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Signs of cancer can appear long before diagnosis, study shows

theguardian.com

132 points by rushi_agrawal 6 years ago · 74 comments

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skwb 6 years ago

While it is certainly interesting to hear of new developments for cancer screening, it must be taken in with the proper context. I see a lot of people without medical or public health training fall into the trap of thinking that any sort of screening mechanism is a net positive, without taking into consideration the "costs".

For example, a lot of breast cancer screening has been highly controversial, because of either A) false positive diagnosis B) slowly growing cancers that are too aggressively treated. To properly assess the utility of a cancer screening technique, you need to look at specific long term metrics, such as mortality reduction, that can only be quantified using randomized controlled trials. On the other hand, there's many pitfalls for over treatment. Patients may die during surgery. Biopsy isn't a fun procedure to go through on the receiving end. There's a lot of emotional stress involved. Adverse reactions from chemotherapy/biological agents used to treat the disease. And all this is in the face of the fact that you may die from other causes such as a heart attack.

Certainly I share the optimism with many that we can develop breakthrough cancer screening techniques, but it's irresponsible to let it interfere with rational decision making based on proper studies.

  • kaitai 6 years ago

    This is a hugely important comment and given the demographics of HN, I'll bring up prostate cancer as an example. It is important to catch prostate cancer in younger men, as in younger men it tends to be an aggressive cancer and lead to mortality. Paradoxically, in older men, aggressive screening for prostate cancer is bad if you want men to live longer and healthier lives. To oversimplify a bit, old guys with prostate cancer tend to have slow-growing cancers and they will most likely die of something else long before the cancer becomes a problem. Overtreatment of prostate cancer among old guys leads to increased mortality due to the risks of treatment, as well as leading to decreased quality of life due to side effects of surgery. This is why prostate cancer screening guidelines have been revised over the last 3-5 years.

    • nradov 6 years ago

      Pathologists say that detailed autopsies of old people almost always turn up some form of cancer, often slow growing. This is true regardless of cause of death. If you live long enough you'll eventually get cancer: it's inevitable.

    • DoofusOfDeath 6 years ago

      It's interesting that one argument against early detection (in certain situations) is that patients + medical community can't be trusted to act rationally with the information.

      • Gibbon1 6 years ago

        What no one talks about is when you get an indeterminate result. For thyroid tumors that might be as high as 25-30%.

      • nradov 6 years ago

        The more important argument is that testing is expensive. As a society we only have limited resources to devote to healthcare.

    • DataWorker 6 years ago

      Identifying cancer doesn’t necessitate removal but point taken.

      • anonymfus 6 years ago

        Also knowing about cancer decreases quality of life by itself.

        • Arelius 6 years ago

          While I agree in part I think the truth is it's more nuanced. Almost uniformly cancer causes stress, saddness and emotional volatility that would not be there otherwise. I have seen it can increase other quality of life factors. Deciding to live in the moment, increase family bonds. Spend more time doing travel and experiences with loved ones. That combined with hope and knowledge of better outcomes I think means that we should consider this with a bit more nuance.

    • OrangeMango 6 years ago

      In this context, which age groups are generally considered to be younger men and which are older men?

  • jarrad2000 6 years ago

    There's also a lot of confusion due to reported survival rates which are basically always higher if you screen but that does not mean people live any longer (or happier).

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gNiORew3uRY

foxyv 6 years ago

Lately I've been doing 7 day fasts two times a year mostly to reduce visceral fat and reduce my chance of type 2 diabetes. However a lot of science is pointing to it being a good way to reduce cancer risk. Nothing definitive, but it's nice to think I may be helping my body fight possible cancer too. Maybe I will catch some of these things early during these phases where the genes are present but the cancer hasn't begun to be diagnosable or slow it down.

I've also heard some doctors suggest that fasting during cancer treatment improves the effectiveness of chemotherapy.

  • bitL 6 years ago

    7 days fasting (electrolytes-only) gives me a week-long euphoria afterwards, but days 6-7 show some ugly symptoms of previous diseases, so persevering those is a bit tricky. It also leads to 10-12lb weight loss.

