is to say that just everyone switching to to nuclear energy isn't a magical fix.

        There is a strong need for mixes, both in how energy is produced and saved. And when I say saving, I don't mean batteries, but storage plants, some for long time storage like pumped storage hydroelectricity, and various types with typically lower storage, but quicker response times for spikes to prevent outages. Cause then one can actually make use of less consistent energy sources. Short-term and long-term storage work. And the more of those you have to more stable your energy grid will be, regardless of whether you use nuclear power or other power. And you won't have to shut down plants so quickly, because you overproduce at certain times of the day, be it for solar energy or less demand at night, for nuclear energy.

  • Guthur 3 years ago

    No one at the top wants stable and reliable.

    It's so much easier to profit and seize control during periods of volatility.

0xy 3 years ago

The biggest scam of renewables is not the viability of the technology itself, but the lie by omission that all renewables require baseload power which always happens to be non-renewable. The massive expansion of gas peaking plants in Germany, Europe and the rest of the developed world is the prime example of the lie.

Statistics are presented about the benefits of renewables, which seemingly never include the environmental destruction of the gas peaking plants propping them up.

If you counter with 'what about batteries', the lie by omission shifts from environmental destruction to child slavery. Battery supply chains cannot escape the contaminant that is child slavery.

Of course, this is while the West agreed to give China and India free reign to build unlimited coal plants until 2030.

Why can't renewables shake these fundamental deceptions? You're either hiding emissions (gas) or hiding child slavery (batteries).

  • affgrff2 3 years ago

    I don't know, I think everyone is aware that storing excess energy surplus from renewables is an unsolved problem and you are moralizing and making the debate by choice of strong words (lie, slavery) unnecessary emotional.

  • cinntaile 3 years ago

    > The biggest scam of renewables is not the viability of the technology itself, but the lie by omission that all renewables require baseload power which always happens to be non-renewable. The massive expansion of gas peaking plants in Germany, Europe and the rest of the developed world is the prime example of the lie

    Peaker plants are not baseload power. Baseload power means constant output, peaker plants are by definition variable output. You should also take into account that renewables+peaker plants replace coal plants in Germany, the emissions are reduced compared to before.

    • 0xy 3 years ago

      If emissions are reduced, emissions are not zero. That's the fundamental lie.

      >Peaker plants are not baseload power

      Not according to reality. [1] Gas has been producing consistently on a daily basis for over a year in Germany. Natural gas is used to prop up baseload generation in Germany and practically every region it's used.

      [1] https://www.agora-energiewende.de/en/service/recent-electric...

      • credit_guy 3 years ago

        > If emissions are reduced, emissions are not zero. That's the fundamental lie.

        What are you trying to say here? That reducing emissions is not good? That only 100% reduction is good and anything less is bad? That's quite a strange point of view to have.

        • 0xy 3 years ago

          If you market a product as renewable it is absolutely an egregious lie to forget to mention that the product requires the construction of gas plants which are not renewable.

          Wind and solar are marketed and sold as emission-free. Meanwhile, while countries pat themselves on the back, they're building brand new gas plants.

          'Renewables + gas' is not even close to emissions-free, especially not when Germany has gas plants firing literally 24 hours a day for the last year or more.

      • loufe 3 years ago

        This is willfully ignorant. Yes it has been used, but that was not its design function. I'm not justifying its use, but it's unfair to qualify it as de jure baseload when in reality it may be temporarily de facto base load.

  • elric 3 years ago

    I'm not quite sure what point you're trying to make? This isn't some kind of big coverup. Pretty much everyone is aware of the fact that most renewables suffer from intermittency issues. These issues can be somewhat smoothed out over larger geographic areas (e.g. there's always wind somewhere), but until we can build better storage systems, there's no panacea here. Or anywhere else.

    We're also quite keenly aware of the downsides of other energy sources. You could equally argue that there are many lies of omission related to fossil fuels or nuclear.

    • looping__lui 3 years ago

      In Germany “intermittency issues” are not only ignored but denied at the top. If carbon emissions are the biggest threat we face, there are two choices: nuclear or deindustrialisation.

