California to consider keeping last nuclear plant open
arstechnica.com>Concerns about Diablo Canyon were revived in the wake of the Fukushima disaster, a reactor that was vulnerable due to its location on the coast.
That's hardly a valid concern. "The elevation of the Fukushima site is approximately 20 feet [6m] above sea level, while Diablo Canyon sits on a bluff 85 feet [26m] above sea level." [Wikipedia]
Furthermore, people seem to ignore one of the very favorable attributes of Diablo Canyon - it was designed to be paired with a large pumped storage facility, so that power generated overnight is available for peak use during the day.
"The Helms Pumped Storage project was designed to be used with the Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Plant, also owned by PG&E, in the 1970s, when Diablo Canyon was being designed and permitted. It is connected to that power plant by a dedicated high-tension power line." [Wikipedia]
The plant was built before they discovered a few fault lines in the area. Fault lines that are extremely close to the reactors.
I was discussing specifically the risk of tsunami, which is what I believe people were trying to take from Fukushima and apply without modification to Diablo Canyon.
If your peak is during the day, then you probably want solar, then you can use that to fill the pumped storage for the evenings.
Even though it sounds like the original design was to store energy at night for use during the day, it looks like now that solar is such a large part of the grid they've just flipped the schedule around. From the CAISO website, hydro and battery go up around 4pm as solar output starts to go down and they peak around 8pm (fossil fuel generation follow the same trend, roughly). Although I don't know if there's the ability to check generation at a per-site level.
Nuclear paired with pumped hydro is very flexible, being able to handle peaks at any time. It's also very reliable, since the vast majority of outages are scheduled, and the plant's output can be increased or decreased to ensure there is enough surplus to store enough energy to meet expected peak demand. It also uses much less land and material resources, and results in less waste, substantially reducing damage to the environment.
Most of this is false, if you're trying to imply solar plus hydro is worse than nuclear and hydro. Taking them in order:
Demand is higher during the day. solar matches this better than the flat production of nuclear, so less storage per watt of production is needed for cheap solar energy when used to pump hydro storage, and even non pumped hydro can be varied to complement solar production and demand needs (within certain limits). And seasonally hydro and solar complement each other.
The land usage of pumped hydro isn't great, but since that's the same between both we'll ignore it for now.
Since the solar can be placed on top of the hydro dam water, or on the top of buildings, or used to shelter crops, the land use can and should be negative.
I very much doubt nuclear takes less material resources, but I don't have any good numbers for that off hand. Generally, cost is a reasonable proxy for energy and material input though (in the absence of large externalities) and solar costs less.
Again, hydro isn't super good for the environment, substiantially worse than nuclear and solar, but if you're going to build it to help nuclear deal with it's unhelpful power supply timing then you might as well use it for cheap solar.
> I very much doubt nuclear takes less material resources.
In the case of an existing nuclear power plant it does. Because if you shut it down, the plant is still going to be there, except that it won't produce anything.
California has been building solar like crazy for the last 5 years if not more. Nobody is saying stop building solar. Nobody is even saying build nuclear. The only thing this proposal is saying is don't shut down a very large existing nuclear power plant, at least not until we get to carbon neutral.
If you are suggesting that somehow by shutting down this power plant you can get faster to net zero, then we're all very eager to hear the details.
A lot of people say that, actually.
My points were that nuclear is flexible and reliable. Your point seems to be that solar's output is closer to average demand and has a lower price. These are totally separate design goals. My view is that flexibility and reliability are core design goals because they reduce resource use by decreasing the need for storage and long-range transmission, and because they reduce the risk of energy shortages, which have serious social consequences. Why do you think matching average demand and reducing monetary price are core design goals?
Your claims on land use and material use are empirically false.
Unfortunately, peak electricity demand is in the evening right as the sun sets.
This isn't true. The peak demand that remains after solar has lowered the actual peak, is in the evening.
And that's when you use hydro and batteries.
Here's the historical yearly peaks: https://www.caiso.com/documents/californiaisopeakloadhistory...
Note, in recent years this ignores home based solar, which also reduce the grid seen demand during the day, but the new peak is still before sunset.
The local grid refers to this post solar/wind demand as 'net demand peak':
> Net demand is the total electricity demand minus utility-scale solar and wind generation at a given time, and the net demand peak (the “net peak” for short) typically occurs later in the evening than the total demand peak.
https://www.energy.ca.gov/data-reports/energy-insights/peek-...
> Initially, net demand peaked around the same time as total demand. Wind, which tends to pick up in the evenings, was responsible for most of the renewable generation. In 2013, solar began to eclipse wind. By 2016, the average timing of the net demand peak shifted from before 5:00 p.m. to around 7:30 p.m., where it has remained. (The total demand peak has also moved later in the evening to a lesser extent, driven by customer-owned solar.) Grid operators can’t turn to solar after the sun sets to meet the resulting net peak.
Luckily California has big plans for offshore wind, but that'll take about a decade. In the meantime solar and demand management is probably still the low hanging fruit.
Energy use peaks at around 6pm, which is well after solar's peak production: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=42915
Your own sources show this, with energy peaking around 1700 or 1730 (which is 5-5:30 pm). "Demand management" is a euphemism for blackouts. You can mail notices and flyers, but energy users don't change their consumption patterns.
Prematurely closing a nuclear power plant sounds like the pinnacle of wasteful governance.
The California ideology does not value successful governance
I heard that the scuttlebutt is that San Onofre had lots of problems and needed to be decommissioned, but the decision to decommission Diablo Canyon was a real travesty. Hopefully it goes on providing safe, reliable, clean power for many years to come.
Gavin Newsom is presidential material!
I don’t know you if you’re being sarcastic but definitely +1 this sincerely. He’s by far the candidate I like the most on the left.
Newsom would make a bad President and a terrible candidate. He's a classic corrupt corporate Democrat patsy[1] who holds power in a one-party state. Furthermore, that one-party state is California, which fact alone is enough to turn off a sizeable chunk of the national electorate. His very visibly corrupt French Laundry escapade would be replayed endlessly and undoubtedly to great effect. Finally, and most importantly, his insulation from the national political mood and current and heretofore political imperative to appeal to the California electorate leaves him woefully unprepared to effectively contest a national election. DeSantis or Youngkin would crush him like a bug.
Like Kamala Harris, he would make more sense as a VP nominee (although he would similarly be a bad choice overall). His politics and California provenance would be an albatross around any Presidential candidate's neck, but access to the lucrative California establishment Democrat donor network might outweigh the electoral deadweight.
[1]: https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-12-31/question...
> Kinney is well known around the state Capitol as a strategist, ghostwriter of Newsom’s speeches and unofficial fixer summoned to help loosen the governor from political jams. His dual roles as an advisor to Newsom and a lobbyist paid by companies to influence the governor and his staff have raised questions about potential conflicts of interest for the administration.
California would only ever vote D, he’s not useful as a VP. I do agree though, i think Desantis would beat him unless the National mood has really changed after Roe. We’ll see in November
I can see how it can be read sarcastically (now, in hindsight, I'm rubbing my temples), but beleive me I think he's the best the Left has.
Why not Jerry Brown since we’re in a gerontocracy atm
I don't you too.