    • foxyv 6 years ago

      Lately I've been trying supplementation of potassium, magnesium and calcium which are supposedly lost during a fast. (I'm skeptical of most supplementation...) Pretty much just sea salt, creme de tartar, and lime juice. Seems to help a little with the weirder effects of a long fast. (Cramping, weakness, lightheadedness) In water they taste a little like gatorade without the sugar.

      • bitL 6 years ago

        The electrolytes I use are some kind of salt combined with the elements you mentioned; without proper electrolytes you might die during longer fasts. I avoid any kind of juice to make sure that part of my digestive tract can rest and do some internal cleanup. Autophagy should start at around day 5 and immunity renewal at around day 3.

        If I do sauna (many hot/cold cycles), I feel great for a day, if I do a 7-day fasting, I feel like that for a week. Sauna probably forces some mild cleanup through sweating, fasting through autophagy and burning off fat that stores toxins body didn't want to deal with earlier.

      • jobseeker990 6 years ago

        Can you share your exact recipe? I'd be curious what you're doing for magnesium and calcium. How about zinc?

        Problem is a lot of those electrolyes can cause dihreah especially on an empty stomach.

      • bulldog13 6 years ago

        Google snake diet - he has a mix.

    • d1zzy 6 years ago

      Hmm, this seems dangerous or maybe unique to each individual.

      In the past I've had low blood sugar issues (started shaking and got splitting headache) because I forgot to eat for 24h or so and worked long hours, it wasn't a nice experience and I most certainly wouldn't want to repeat that on purpose by fasting. In addition to that, I often "bonk" on longer bike rides (don't eat sufficiently) and do intensive cardio exercise 6 hours a week. I have a BMI around 22 (used to be lower but hey, I'm not getting any younger..).

      So do you think this is something anyone can/should engage in? How do you decide if your body can safely engage in multiday fasting like that?

      • bitL 6 years ago

        I don't know frankly. I was surprised it was so easy for me, but let's say first day I get headaches which I attribute to caffeine/sugar withdrawal, maybe that's your case as well. Drinking 1 liter of water quickly often resolves that though. It's possible you are actually dehydrated as most water comes from food and not drinks, so if you continue drinking like you are used to, you end up with insufficient water.

        • sizzle 6 years ago

          Just drinking water can lead to electrolyte imbalance or is am I mistaken?

          • bitL 6 years ago

            You are completely right. If you scroll up 3 posts you'll see I mentioned "electrolytes-only".

    • agumonkey 6 years ago

      what kind of activities do you do during the fast ? normal work life or retreat / reading ?

      • bitL 6 years ago

        First 3 days normal stuff including intense HIIT training, then I try to relax in my spare time for the remaining 4 days (normal business). On the first day I might suffer from a slight headache if I was used to a lot of caffeine/sugar. On the second day I am the "smelliest", so it's best to have that one over the weekend when I don't have to be around other people.

        • tartoran 6 years ago

          > On the second day I am the "smelliest", so it's best to have that one over the weekend when I don't have to be around other people.

          I've never done a 7 day fast and before I do I'd like to be better informed. What do you mean when you say the smelliest? What does it smell like? Is there some kind of smell throughout the fast? Thank you

          • bitL 6 years ago

            Smell is like when you don't wash yourself for a week, quite unpleasant. It's gone on day 3, but on day 2 I am rather staying alone. Then from day 3 you might suffer from bad breath due to ketosis, regular oral hygiene is important when around other people.

            • tartoran 6 years ago

              Wow. I haven't not washed myself for a week but I imagine. Does showering more frequently help? I heard about the oral hygiene during the fast before. I am basically interested in doing a fast like this but am not sure if I could go to work if I smell unpleasantly but as you said I could probably start in such a way that the 2nd and 3rd days fall on a weekend. Thanks again!

              • bitL 6 years ago

                I'd recommend starting on Friday, going through initial crisis on Friday/Saturday (caffeine/tea/sugar withdrawal), then from day 3-4 you should start feeling great (literally). Day 6 might be a bit weird so plan some lighter work around that time.