      • ariendj 3 years ago

        I'm getting the impression that "the top" has already decided to go with deindustrialization. I hope to be proven wrong.

        • ant6n 3 years ago

          They chose coal for now and lng. That’s why those who want to follow the 1.5 degree limit protest.

          • ariendj 3 years ago

            And that's why the workers at Kostal in Iserlohn are now out of a job. Doesn't really matter what was chosen if you can't afford it, unfortunately.

  • mschuster91 3 years ago

    > Statistics are presented about the benefits of renewables, which seemingly never include the environmental destruction of the gas peaking plants propping them up.

    There are quite some ways of providing backup for wind and solar: ordinary hydro power and geothermal energy for base load, pumped storage hydro power, hydrogen conversion and tidal power for peaks. And even gas plants aren't that problematic either - assuming you only need them for peaks instead of, like now, replacing broken-down French NPPs, you can fire them with bio-gas gathered from farm animal dung or bio-waste.

    > If you counter with 'what about batteries', the lie by omission shifts from environmental destruction to child slavery. Battery supply chains cannot escape the contaminant that is child slavery.

    Of course they can, it is only a matter of money and oversight over governments.

    • 0xy 3 years ago

      Hydro power can only be used for base load power generation in pipe dreams.

      Take the case of Tasmania, Australia. Tasmania is generally an energy exporter, and receives 100% of their power via hydro. In 2016, unexpectedly low rainfall led to serious supply issues in the hydro plant powering the island. The solution? The government organized air deliveries of diesel generators to meet the shortfall. Diesel generators are worse than coal.

      In mere months, Tasmania's 'green energy revolution' was desecrated by diesel. Decades of progress erased. Green image gone.

      As for pumped hydro storage, same issue. If one of your variables is 'we get more than X rainfall', it cannot possibly be described as reliable enough for baseload power.

      This is the problem. Green solutions get decimated by reality, and they're dutifully covered up by greenwashing propagandists. Don't look too closely at our diesel generators or gas peaking plants. Don't look at our battery supply chains.

      • mschuster91 3 years ago

        Diversification is always important, and sorry but putting all your eggs into one basket (here, hydro power) is just plain bad.

        Even nuclear is not a solution, just look at France and Switzerland who had to take down a lot of their nuclear capacity beyond the broken-down NPPs because they lacked cooling water.

        A decent renewable power grid has to have a lot of different energy generation paths: hydro, solar, wind, bio-gas, tidal (where possible), geothermal, enough interconnection paths to other regions, storage (battery, pumped hydro, flywheel) and regularly tested backups. The backups may even be fossil, no one has a major issue with that, the key thing is that the backup capacity must never be assumed as a regular operational capacity. And obviously, the generation capacity has to be scaled in a way that assumes a decent set of overproduction as no kind of power generation has an availabilty/capacity factor of 1... if your total consumption is, say, 100 GW, you have to have at least 200-300 GW in generation capacity.

jacooper 3 years ago

Rightfully so.

Germany is facing the danger of de-industrialization and losing their economy, they need to react fast to get energy prices back to a realistic level, Its not the time for rosy climate goals and climate extremists(Die letzte Generation), the entire country is at risk.

Despite other comments saying Germany is wasting its taxes, the way Germany handled the gas crisis is certainly better than the UK, which ironically should've been less affected.

high taxes allowed Germany to strike new deals with Qatar, and to buy gas from alternative, certainty more expensive suppliers.

  • looping__lui 3 years ago

    Maybe before charging high taxes to cover up large scale political mistakes they should start making good decisions and giving people back their money’s worth in public services. And by good decisions I mean: put ideological wishful thinking a side and do some math and make a plan.

    UK just looks like a crazy show from outside. Weirdly enough it was put up for a vote and people went for it with the Brexit.

    With the leftist government for another 3+ years in Germany, the chances for Germany to get back on track are nil. And if Germany sh*t its pants it’s not rosy for the EU either. UK gone, France not exactly outpacing everyone and the South on the brink of financial collapse.

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