        • agumonkey 6 years ago

          HIIT + fast .. that's a first. How old are you ? 20 ?

          • bitL 6 years ago

            I wanted to know myself better, how much I can do and if fasting affects my athletic performance. I did my 3x full-effort HIIT in a row each day and even went climbing steep mountains on a bike on days 2-3 during my first 3 day electrolytes-only fast. The second climb I had to abort in the middle of the climb due to "losing vision", i.e. I perceived my vision was deteriorating in an all-out effort (like when you overdo it with HIIT).

            I read some study mentioning that HIIT during fasting helps to keep muscles from breaking down as muscles start being utilized at around day 4 to synthesize glycogen from proteins once liver storage is depleted, so I keep doing it, though days 4-7 only one series a day.

    • TurkishPoptart 6 years ago

      What do you consume during this time? How do you know it's safe? I'd like to try this sometime. Do you have any advice?

      • bitL 6 years ago

        First, try just 1-2 days but remove all caffeine/sugar like a week ahead. Once you can do 1-2 days without any major problems, try doing 3 days (Friday + weekend). Once you are fine with that, try 5-7 days, water + electrolytes only, no food, no juice; drink however as much as you want, if you feel weird, drink more (always with electrolytes). If something really feels off, have some energy bars ready to intervene and break fast quickly and safely. Also, check yourself for diagnoses that might respond badly to fasting and in that case avoid doing it.

        • TurkishPoptart 6 years ago

          Thank you for this. Can you comment as to why you think it's necessary to remove all caffeine and sugar in advance? The reason I ask is that I have a penchant for black coffee and imagine that it's useful as an appetite suppressant.

          • bitL 6 years ago

            Because you might have nasty withdrawal effects like strong headache on the first evening that could persuade you to break the fast immediately. You can gradually tone down your coffee intake so that at the beginning of the fast you won't have those effects.

        • sizzle 6 years ago

          Can you safely fast if you rely on medication?

          • bitL 6 years ago

            Discuss this with your physician. People who have e.g. problems with kidneys should not fast.

      • lukifer 6 years ago

        I've only done 3-days and not 7, but for n=1:

        - make sure to consume salt (adding to water is the easiest); if anything, err on the side of both too much water, and too much salt (we normally consume a lot of both through food).

        - Some people still consume certain zero-calorie items, like black coffee, green tea, or bone broth. You still get most of the fasting benefits, and it might be a good way to start (bone broth with added salt is a great way to keep electrolytes up, and fill your stomach).

        - I experienced a bit of back pain; apparently muscle pains are common, especially with new fasters. Accounts vary on this being evidence of "detox", or a side effect of mineral deficiency; but supplementing minerals in water probably couldn't hurt.

        - Dr. Jason Fung is a great resource: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tIuj-oMN-Fk

        - You'll find it odd that you don't know what to do during mealtimes. :) Have a plan for another way to take a break during lunchtime, etc.

        - Optional: it's vastly easier if you start already in ketosis (IF and/or low-carb)

    • kyuudou 6 years ago

      A lot of that loss is water weight, though.

      • bitL 6 years ago

        Yes, but that stops at around day 5 and you can always drink a lot to compensate for it.

    • jobseeker990 6 years ago

      > show some ugly symptoms of previous diseases

      This could be your body breaking apart old injuries to start repairing them better.

      • bitL 6 years ago

        I can't really tell, I had 4 symptoms of past problems suddenly escalating on day 6 last time I took the fast, and since then I never experienced them again (so far), so there might be something interesting going on. It's possible autophagy and fat burning might remove some "memory" but I have no scientific explanation for it. My theory is that as body doesn't have to fight all kinds of pathogens coming in from food, it can start correcting internal problems/mistakes instead with the same processes it normally uses to fight external threats.

      • sizzle 6 years ago

        Breaking apart old injuries...? Never heard of this hypothesis, how would this work?

        • bitL 6 years ago

          Many people report feeling older injuries/illnesses during prolonged fasting. It's not clear what is the nature of that, if it's just psychosomatic and some neural pathway is correcting/readjusting/"backpropagating" itself (think phantom pain) or if the original repair was "temporary" and body does a proper rebuild there, or something completely different is going on. Try 1 week then tell us if you felt something similar, I did.

          EDIT: This Reddit thread has interesting comments, elevated HGH might be the culprit:

          https://old.reddit.com/r/fasting/comments/5gl1aq/can_fasting...

    • austinjp 6 years ago

      > days 6-7 show some ugly symptoms of previous diseases

      Could you describe this? I'm not sure what it means.

      • bitL 6 years ago

        I started to feel some past problems in e.g. neck area from some botched gym exercises, inside head where I had often sinusitis problems, some left leg issues etc. They seemed to escalate quite a bit, to the point of pain, I was on the verge of breaking the fast but I kept going, then on day 7 all those symptoms disappeared and I haven't experienced them since my last long fast. Not sure if they were of physical or neural (memory?) origin.

        • bitL 6 years ago

          Actually, this is quite cool, after 5 days of fasting human growth hormone jumps to 10-20x normal level and that corresponds to me feeling miserable on the 6th day, then again great on 7th. It's now starting to make sense why some physical injuries were felt and then disappeared.

          https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC329619/

  • sjg007 6 years ago

    Yeah their is some research that suggests this. I think there are some clinical trials to test this as well. The hypothesis is that when you are fasting your cells go into a rest and repair mode vs growth mode. Cancer cells theoretically don't do this so that may activate an immunological response. This conflates with the idea that chemo would be more effective is that the drugs would be taken up by cancer cells b/c they are actively growing vs the regular cells. So maybe less side effects and maybe more drug available to the cancer cells. I don't think we know for sure.

  • omilu 6 years ago

    Steve Jobs fasted often and ate a very limited diet, cancer still got him.

  • dghughes 6 years ago

    That reminds me of people who follow the Calorie Restriction Optimal Nutrition (CRON) diet. Only they practically starve themselves everyday. I know it's not the goal they do try to consume on the absolute necessary nutrients.

    My theory is someday CRON will surpass veganism merely for one-up-manship.

    • pajaroide 6 years ago

      Veganism is mostly about reducing animal suffering. It also has a health angle but it's mostly about the ethics of killing animals when we can have a complete and healthy diet eating plant-based (plus fungi).

      • dghughes 6 years ago

        I know what veganism is but it's promoted by its followers as healthy when in reality it's based on dogma.

        Anyone can choose what diet they want. Vegetarianism is just as good but it seems to be too tame for some people. It strikes me that many follow veganism merely as one-up-manship, posturing, or due to intimidation.

pintxo 6 years ago

... can appear in the genome long before ...

> “What’s extraordinary is how some of the genetic changes appear to have occurred many years before diagnosis, long before any other signs that a cancer may develop, and perhaps even in apparently normal tissue,” said Clemency Jolly, a co-author of the research based at the Francis Crick Institute in London.

RcouF1uZ4gsC 6 years ago

>The findings, based on samples from more than 2,500 tumours and 38 cancer types, reveal a longer-than-expected window of opportunity in which patients could potentially be tested and treated at the earliest stages of the disease.

One issue with this might be selection bias towards cancer. What is the baseline rate of finding these type of mutations in people that do not develop cancer? There are cells going bad all the time in the human body, but because of factors such as the immune system, they actually don't cause any problems.

One example of this kind of thing is prostate cancer. Prostate cancer used to be aggressively treated often with a lot of side effects such as not being able to control urine and sexual dysfunction. However, further research showed that a lot of these cancers either don't continue to progress or progress so slowly that the patient will die with the cancer rather than from the cancer, and so not doing anything is the best course of action.

Overall this is an exciting development, but it will take a lot more research to know what should be done with that information, and to avoid over-treating which has its own downsides.

melling 6 years ago

According to Craig Venter, early detection is what we need to eliminate cancer: https://youtu.be/iUqgTYbkHP8?t=15m37s

  • rtny4821 6 years ago

    Early detection is what the industry wants so they can improve their 5-year survival stats. And of course increase the total addressable market for conventional treatment options

    • bobbiechen 6 years ago

      Scott Alexander has an interesting blog post about this:

      Official statistics say we are winning the War on Cancer. Cancer incidence rates, mortality rates, and five-year-survival rates have generally been moving in the right direction over the past few decades.

      More skeptical people offer an alternate narrative.

      [...]

      Suppose a certain cancer is untreatable and will kill you in ten years. If it’s always discovered after seven years, five-year-survival-rate will be 0%. If it’s always discovered after two years, five-year-survival-rate will be 100%. Better screening can shift the percent of cases discovered after seven years vs. two years, and so shift the five-year-survival rate, but the same number of people will be dying of cancer as ever.

      This post tries to figure out which narrative is more accurate.

      https://slatestarcodex.com/2018/08/01/cancer-progress-much-m...

    • sjg007 6 years ago

      We know early detection leads to more cures.

  • arrosenberg 6 years ago

    Craig Venter has a vested interest in selling genomic cancer detection.

SubiculumCode 6 years ago

My friend 40 years young died of cancer yesterday. Fuck Cancer. I know this doesn't add much to the conversation. My apologies.

  • Arelius 6 years ago

    Hey, maybe it doesn't contribute much to the conversation. But it's a super rough thing, and dealing with your grief in the ways you are able to is super important. And as long as you're not taking it out on other people, which you clearly are not in this comment, I figure it's a good thing.

    It's always amazes me when such an awful thing happens how the world keeps on spinning, when it really feels like it should just not be able to, but maybe there is ultimately some comfort to be found in that.

    Anyways, I really have no idea what you're going through, the loss of any relationship is a very individual experience, but you have my deepest sympathies, I really do feel for your loss.

cactus2093 6 years ago

Obviously human bodies are not machines, they're much more complex and less understood than computer hardware, but I can't help but think of the analogy to running web servers.

Medicine today seems a lot like running a web app and never knowing if anything is broken unless users complain. It sort of works, but with good monitoring and alerting set up you can catch issues earlier or prevent them altogether. And the stakes with your body are much higher than just a web app going down, the difference between catching something like cancer a few months earlier is literally life or death.

From what I've read in threads like these, almost everyone in the medicine field is very opposed to moving in this direction, even seemingly in principle, and I really can't understand why. I get that doing certain tests can be invasive on its own, so the cost/benefit has to be considered on a case by case basis. This argument also as an analogy to operations - you get false positives on your webservers too, and sometimes people get woken up in the middle of the night for no reason. But we work to fix noisy alerts one by one, and things generally improve over time. Why is this not possible in medicine?

  • ncphillips 6 years ago

    It's because of the idea of iatrogenics: harm caused by the doctor.

    If things are going wrong in a web server then intervention is almost always necessary.

    The human body can take care of itself, and most of the time it's better to let it.

    https://fs.blog/2013/10/iatrogenics/

kazinator 6 years ago

> The findings, based on samples from more than 2,500 tumours ...

Findings based on tumors sound like 20/20 hindsight!

If your crystal ball tells you where in a body tumor will develop five years from now, then if you look at the cells there, you might see some subtle signs that you know are not false positives.

Somehow, I don't think I'm holding my breath for new screening tests.

  • sjg007 6 years ago

    The idea is to take blood samples from a patient population every year for a few years and sequencing the cells and cell free DNA population in the sample. You do this for years until the patient is diagnosed with cancer. At that point you can look back to the original samples a look for any potential biomarkers that in retrospect could have predicted the cancer. You do this for a large number of people. Right now we take a tumor and look for known biomarkers.

  • skwb 6 years ago

    The other important thing to take into account is the vast heterogeneity of cancers. Cancers have been shown to be VERY diverse in their genomic expression profile, meaning you're probably looking at a very small pinhole compared to the entire tumor profile if you sample via biopsy. This diversity helps explains why cancers may initially respond to a specific targeted therapy, but then may reoccur with resistance initial therapy.

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